Today's Games

ATL @ CHW expected lineups Rate Field · Holmes, Grant vs Kay, Anthony

73°F 3 mph out 0% air HR factor 95

ATL — vs Kay, Anthony LHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Baldwin, Drake	L	17.4%	69.2%	48.7%	34.4%	.427 +.005	0.304	0.456	138	91.9	0.394	65%
Acuña Jr., Ronald	R	19.7%	65.7%	46.1%	36.0%	.418	0.242	0.492	132	91.1	0.440	54%
Olson, Matt 3 HR last 10	L	22.1%	66.6%	46.6%	40.5%	.454 +.009	0.239	0.556	132	91.3	0.489	55%
Albies, Ozzie	L	10.3%	66.2%	40.4%	22.8%	.343 +.037	0.191	0.365	127	86.4	0.271	37%
Harris II, Michael 8 hits last 10	L	16.0%	67.2%	42.5%	18.3%	.378 -.023	0.275	0.467	125	86.7	0.334	53%
Dubón, Mauricio	R	7.3%	65.6%	40.9%	18.7%	.310	0.230	0.292	121	87.6	0.274	26%
Kim, Ha-Seong	R	8.2%	51.7%	25.0%	36.0%	.351 +.037	0.063	0.063	105	83.4	0.216	35%
Murphy, Sean	R	12.3%	52.3%	29.0%	30.7%	.502 +.123	0.086	0.108	100	84.1	0.281	39%
Riley, Austin	R	15.6%	57.7%	41.4%	24.8%	.387 -.030	0.264	0.482	119	95.1	0.552	75%

2 more scored, not in the expected nine

Yastrzemski, Mike	L	11.7%	53.1%	29.1%	32.6%	.254 -.103	0.250	0.556	82	91.3	0.449	57%
Jarvis, Jim	L	7.5%	52.8%	30.0%	19.6%	—	0.190	0.262	96	87.1	0.278	42%

CHW — vs Holmes, Grant RHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Murakami, Munetaka 6 walks last 10	L	23.8%	62.2%	44.1%	54.5%	.532 -.010	0.225	0.541	134	93.0	0.526	63%
Rogers, Jake	R	8.4%	53.7%	30.9%	43.2%	.308 +.008	0.184	0.329	95	86.4	0.317	41%
Doyle, Brenton	R	10.1%	54.6%	34.5%	23.0%	.351 -.005	0.214	0.298	90	83.8	0.270	34%
Vargas, Miguel 9 hits last 10	R	20.6%	66.2%	44.6%	42.9%	.360 -.011 30g .356	0.233	0.483	138	91.2	0.381	55%
Antonacci, Sam	L	9.2%	62.7%	36.2%	35.3%	.366 +.003 30g .288	0.222	0.313	116	86.9	0.291	33%
Montgomery, Colson	L	18.6%	59.7%	40.1%	28.5%	.441 +.014	0.205	0.316	130	86.0	0.334	46%
Montgomery, Braden	L	9.4%	59.7%	32.9%	34.4%	.421 +.078	0.245	0.355	128	87.8	0.348	48%
Benintendi, Andrew	L	12.1%	55.2%	32.9%	27.9%	.376 +.014 30g .267	0.259	0.420	93	84.4	0.284	33%
Meidroth, Chase 8 hits last 10	R	8.3%	61.5%	33.2%	34.7%	.314 -.004	0.294	0.505	125	84.2	0.326	43%

4 more scored, not in the expected nine

Quero, Edgar	R	7.3%	59.8%	36.2%	26.6%	.302 -.009	0.242	0.308	101	90.3	0.322	48%
Peters, Tristan 6 2+TB last 10	L	8.0%	57.4%	30.4%	23.8%	.373 +.024	0.189	0.278	103	83.9	0.307	40%
Acuña, Luisangel	R	5.8%	51.4%	29.7%	18.8%	.310	0.296	0.352	73	85.2	0.327	43%
Romo, Drew	L	9.6%	54.1%	32.0%	20.6%	.276 +.022	0.115	0.198	104	81.9	0.222	35%

