Pitch Mix Analysis
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
Batter: Valenzuela, Brandon
Long and lofted
Pitcher: Rasmussen, Drew (RHP)
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643 pitches seen
·
0.342 xwOBA against shapes like this arsenal,
vs 0.354 against everything
(-0.012)
·
last 30 games: 0.410
+0.068
on 356 pitches, covering 20% of the arsenal
Pitch familiarity
Pitchers' arsenals are grouped by pitch shape — velocity, break and spin — and weighted by how often this pitcher throws each, so the number describes the arsenal he will face tonight.
Compared against this batter's own mark across every shape he has faced, so “done well” means well for him.
Descriptive — the model does not read it.
Hot Zones
by location · xwOBA on contact (excludes Ks/BBs, so runs higher than a full-PA xwOBA), dimmed cells are too few balls in play to trust
Overall vs RHP
33p
0.386
32p
0.309
21p
0.315
45p
0.495
64p
0.538
29p
0.266
40p
0.272
35p
30p
How Valenzuela, Brandon handles each pitch
Reading these bars
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs RHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Rasmussen, Drew's Arsenal, by Pitch Type
ordered by usage vs. a RHH batter
Matched by pitch name
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | Valenzuela, Brandon: BA | Valenzuela, Brandon: HR% | Valenzuela, Brandon: Hard-Hit% | Valenzuela, Brandon: Exit Velo | Valenzuela, Brandon: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 35% | 95.4 | 13.1" | -14.7" | 2425 | 2.3% | 36% | 0.312 | 0.368 | 0.0% | 25% | 83.9 | 0.280 |
| FC | 31% | 89.9 | 3.4" | 4.6" | 2676 | 3.0% | 37% | 0.316 | 0.231 | 0.0% | 25% | 78.3 | 0.353 |
| FF | 23% | 96.0 | 17.5" | -4.2" | 2500 | 2.3% | 49% | 0.401 | 0.235 | 3.9% | 46% | 90.1 | 0.451 |
| ST | 9% | 84.6 | -1.6" | 12.1" | 2625 | 2.9% | 54% | 0.450 | |||||
| CH | 2% | 90.1 | 2.5" | -13.0" | 1247 | 0.0% | 0.238 | 4.8% | 14% | 78.4 | 0.358 | ||
| CU | 0% | 82.8 | -9.6" | 5.4" | 2763 | 0.273 | 0.0% | ||||||
| SL | 0% | 84.7 | -4.8" | 2.8" | 2842 | 0.231 | 15.4% | 50% | 89.4 | 0.522 |
Rasmussen, Drew's Arsenal, by Pitch Shape
grouped by velo/break/spin, not label
Why shape beats the label
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | Valenzuela, Brandon: BA | Valenzuela, Brandon: HR% | Valenzuela, Brandon: Hard-Hit% | Valenzuela, Brandon: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EP/FA/SL | 43% | 95.7 | 15.8" | -8.9" | 0.376 | ||||
| FF/SI/FC | 43% | 95.7 | 15.9" | -8.9" | 0.376 | 0.143 | 3.6% | 42% | 0.295 |
| FC/SL/FF | 28% | 90.2 | 4.0" | 4.6" | 0.317 | 0.238 | 0.0% | 33% | 0.371 |
| SI/FF/CH | 14% | 95.2 | 11.7" | -15.9" | 0.229 | 0.348 | 4.3% | 23% | 0.409 |
| ST/SL/CU | 10% | 85.5 | -1.5" | 10.6" | 0.428 | ||||
| SL/ST/CU | 2% | 85.2 | -1.6" | 8.2" | 0.389 | ||||
| CH/FS/FO | 2% | 90.1 | 2.4" | -12.9" | 0.267 | 6.7% | 27% | 0.427 | |
| FF/SI/FC | 1% | 94.4 | 14.9" | -11.7" | 0.292 | 4.2% | 44% | 0.496 | |
| CU/KC/ST | 0% | 83.2 | -10.1" | 6.2" | 0.214 | 0.0% | |||
| CH/SI/FS | 0% | 90.5 | 4.2" | -14.5" | 0.111 | 0.0% |
At-Bat Log
Every plate appearance
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
100 PA · 30 games · 2026-06-03 to 2026-08-19
21 hits
8 walks
1 hit by pitch
29 strikeouts
41 outs in play
avg exit velo 86.9 mph over 61 tracked
xwOBA 0.314
| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Out line drive | 1-2 | FC | 91.0 | 79.9 | 29° | 264 | LF | 0.140 | 0.234 | 0.162 | Wells, Tyler |
| 2026-08-19 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 95.0 | 98.4 | 25° | 354 | RF | 0.397 | 0.992 | 0.578 | Booser, Cam |
| 2026-08-19 | Single ground ball | 1-1 | CH | 88.8 | 103.5 | 5° | 106 | RF | 0.583 | 0.664 | 0.543 | Rasmussen, Drew |
| 2026-08-19 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CH | 89.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rasmussen, Drew |
| 2026-08-15 | Hit By Pitch | 2-2 | SL | 75.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.729 | Hill, Tim |
| 2026-08-15 | Force Out ground ball | 2-2 | FF | 95.3 | 94.8 | 3° | 88 | Infield | 0.469 | 0.543 | 0.449 | Headrick, Brent |
| 2026-08-15 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 98.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Schlittler, Cam |
| 2026-08-15 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 98.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Schlittler, Cam |
