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data as of 17 Oct, 11:00 AM ET
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Today's Games

2026-10-17 · 25 matchups · 19 with a live market price

Beside the model's percentage: the book odds and the edge over what they imply. The bookmaker's margin is still inside it, so small positives are noise.

P = platoon edge (batter faces the opposite hand)
Batter Bat team B Pitcher Pit team T Ballpark Temp Wind out Air density Roof HR factor Hit factor HR probability Hit probability Walk probability 2+ TB probability
Jo Adell CLE R Nick Martinez TB R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 15.4% +750+3.6% 70.4% -175+6.7% 22.9% +256-5.2% 41.5% +160+3.1%
Jonathan Aranda P TB L Shawn Armstrong CLE R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 10.3% +525-5.7% 50.3% -185-14.6% 21.0% +141-20.5% 37.9% +150-2.1%
Patrick Bailey P CLE L Nick Martinez TB R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 13.1% +900+3.1% 58.6% -123+3.3% 21.2% +306-3.5% 35.9% +230+5.6%
Travis Bazzana P CLE L Nick Martinez TB R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 10.3% +1050+1.6% 63.2% -145+4.0% 21.2% +257-6.8% 36.9% +190+2.4%
Junior Caminero TB R Shawn Armstrong CLE R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 17.4% +525+1.4% 53.1% -191-12.6% 18.7% +146-22.0% 39.5% +140-2.2%
Chase DeLauter P CLE L Nick Martinez TB R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 12.0% +925+2.2% 71.3% -200+4.7% 35.8% +166-1.8% 42.8% +150+2.8%
Jonny DeLuca TB R Shawn Armstrong CLE R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 7.9% +1200+0.2% 45.4% -157-15.7% 12.7% +276-13.9% 25.6% +190-8.9%
Yandy Díaz TB R Shawn Armstrong CLE R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 10.5% +950+1.0% 68.9% -230-0.9% 19.6% +171-17.3% 41.9% +137-0.2%
Nick Fortes TB R Shawn Armstrong CLE R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 6.1% 39.9% 13.1% 13.4%
Angel Genao P CLE L Nick Martinez TB R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 10.8% 56.1% 18.6% 24.3%
Petey Halpin P CLE L Nick Martinez TB R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 8.3% +1300+1.2% 55.1% -126-0.7% 16.7% +397-3.5% 28.6% +275+1.9%
Austin Hedges CLE R Nick Martinez TB R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 7.9% 50.8% 23.1% 25.0%
Liam Hicks P TB L Shawn Armstrong CLE R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 5.7% +1050-3.0% 47.7% -161-14.0% 16.8% +176-19.4% 27.5% +220-3.8%
Steven Kwan P CLE L Nick Martinez TB R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 3.6% +2100-0.9% 77.9% -222+8.9% 32.3% +200-1.1% 33.7% +151-6.2%
Nathaniel Lowe P CLE L Nick Martinez TB R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 13.4% +850+2.9% 63.2% -157+2.1% 24.8% +235-5.0% 34.4% +205+1.6%
Angel Martínez P CLE L Nick Martinez TB R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 10.2% 53.2% 13.9% 29.7%
Victor Mesa Jr. P TB L Shawn Armstrong CLE R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 12.4% +775+1.0% 43.9% -150-16.1% 17.4% +224-13.6% 38.3% +165+0.6%
Cedric Mullins P TB L Shawn Armstrong CLE R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 6.1% 36.3% 15.2% 18.8%
Richie Palacios P TB L Shawn Armstrong CLE R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 5.1% +1150-2.9% 41.6% -126-14.2% 14.7% +234-15.2% 19.6% +295-5.7%
José Ramírez P CLE L Nick Martinez TB R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 9.7% +750-2.0% 71.3% -191+5.6% 22.9% +228-7.7% 40.4% +155+1.2%
Brayan Rocchio P CLE L Nick Martinez TB R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 7.7% +1125-0.5% 64.3% -125+8.6% 18.0% +335-5.0% 30.5% +260+2.8%
Chandler Simpson P TB L Shawn Armstrong CLE R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 2.3% +3450-0.5% 45.6% -275-27.8% 10.7% +308-13.9% 23.0% +141-18.6%
Ryan Vilade TB R Shawn Armstrong CLE R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 9.9% 37.4% 19.2% 19.9%
Taylor Walls P TB L Shawn Armstrong CLE R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 2.6% +1400-4.0% 37.1% +105-11.6% 16.0% +182-19.5% 14.7% +290-10.9%
Ben Williamson TB R Shawn Armstrong CLE R Progressive Field — — 93.0 98.0 3.5% +1500-2.8% 37.0% 15.0% 15.7%