KC @ ATH expected lineups Kauffman Stadium · Dobnak, Randy vs Jump, Gage

78°F 4 mph in -2% air HR factor 87

KC — vs Jump, Gage LHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Witt Jr., Bobby 5 walks last 10	R	15.2%	66.1%	49.4%	39.7%	.440 +.012	0.274	0.453	131	89.7	0.399	52%
Jensen, Carter 6 walks last 10	L	12.1%	60.6%	39.6%	43.2%	.333 -.059	0.178	0.346	127	90.5	0.321	44%
Garcia, Maikel	R	8.6%	67.9%	44.9%	31.9%	.432 +.086	0.254	0.331	123	89.3	0.305	40%
Caglianone, Jac 9 hits last 10	L	16.4%	66.9%	48.6%	19.8%	.565 +.123	0.333	0.586	116	93.3	0.434	64%
Pasquantino, Vinnie 7 2+TB last 10	L	10.4%	66.8%	45.9%	30.6%	.304 -.058	0.310	0.425	129	89.4	0.376	63%
Perez, Salvador	R	13.0%	65.4%	40.7%	18.7%	.378 -.015	0.234	0.439	122	88.4	0.393	40%
Loftin, Nick 5 walks last 10	R	7.0%	59.0%	29.7%	36.1%	.396 +.095	0.202	0.287	110	80.5	0.262	31%
Marte, Starling	R	8.9%	57.4%	34.4%	22.3%	.353 +.004	0.230	0.287	95	83.7	0.291	36%
Massey, Michael 8 hits last 10	L	11.5%	63.1%	39.7%	19.9%	.317 -.011	0.288	0.462	110	87.5	0.319	46%

6 more scored, not in the expected nine

Collins, Isaac	R	9.1%	56.2%	35.0%	34.5%	.299 -.031	0.188	0.323	108	88.4	0.276	45%
Rave, John	L	8.7%	54.3%	31.4%	25.5%	.205 -.178	0.190	0.354	89	79.3	0.343	43%
Rojas, Josh	L	5.8%	56.0%	35.1%	23.4%	.076 -.204	0.237	0.312	84	84.5	0.231	32%
Tolbert, Tyler	R	4.8%	54.9%	31.7%	21.8%	.286 -.044	0.329	0.500	95	80.0	0.325	28%
Maile, Luke	R	6.2%	52.3%	26.7%	26.0%	—	0.267	0.400	85	81.5	0.343	40%
Isbel, Kyle	L	4.7%	55.2%	27.2%	20.8%	.270 -.018	0.170	0.216	97	84.7	0.259	44%

ATH — vs Dobnak, Randy RHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Wilson, Jacob	R	5.4%	68.0%	42.4%	18.2%	.290 -.013	0.246	0.390	123	82.6	0.304	31%
Soderstrom, Tyler 10 hits last 10	L	17.3%	67.2%	43.7%	39.5%	.376 -.024	0.250	0.500	119	93.1	0.376	55%
Gelof, Zack 3 HR last 10	R	12.1%	62.4%	41.9%	30.8%	.347 +.006	0.286	0.562	124	85.9	0.366	43%
Heim, Jonah	L	9.8%	60.4%	33.5%	27.8%	.291 -.029	0.171	0.279	122	87.1	0.326	51%
White, Tommy	R	7.4%	62.0%	40.2%	19.6%	.520 +.084	0.257	0.330	113	85.2	0.331	35%
Bolte, Henry 8 hits last 10	R	12.1%	64.8%	44.8%	23.2%	.358 -.024	0.276	0.400	115	90.8	0.390	55%
Butler, Lawrence 4 HR last 10	L	12.3%	64.4%	39.6%	35.9%	.377 -.009	0.258	0.505	110	90.0	0.390	51%
Walton, Donovan	L	5.0%	55.7%	31.5%	30.6%	.332 -.007	0.217	0.319	86	85.5	0.268	31%
McNeil, Jeff	L	6.5%	65.7%	44.3%	18.1%	.314 -.012 30g .349	0.370	0.522	98	87.5	0.370	48%

4 more scored, not in the expected nine

Cortes, Carlos	L	8.0%	56.0%	32.0%	27.3%	.358 +.001	0.203	0.324	82	88.1	0.254	37%
Hernaiz, Darell	R	5.9%	55.4%	34.2%	22.7%	.284 -.028	0.247	0.280	103	83.4	0.279	25%
Serven, Brian 3 HR last 10	R	9.1%	55.1%	31.4%	24.1%	—	0.176	0.368	74	86.6	0.317	32%
Williams, Alika	R	5.4%	54.6%	32.1%	18.9%	.233 -.026	0.221	0.294	75	82.7	0.265	29%