| 2026-08-13 | Out ground ball | 2-2 | FF | 97.5 | 103.0 | 6° | 142 | Infield | 0.649 | 0.732 | 0.603 | Tolle, Payton |
| 2026-08-13 | Out popup | 2-1 | FF | 95.7 | 87.6 | 62° | 184 | RF corner | 0.014 | 0.018 | 0.015 | Tolle, Payton |
| 2026-08-13 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 1-2 | FF | 96.5 | 88.9 | -13° | 11 | Infield | 0.121 | 0.142 | 0.110 | Tolle, Payton |
| 2026-08-10 | Reached On Error ground ball | 2-2 | FF | 94.2 | 102.2 | -8° | 19 | RF gap | 0.283 | 0.300 | 0.259 | Morán, Jovani |
| 2026-08-10 | Force Out ground ball | 2-0 | SI | 91.5 | 64.0 | -40° | 3 | Infield | 0.121 | 0.121 | 0.114 | Gray, Sonny |
| 2026-08-10 | Double line drive | 1-2 | SI | 93.0 | 92.2 | 25° | 357 | RF gap | 0.089 | 0.164 | 0.098 | Gray, Sonny |
| 2026-08-08 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | CH | 91.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Shugart, Chase |
| 2026-08-08 | Out popup | 1-1 | FF | 95.1 | 69.0 | 62° | 162 | LF corner | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | Kerkering, Orion |
| 2026-08-08 | Walk | 3-2 | ST | 79.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Raley, Brooks |
| 2026-08-08 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | SI | 93.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Nola, Aaron |
| 2026-08-05 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SI | 96.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Brown, Hunter |
| 2026-08-05 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | SI | 95.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Brown, Hunter |
| 2026-07-31 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 0-2 | CH | 87.7 | 87.4 | -21° | 5 | Infield | 0.053 | 0.053 | 0.048 | Graceffo, Gordon |
| 2026-07-31 | Single line drive | 1-2 | ST | 79.7 | 69.4 | 20° | 203 | CF | 0.834 | 0.868 | 0.751 | Bruihl, Justin |
| 2026-07-31 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FF | 93.4 | 71.6 | 23° | 220 | CF | 0.986 | 1.025 | 0.887 | Leahy, Kyle |
| 2026-07-31 | Single ground ball | 2-0 | SL | 89.8 | 108.0 | 6° | 132 | RF | 0.623 | 0.727 | 0.584 | Leahy, Kyle |
| 2026-07-28 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | CH | 87.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Ribalta, Orlando |
| 2026-07-28 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | CH | 89.1 | 47.6 | -57° | 1 | Infield | 0.213 | 0.213 | 0.192 | Cavalli, Cade |
| 2026-07-25 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 95.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Gamboa, Alec |
| 2026-07-25 | Out popup | 2-2 | SL | 89.1 | 70.7 | 85° | 25 | RF corner | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.003 | Gamboa, Alec |
| 2026-07-25 | Out line drive | 1-1 | FF | 90.3 | 101.6 | 23° | 362 | RF gap | 0.577 | 1.502 | 0.859 | Gray, Sonny |
| 2026-07-25 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | ST | 85.5 | 100.9 | 3° | 73 | Infield | 0.531 | 0.607 | 0.496 | Gray, Sonny |
| 2026-07-21 | Out ground ball | 3-2 | SL | 87.3 | 101.4 | 3° | 85 | Infield | 0.531 | 0.607 | 0.496 | Cleavinger, Garrett |
| 2026-07-21 | Out line drive | 0-2 | FF | 93.6 | 93.2 | 19° | 316 | CF | 0.457 | 0.636 | 0.450 | Sulser, Cole |
| 2026-07-21 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FC | 89.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rasmussen, Drew |
| 2026-07-21 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 95.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Rasmussen, Drew |
| 2026-07-19 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | FF | 93.3 | 97.4 | 41° | 328 | LF gap | 0.051 | 0.169 | 0.087 | Hudson, Bryan |
| 2026-07-19 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | SI | 95.0 | 97.0 | 41° | 322 | LF gap | 0.051 | 0.169 | 0.087 | Burke, Sean |
| 2026-07-19 | Out fly ball | 1-1 | SL | 88.7 | 91.7 | 38° | 317 | CF | 0.031 | 0.077 | 0.045 | Burke, Sean |
| 2026-07-17 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | CH | 89.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Schweitzer, Tyler |
| 2026-07-17 | Home Run fly ball | 1-0 | FF | 90.7 | 103.8 | 22° | 375 | RF | 0.703 | 1.883 | 1.071 | Richards, Trevor |
