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Today's Games
2026-10-17 · 1 lineup card
TB @ CLE
expected lineups
Progressive Field · Nick Martinez vs Shawn Armstrong
70°F
HR factor 93
TB — vs Shawn Armstrong
RHP
| Model probs · tonight | vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA) | Last 30 games | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Batter | B | Home Run | Hit | Walk | 2+ Total Bases | vs this arsenal
vs this arsenal
His xwOBA against pitches shaped like the ones tonight's starter throws, weighted by how often the pitcher uses each one. Then the gap versus his own overall xwOBA, and the same over his last 30 games. |
AVG | SLG | PA | Exit Velo | xwOBA | Hard-Hit |
| Jonathan Aranda P | L | 10.3% | 50.3% | 21.0% | 37.9% | .502 +.063 | 0.232 | 0.473 | 128 | — | — | — |
| Junior Caminero | R | 17.4% | 53.1% | 18.7% | 39.5% | .410 -.008 | 0.243 | 0.435 | 129 | — | — | — |
| Jonny DeLuca
8 hits last 10 |
R | 7.9% | 45.4% | 12.7% | 25.6% | .318 +.003 | 0.257 | 0.394 | 116 | — | — | — |
| Yandy Díaz
8 hits last 10 |
R | 10.5% | 68.9% | 19.6% | 41.9% | .368 30g .323 | 0.248 | 0.349 | 139 | — | — | — |
| Nick Fortes | R | 6.1% | 39.9% | 13.1% | 13.4% | — | 0.253 | 0.434 | 92 | — | — | — |
| Liam Hicks P | L | 5.7% | 47.7% | 16.8% | 27.5% | .307 +.009 30g .307 | 0.253 | 0.330 | 101 | — | — | — |
| Victor Mesa Jr. P | L | 12.4% | 43.9% | 17.4% | 38.3% | .367 -.020 | 0.306 | 0.531 | 108 | — | — | — |
| Cedric Mullins P | L | 6.1% | 36.3% | 15.2% | 18.8% | .292 -.001 | 0.188 | 0.312 | 94 | — | — | — |
| Richie Palacios P | L | 5.1% | 41.6% | 14.7% | 19.6% | .342 +.025 | 0.207 | 0.413 | 102 | — | — | — |
4 more scored, not in the expected nine
| Chandler Simpson P | L | 2.3% | 45.6% | 10.7% | 23.0% | .303 +.017 30g .292 | 0.288 | 0.331 | 123 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Vilade | R | 9.9% | 37.4% | 19.2% | 19.9% | .399 +.015 | 0.230 | 0.392 | 87 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Walls P | L | 2.6% | 37.1% | 16.0% | 14.7% | .309 +.031 | 0.207 | 0.250 | 106 | — | — | — |
| Ben Williamson | R | 3.5% | 37.0% | 15.0% | 15.7% | .299 -.007 | 0.233 | 0.289 | 99 | — | — | — |
CLE — vs Nick Martinez
RHP
| Model probs · tonight | vs tonight's arsenal (xwOBA) | Last 30 games | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Batter | B | Home Run | Hit | Walk | 2+ Total Bases | vs this arsenal
vs this arsenal
His xwOBA against pitches shaped like the ones tonight's starter throws, weighted by how often the pitcher uses each one. Then the gap versus his own overall xwOBA, and the same over his last 30 games. |
AVG | SLG | PA | Exit Velo | xwOBA | Hard-Hit |
| Jo Adell | R | 15.4% | 70.4% | 22.9% | 41.5% | .437 -.001 30g .308 | 0.229 | 0.373 | 133 | — | — | — |
| Patrick Bailey
P
3 HR last 10 |
L | 13.1% | 58.6% | 21.2% | 35.9% | .384 +.024 | 0.304 | 0.522 | 105 | — | — | — |
| Travis Bazzana P | L | 10.3% | 63.2% | 21.2% | 36.9% | .336 +.012 30g .380 | 0.245 | 0.510 | 116 | — | — | — |
| Chase DeLauter
P
8 hits last 10 |
L | 12.0% | 71.3% | 35.8% | 42.8% | .382 +.020 30g .347 | 0.286 | 0.482 | 128 | — | — | — |
| Angel Genao P | L | 10.8% | 56.1% | 18.6% | 24.3% | — | 0.174 | 0.239 | 99 | — | — | — |
| Petey Halpin P | L | 8.3% | 55.1% | 16.7% | 28.6% | — | 0.250 | 0.408 | 85 | — | — | — |
| Austin Hedges
5 walks last 10 |
R | 7.9% | 50.8% | 23.1% | 25.0% | .248 -.018 | 0.171 | 0.280 | 96 | — | — | — |
| Steven Kwan
P
5 walks last 10 |
L | 3.6% | 77.9% | 32.3% | 33.7% | .321 +.017 30g .343 | 0.289 | 0.364 | 141 | — | — | — |
| Nathaniel Lowe P | L | 13.4% | 63.2% | 24.8% | 34.4% | .394 +.003 30g .317 | 0.211 | 0.344 | 108 | — | — | — |
3 more scored, not in the expected nine
| Angel Martínez P | L | 10.2% | 53.2% | 13.9% | 29.7% | .316 | 0.248 | 0.505 | 112 | — | — | — |
| José Ramírez
P
5 walks last 10 |
L | 9.7% | 71.3% | 22.9% | 40.4% | .343 30g .285 | 0.250 | 0.395 | 137 | — | — | — |
| Brayan Rocchio P | L | 7.7% | 64.3% | 18.0% | 30.5% | .335 +.013 | 0.243 | 0.447 | 116 | — | — | — |