LAA @ HOU expected lineups Daikin Park · Rodriguez, Grayson vs Lambert, Peter

73°F roof closed -2% air HR factor 114

LAA — vs Lambert, Peter RHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Neto, Zach	R	14.7%	61.0%	36.4%	28.3%	.403 -.013	0.183	0.258	129	88.3	0.306	56%
Trout, Mike	R	17.2%	61.1%	39.3%	45.4%	.508 +.039	0.250	0.343	128	87.9	0.368	41%
Ballesteros, Moisés	L	13.5%	61.9%	37.6%	34.1%	.380	0.165	0.176	99	88.2	0.297	49%
Schanuel, Nolan	L	6.7%	66.8%	38.4%	40.4%	.335 +.001 30g .363	0.295	0.371	126	87.7	0.340	37%
Grissom, Vaughn	R	10.4%	61.0%	34.6%	24.8%	.360 -.026	0.237	0.360	121	85.7	0.343	39%
Meckler, Wade	L	6.3%	57.1%	30.8%	33.0%	.366 -.002	0.289	0.356	99	84.7	0.318	35%
Guzman, Denzer	R	10.5%	55.5%	32.0%	23.1%	.411 +.040	0.210	0.295	112	84.5	0.299	32%
Heineman, Tyler	L	3.5%	56.8%	33.3%	14.8%	.294 +.027	0.188	0.275	91	75.0	0.258	16%
Peraza, Oswald	R	11.0%	51.4%	35.1%	19.3%	.322 -.022	0.151	0.172	100	87.8	0.251	52%

2 more scored, not in the expected nine

Lowe, Josh	L	13.0%	53.6%	34.2%	22.9%	.402 +.020	0.198	0.370	93	87.2	0.408	51%
Siri, Jose	R	14.0%	52.0%	30.7%	17.3%	.359 +.012	0.246	0.449	73	90.4	0.487	54%

HOU — vs Rodriguez, Grayson RHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Peña, Jeremy	R	11.4%	66.5%	41.0%	21.2%	.415	0.266	0.516	135	90.3	0.396	51%
Alvarez, Yordan	L	21.0%	67.7%	45.7%	39.6%	.486 -.017	0.324	0.537	136	93.6	0.456	58%
Varsho, Daulton	L	12.4%	64.4%	41.8%	31.4%	.415 +.056 30g .398	0.193	0.248	119	88.1	0.302	44%
Paredes, Isaac	R	10.0%	67.7%	41.3%	36.0%	.320 +.002	0.277	0.429	131	84.3	0.323	44%
Altuve, Jose	R	6.7%	62.9%	37.4%	24.9%	.359 +.035 30g .230	0.282	0.402	125	83.1	0.266	35%
Walker, Christian	R	14.1%	62.7%	38.1%	28.7%	.407 +.031	0.193	0.339	121	87.3	0.355	55%
Trammell, Taylor	L	12.1%	53.8%	27.7%	31.1%	.375 -.003	0.163	0.337	100	86.3	0.381	44%
Diaz, Yainer	R	12.0%	60.7%	36.9%	17.8%	.415 +.042	0.257	0.413	115	88.2	0.378	44%
Smith, Cam 3 HR last 10	R	15.1%	62.3%	38.1%	25.6%	.418 +.024	0.229	0.457	117	89.5	0.356	66%

1 more scored, not in the expected nine

Vázquez, Christian

R

4.6%

52.4%

26.3%

21.6%

.288

0.171

0.293

92

82.0

0.257

32%

NYY @ BAL expected lineups Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Cole, Gerrit vs Bradish, Kyle

77°F 8 mph in +1% air HR factor 110

NYY — vs Bradish, Kyle RHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Ramos, Heliot	R	15.3%	63.5%	37.3%	26.5%	.381 -.010	0.188	0.241	125	91.6	0.336	54%
Rice, Ben 3 HR last 10	L	19.3%	63.0%	40.6%	44.2%	.470 +.018	0.183	0.367	136	93.1	0.472	68%
García Jr., Luis	L	17.5%	68.3%	42.7%	25.3%	.442	0.233	0.431	122	89.9	0.355	51%
Grisham, Trent 4 HR last 10	L	15.3%	64.7%	42.4%	40.4%	.411 +.006 30g .383	0.203	0.449	129	90.1	0.350	54%
Goldschmidt, Paul	R	13.3%	54.4%	34.4%	23.2%	.304 -.068	0.156	0.240	105	85.9	0.313	35%
Jones, Spencer	L	15.2%	59.7%	37.9%	26.5%	.272 -.037	0.204	0.376	101	92.8	0.462	61%
Chisholm Jr., Jazz	L	13.3%	54.9%	31.9%	26.5%	.450 +.033	0.191	0.355	123	89.4	0.406	64%
Lombard Jr., George	R	11.1%	58.1%	31.7%	34.3%	.325 +.000	0.318	0.477	50	82.9	0.381	47%
Caballero, José 5 walks last 10	R	5.7%	55.3%	22.5%	19.3%	.306	0.222	0.378	102	77.7	0.358	25%

2 more scored, not in the expected nine

McMahon, Ryan	L	12.1%	53.2%	32.7%	25.0%	.444 +.028	0.238	0.393	94	92.0	0.378	56%
Wells, Austin	L	10.8%	53.3%	28.9%	20.4%	.390 +.040	0.224	0.434	87	87.9	0.358	51%

BAL — vs Cole, Gerrit RHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Alonso, Pete 5 HR last 10	R	19.7%	66.9%	45.3%	39.6%	.532 +.054 30g .725	0.308	0.558	137	96.0	0.540	75%
Henderson, Gunnar 5 walks last 10	L	13.9%	65.9%	42.8%	30.2%	.399 +.016 30g .504	0.224	0.397	138	90.7	0.394	52%
Narváez, Carlos	R	10.8%	53.2%	34.5%	22.4%	.376 30g .340	0.127	0.177	94	85.3	0.321	44%
Beavers, Dylan	L	11.1%	53.3%	34.4%	27.5%	.395 +.013 30g .356	0.264	0.374	100	91.2	0.393	48%
Holliday, Jackson	L	10.4%	62.5%	36.5%	34.8%	.368 +.010 30g .344	0.262	0.350	119	85.7	0.330	32%
O'Neill, Tyler	R	17.2%	58.7%	38.8%	32.2%	.400 -.006	0.274	0.548	93	89.8	0.439	53%
Mayo, Coby	R	17.5%	60.5%	41.1%	27.4%	.316 -.072	0.264	0.609	94	93.2	0.540	65%
Encarnacion-Strand, Christian 3 HR last 10	R	15.6%	60.7%	39.2%	17.1%	.456 +.079	0.267	0.515	109	90.5	0.451	51%
Taveras, Leody 6 2+TB last 10	L	10.4%	58.4%	34.4%	23.2%	.316 -.007 30g .329	0.214	0.388	108	84.5	0.307	38%

2 more scored, not in the expected nine

Cowser, Colton 3 HR last 10	L	13.4%	53.3%	29.1%	27.1%	.400 +.002	0.176	0.324	80	90.0	0.408	64%
Franklin, Christian	R	9.7%	52.0%	32.1%	28.7%	—	0.182	0.227	29	87.8	0.303	60%

SEA @ MIL expected lineups American Family Field · Kirby, George vs Gasser, Robert

75°F 4 mph in -1% air HR factor 102

SEA — vs Gasser, Robert LHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Ward, Taylor	R	9.0%	64.3%	29.5%	38.1%	.463 +.088	0.209	0.300	133	87.3	0.331	38%
Arozarena, Randy 3 HR last 10	R	14.2%	63.6%	36.6%	28.3%	.376 -.015	0.239	0.436	132	89.7	0.345	47%
Young, Cole	L	12.0%	64.9%	35.7%	20.1%	.318 -.029	0.265	0.410	126	88.5	0.307	43%
Canzone, Dominic 7 2+TB last 10	L	18.6%	65.2%	41.5%	30.1%	.356 -.080	0.259	0.431	131	88.2	0.381	45%
Donovan, Brendan	L	9.5%	65.7%	34.5%	29.4%	.289 -.059	0.231	0.317	120	82.5	0.262	33%
Rodríguez, Julio	R	16.4%	65.3%	41.1%	27.0%	.454	0.236	0.400	126	89.3	0.420	48%
Naylor, Josh 9 hits last 10	L	10.5%	67.3%	40.9%	21.9%	.311 -.037	0.327	0.442	126	86.6	0.363	45%
Raleigh, Cal 6 walks last 10	L	16.1%	56.2%	30.7%	27.1%	.488 +.055	0.133	0.265	120	90.8	0.352	72%
Pereda, Jhonny	R	8.4%	56.3%	29.8%	21.8%	—	0.286	0.385	99	87.2	0.362	42%

3 more scored, not in the expected nine

Wilson, Weston 6 walks last 10	R	11.2%	51.4%	25.1%	30.1%	.341 -.087	0.157	0.314	79	84.1	0.269	33%
Robles, Victor	R	4.2%	57.9%	29.0%	16.6%	.285 +.004	0.253	0.308	103	82.0	0.293	23%
Rivas, Leo	R	3.9%	46.7%	18.4%	27.9%	.292 +.014	0.125	0.150	99	85.2	0.243	19%

MIL — vs Kirby, George RHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Chourio, Jackson	R	17.9%	66.5%	43.6%	26.1%	.381 -.008 30g .330	0.282	0.427	132	91.5	0.442	52%
Turang, Brice 6 walks last 10	L	12.4%	63.6%	40.9%	35.8%	.442 +.036	0.256	0.416	145	86.6	0.381	45%
Yelich, Christian	L	15.7%	65.1%	40.4%	33.9%	.435 +.032 30g .358	0.208	0.360	143	89.2	0.407	56%
Contreras, William 7 walks last 10	R	15.6%	67.7%	41.2%	29.6%	.356 +.005 30g .365	0.186	0.336	131	90.2	0.340	55%
Bauers, Jake 8 walks last 10	L	20.4%	65.6%	42.0%	43.1%	.440 -.012 30g .401	0.301	0.534	128	92.5	0.487	64%
Mitchell, Garrett	L	15.3%	54.9%	30.3%	32.9%	.473 +.023	0.210	0.267	125	92.3	0.376	53%
Vaughn, Andrew	R	9.8%	59.4%	34.0%	30.6%	.353 -.032	0.261	0.386	103	91.2	0.367	51%
Lockridge, Brandon	R	5.2%	53.2%	30.5%	23.1%	.279 -.016	0.264	0.308	103	79.4	0.312	32%
Sánchez, Gary	R	12.7%	56.1%	28.5%	37.3%	.364	0.250	0.500	100	89.7	0.391	46%

3 more scored, not in the expected nine

Lara, Luis	L	9.8%	63.8%	36.2%	33.1%	.492 +.059	0.242	0.358	109	89.1	0.351	46%
Hamilton, David	L	5.1%	50.1%	21.7%	21.9%	.313 +.015	0.263	0.375	94	81.3	0.276	28%
Ortiz, Joey 6 2+TB last 10	R	10.7%	60.7%	28.8%	22.7%	.289 -.019 30g .366	0.327	0.574	113	88.3	0.354	52%

SF @ CLE expected lineups Progressive Field · Roupp, Landen vs Williams, Gavin

77°F 8 mph in -1% air HR factor 93

SF — vs Williams, Gavin RHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Eldridge, Bryce 3 HR last 10	L	14.4%	60.0%	25.5%	45.3%	.448 +.030	0.207	0.387	126	90.8	0.387	52%
Devers, Rafael	L	15.8%	62.2%	30.3%	35.5%	.440 -.002	0.225	0.441	126	93.0	0.348	61%
Lee, Jung Hoo	L	7.8%	67.2%	28.6%	23.1%	.323 -.003	0.252	0.420	128	85.5	0.323	36%
Adames, Willy 5 walks last 10	R	12.0%	59.0%	25.9%	31.7%	.391 +.009	0.227	0.400	123	82.2	0.331	37%
Kennedy, Buddy	R	6.4%	51.9%	20.1%	29.6%	—	0.092	0.123	73	85.7	0.254	50%
Basabe, Osleivis	R	11.1%	56.1%	25.3%	18.7%	.286 +.000	0.250	0.433	64	85.2	0.295	43%
Gilbert, Drew 5 walks last 10	L	7.1%	59.9%	22.5%	37.6%	.343 +.003	0.236	0.337	102	87.5	0.388	40%
Bericoto, Victor	R	14.2%	58.8%	27.4%	18.7%	—	0.260	0.455	78	90.2	0.386	55%
Cavanaugh, Drew	L	4.7%	53.0%	17.2%	31.9%	.372 -.005	0.237	0.250	90	79.3	0.336	26%

2 more scored, not in the expected nine

Koss, Christian 8 hits last 10	R	4.5%	52.2%	16.9%	19.0%	.369 +.002	0.202	0.250	87	82.1	0.293	30%
Knizner, Andrew	R	4.9%	50.7%	20.3%	21.9%	.267 -.008	0.230	0.311	85	83.5	0.268	38%

CLE — vs Roupp, Landen RHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Adell, Jo 3 HR last 10	R	14.8%	61.9%	36.3%	28.6%	.392 -.049	0.192	0.413	120	91.4	0.475	65%
Kwan, Steven 5 walks last 10	L	3.8%	69.3%	34.1%	40.3%	.325 +.028	0.367	0.442	143	83.8	0.346	8%
Ramírez, José 6 walks last 10	L	11.1%	66.8%	37.0%	37.4%	.335	0.243	0.322	134	87.2	0.306	51%
DeLauter, Chase 8 hits last 10	L	10.3%	67.5%	40.2%	42.8%	.386 +.021	0.306	0.476	143	92.6	0.393	57%
Lowe, Nathaniel	L	12.4%	62.7%	39.3%	32.9%	.427 +.037 30g .520	0.279	0.486	118	90.9	0.391	55%
Bazzana, Travis	L	7.5%	59.0%	29.7%	38.3%	.306 -.012	0.207	0.302	134	88.1	0.325	41%
Martínez, Angel 8 hits last 10	L	9.1%	61.1%	31.9%	20.0%	.299	0.234	0.387	116	84.6	0.387	43%
Rocchio, Brayan	L	8.7%	64.2%	33.5%	24.1%	.314 -.005 30g .311	0.200	0.304	133	87.3	0.284	37%
Hoskins, Rhys	R	12.4%	52.8%	28.1%	38.9%	.392 +.035	0.192	0.436	90	92.6	0.459	63%

4 more scored, not in the expected nine

Hedges, Austin	R	6.5%	52.4%	21.9%	29.3%	.321 +.034 30g .375	0.280	0.427	95	84.4	0.297	37%
Bailey, Patrick	L	10.1%	58.9%	33.9%	28.1%	.366 +.020 30g .424	0.177	0.333	108	88.6	0.339	48%
Genao, Angel	L	10.4%	57.6%	30.7%	28.3%	—	0.341	0.463	46	93.1	0.329	53%
Halpin, Petey	L	6.9%	58.8%	26.4%	16.2%	.355 -.037	0.242	0.363	99	81.2	0.307	30%

STL @ CIN lineups posted Great American Ball Park · McGreevy, Michael vs Singer, Brady

76°F 2 mph out -1% air HR factor 118

STL — vs Singer, Brady RHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Wetherholt, JJ 5 walks last 10	L	14.3%	66.8%	41.8%	45.2%	.310 -.073	0.186	0.271	140	88.6	0.324	44%
Herrera, Iván 5 walks last 10	R	14.5%	68.1%	37.0%	36.6%	.352	0.238	0.381	140	90.2	0.358	54%
Burleson, Alec 9 hits last 10	L	18.6%	68.3%	48.1%	28.3%	.482 +.075	0.331	0.568	132	93.4	0.486	67%
Walker, Jordan	R	17.5%	68.7%	47.4%	24.5%	.370 -.038	0.272	0.416	135	88.5	0.359	43%
Church, Nathan	L	10.1%	63.7%	35.9%	19.9%	.318 +.001	0.208	0.250	107	82.4	0.296	26%
Torres, Bryan	L	6.3%	53.4%	29.2%	29.0%	.299 -.072	0.235	0.368	74	86.9	0.317	38%
Jordan, Blaze	R	12.6%	63.5%	42.3%	20.7%	.324 -.015	0.257	0.386	106	87.7	0.374	48%
Crooks, Jimmy	L	12.8%	52.4%	33.2%	21.5%	.324 -.028	0.177	0.329	86	91.2	0.349	53%
Fermín, José not starting 5 walks last 10	R	6.8%	60.3%	32.4%	34.6%	.373 30g .379	0.193	0.273	108	88.5	0.310	41%

3 more scored, not in the expected nine

Pereira, Everson not starting	R	14.9%	56.4%	33.0%	25.2%	.275 -.079	0.242	0.462	102	88.5	0.407	48%
Prieto, César not starting	L	6.8%	52.9%	30.5%	17.3%	—	0.054	0.054	37	80.0	0.265	29%
Winn, Masyn not starting	R	10.6%	62.3%	33.4%	36.9%	.321 -.003	0.218	0.309	124	89.0	0.360	36%

CIN — vs McGreevy, Michael RHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
De La Cruz, Elly	R	20.2%	67.2%	47.6%	36.4%	.426 +.001 30g .406	0.221	0.410	142	92.7	0.416	56%
Stewart, Sal 9 hits last 10	R	17.7%	66.3%	43.4%	24.0%	.366 -.065 30g .343	0.267	0.483	134	88.8	0.411	36%
Bleday, JJ	L	17.6%	63.1%	40.3%	37.1%	.363 +.008	0.167	0.296	126	88.0	0.329	49%
Stephenson, Tyler	R	16.1%	56.9%	42.7%	28.6%	.445 +.020	0.260	0.500	111	91.0	0.502	52%
McLain, Matt	R	13.1%	57.1%	33.8%	29.9%	.352 -.043	0.187	0.330	102	80.7	0.400	37%
Toglia, Michael	R	14.4%	55.4%	32.7%	30.3%	.565 +.130	0.155	0.268	108	88.6	0.367	58%
Myers, Dane	R	11.0%	59.2%	36.0%	31.0%	.344 -.021	0.253	0.343	113	84.7	0.281	44%
Rodríguez, Héctor	L	9.4%	53.4%	25.8%	18.9%	—	0.097	0.129	34	88.1	0.215	48%
Friedl, TJ not starting	L	7.5%	52.0%	25.9%	22.8%	.294 +.010	0.107	0.173	86	77.9	0.161	28%

3 more scored, not in the expected nine

Marte, Noelvi not starting	R	11.6%	55.1%	35.2%	16.5%	.365 +.017 30g .221	0.188	0.277	104	85.0	0.223	33%
Suárez, Eugenio not starting	R	18.2%	61.3%	40.0%	31.4%	.378	0.215	0.523	124	91.4	0.466	62%
Trevino, Jose not starting	R	7.8%	56.5%	32.4%	18.3%	.287 -.002 30g .246	0.253	0.411	97	83.1	0.255	34%

TB @ TOR expected lineups Tropicana Field · Seymour, Ian vs Bieber, Shane

72°F roof closed -1% air HR factor 103

TB — vs Bieber, Shane RHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Simpson, Chandler 10 hits last 10	L	3.6%	73.1%	35.5%	18.5%	.289 -.002 30g .277	0.385	0.427	127	79.0	0.267	10%
Caminero, Junior	R	21.1%	69.0%	41.0%	33.8%	.420 +.009	0.254	0.466	132	91.5	0.375	50%
Aranda, Jonathan	L	15.6%	67.8%	41.6%	33.1%	.457 +.018 30g .262	0.246	0.315	138	90.9	0.368	49%
Díaz, Yandy 8 2+TB last 10	R	14.8%	70.7%	43.1%	28.4%	.393 30g .417	0.265	0.432	144	90.1	0.377	54%
Mullins, Cedric	L	11.1%	62.9%	34.0%	26.7%	.328 +.029	0.198	0.368	121	82.9	0.249	36%
DeLuca, Jonny	R	12.0%	60.4%	34.9%	18.9%	.362 +.028	0.265	0.422	107	83.7	0.320	35%
Palacios, Richie 8 hits last 10	L	7.7%	56.5%	30.7%	30.4%	.349 +.007	0.237	0.412	96	83.1	0.299	50%
Fortes, Nick	R	8.1%	56.6%	33.3%	19.5%	.301 +.014	0.284	0.432	95	81.4	0.294	32%
Hicks, Liam not starting	L	9.1%	64.2%	35.8%	39.4%	.293 -.000	0.267	0.386	122	82.2	0.297	26%

3 more scored, not in the expected nine

Mesa Jr., Victor not starting	L	17.8%	63.4%	40.5%	23.5%	.376 -.015	0.224	0.500	108	87.2	0.348	48%
Vilade, Ryan not starting	R	15.3%	60.4%	37.7%	28.9%	.476 +.060	0.213	0.517	97	87.2	0.447	45%
Walls, Taylor not starting 10 hits last 10	L	4.2%	54.1%	25.4%	27.7%	.287 +.006	0.219	0.312	108	80.1	0.225	23%

TOR — vs Seymour, Ian LHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Bateman, Brett	L	4.2%	60.9%	32.4%	21.7%	—	0.271	0.312	51	76.0	0.297	18%
Guerrero Jr., Vladimir	R	11.7%	67.4%	39.8%	28.3%	.435 +.049	0.254	0.373	127	90.5	0.332	47%
Lukes, Nathan	L	6.2%	66.2%	36.9%	21.0%	.238 -.075	0.208	0.292	117	83.6	0.266	28%
Smith, Josh	L	6.3%	53.5%	27.4%	25.4%	.250 -.075	0.235	0.376	93	81.5	0.288	25%
Springer, George	R	11.9%	61.7%	33.5%	32.6%	.393 -.008	0.259	0.398	120	88.3	0.308	37%
Okamoto, Kazuma	R	16.2%	58.4%	33.4%	25.8%	.403 -.004	0.195	0.319	120	87.1	0.316	45%
Clement, Ernie	R	6.2%	60.8%	32.6%	15.9%	.318 +.032 30g .205	0.241	0.312	120	82.7	0.250	19%
Kirk, Alejandro 8 hits last 10	R	14.4%	65.0%	32.8%	30.0%	.330 -.029	0.360	0.550	117	89.6	0.354	49%
Sánchez, Jesús	L	12.3%	52.5%	30.2%	22.6%	.275	0.203	0.342	91	88.4	0.349	49%

5 more scored, not in the expected nine

McAdoo, Charles	R	11.6%	53.1%	29.4%	23.3%	—	0.292	0.458	52	86.2	0.366	35%
Valenzuela, Brandon	L	12.0%	52.3%	29.4%	27.0%	.282 -.072	0.222	0.384	110	87.3	0.399	50%
Giménez, Andrés 8 hits last 10	L	4.9%	58.9%	28.5%	16.2%	.306	0.257	0.337	110	83.2	0.309	26%
Cameron, Daz	R	9.9%	52.5%	27.3%	20.4%	—	0.227	0.320	77	89.6	0.335	39%
Straw, Myles	R	5.3%	51.4%	27.2%	21.3%	.288 -.024	0.203	0.316	85	82.3	0.303	26%

WSH @ TEX expected lineups Globe Life Field · Alvarez, Andrew vs deGrom, Jacob

74°F roof closed -5% air HR factor 94

WSH — vs deGrom, Jacob RHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Abrams, CJ	L	16.8%	60.7%	37.5%	26.2%	.380 +.007 30g .578	0.283	0.583	135	88.1	0.432	52%
Crews, Dylan	R	14.5%	62.0%	38.4%	24.7%	.328 -.046	0.198	0.360	126	88.9	0.372	45%
House, Brady	R	12.8%	58.0%	35.8%	18.9%	.448 +.032	0.230	0.400	108	87.2	0.456	53%
Ortiz, Abimelec 4 HR last 10	L	16.8%	58.5%	34.2%	23.0%	.350 +.000	0.277	0.638	50	92.2	0.494	83%
Lile, Daylen	L	13.4%	60.7%	32.5%	16.4%	.384 +.006 30g .274	0.226	0.396	112	89.2	0.381	50%
Chaparro, Andrés	R	13.8%	53.9%	32.3%	23.6%	.244	0.304	0.710	78	88.6	0.470	69%
Ruiz, Keibert 8 hits last 10	L	6.7%	64.3%	29.4%	15.9%	.295 -.000 30g .331	0.275	0.363	112	87.2	0.298	41%
Young, Jacob 8 hits last 10	R	7.9%	56.3%	27.3%	22.4%	.357 +.021	0.330	0.495	112	83.9	0.353	25%
Ford, Harry	R	8.5%	49.2%	21.4%	27.0%	—	0.220	0.407	69	84.9	0.280	36%

2 more scored, not in the expected nine

Vivas, Jorbit	L	4.9%	54.0%	28.5%	27.4%	.268 -.017	0.195	0.234	95	80.8	0.245	22%
Nuñez, Nasim	L	3.9%	60.2%	22.0%	24.0%	.284 30g .342	0.176	0.176	115	84.5	0.254	27%

TEX — vs Alvarez, Andrew LHP

		Model probs · tonight				vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA)	Last 30 games
Batter	B	Home Run	Hit	2+ Total Bases	Walk	vs this arsenal	AVG	SLG	PA	Exit Velo	xwOBA	Hard-Hit
Langford, Wyatt	R	14.8%	63.4%	40.7%	39.5%	.429 +.037	0.225	0.414	126	90.9	0.359	54%
Seager, Corey	L	16.3%	64.7%	39.5%	37.9%	.358 -.085	0.218	0.382	124	91.3	0.375	50%
Pederson, Joc	L	17.3%	55.4%	27.1%	29.3%	—	0.253	0.575	97	93.1	0.426	63%
Nimmo, Brandon	L	12.5%	66.3%	42.7%	27.6%	.372 -.025	0.292	0.451	123	91.6	0.383	54%
Duran, Ezequiel	R	11.4%	59.3%	30.9%	24.2%	.367 +.022	0.243	0.414	123	87.0	0.343	42%
Burger, Jake	R	14.4%	61.0%	37.9%	26.7%	.398 +.009	0.224	0.402	115	90.2	0.357	53%
Freeman, Cody	R	4.6%	53.4%	31.0%	21.8%	.244 -.037	0.247	0.301	101	80.4	0.255	23%
Carter, Evan	L	8.6%	53.1%	24.5%	33.4%	.191 -.134	0.214	0.298	95	85.5	0.284	33%
Díaz, Elias	R	11.8%	55.0%	30.7%	21.3%	.342	0.170	0.239	93	85.2	0.289	44%

1 more scored, not in the expected nine

Lopez, Nicky

L

3.3%

54.4%

28.7%

21.3%

.285 +.021

0.200

0.224

96

80.6

0.259

23%

2026-08-20 · 9 lineup cards