| 2026-07-17 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 94.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Kay, Anthony |
| 2026-07-17 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CH | 87.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Kay, Anthony |
| 2026-07-12 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 99.3 | 77.1 | -21° | 7 | Infield | 0.043 | 0.052 | 0.044 | Morejon, Adrian |
| 2026-07-12 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CH | 82.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Marinaccio, Ron |
| 2026-07-12 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | SL | 89.2 | 49.4 | -76° | 0 | LF corner | 0.145 | 0.145 | 0.130 | Márquez, Germán |
| 2026-07-12 | Single line drive | 2-2 | FF | 96.4 | 99.4 | 12° | 257 | LF gap | 0.940 | 1.084 | 0.882 | Márquez, Germán |
| 2026-07-07 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | FF | 95.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Houser, Adrian |
| 2026-07-07 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | CH | 86.0 | 70.2 | -35° | 4 | Infield | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.054 | Houser, Adrian |
| 2026-07-07 | Single line drive | 2-0 | SI | 91.7 | 72.3 | 18° | 206 | CF | 0.851 | 0.906 | 0.778 | McDonald, Trevor |
| 2026-07-07 | Single fly ball | 0-0 | SI | 92.1 | 74.6 | 43° | 234 | CF | 0.166 | 0.216 | 0.165 | McDonald, Trevor |
| 2026-07-05 | Out popup | 0-2 | FF | 97.9 | 91.2 | 68° | 132 | Infield | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | Speier, Gabe |
| 2026-07-04 | Out fly ball | 0-1 | FF | 95.6 | 71.0 | 42° | 219 | LF corner | 0.386 | 0.484 | 0.380 | Wilcox, Cole |
| 2026-07-04 | Out popup | 0-0 | FF | 96.4 | 92.4 | 80° | 37 | RF corner | 0.009 | 0.010 | 0.008 | Gilbert, Logan |
| 2026-07-04 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | FF | 97.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Gilbert, Logan |
| 2026-06-29 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 92.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Gerber, Joey |
| 2026-06-29 | Walk | 3-2 | ST | 85.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Warren, Austin |
| 2026-06-29 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | FC | 84.2 | 32.8 | -73° | 1 | Infield | 0.200 | 0.200 | 0.180 | Manaea, Sean |
| 2026-06-29 | Force Out ground ball | 0-1 | FF | 91.1 | 77.2 | -4° | 24 | Infield | 0.094 | 0.103 | 0.086 | Manaea, Sean |
| 2026-06-26 | Walk | 3-2 | CH | 85.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Latz, Jacob |
| 2026-06-26 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | CU | 73.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Eovaldi, Nathan |
| 2026-06-26 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 96.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Eovaldi, Nathan |
| 2026-06-25 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | FF | 94.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Latz, Jacob |
| 2026-06-23 | Force Out ground ball | 3-2 | FF | 92.7 | 90.5 | -17° | 9 | Infield | 0.121 | 0.142 | 0.116 | VanWey, Logan |
| 2026-06-23 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CU | 83.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Pearson, Nate |
| 2026-06-23 | Out popup | 0-0 | CH | 87.4 | 65.8 | 89° | 26 | LF corner | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | De Los Santos, Enyel |
| 2026-06-23 | Out line drive | 3-2 | FC | 91.2 | 88.8 | 21° | 295 | CF | 0.363 | 0.440 | 0.327 | Lambert, Peter |
| 2026-06-23 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 94.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Lambert, Peter |
| 2026-06-23 | Walk | 3-2 | FC | 92.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Lambert, Peter |
| 2026-06-20 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | CH | 86.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Webb, Jacob |
| 2026-06-20 | Out fly ball | 0-1 | FC | 88.8 | 96.5 | 31° | 343 | RF | 0.251 | 0.863 | 0.460 | Thornton, Trent |
| 2026-06-20 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FF | 90.6 | 98.6 | 10° | 169 | RF | 0.777 | 0.907 | 0.736 | Rea, Colin |
| 2026-06-20 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SL | 86.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rea, Colin |
| 2026-06-18 | Double fly ball | 3-2 | SI | 100.1 | 99.7 | 51° | 321 | LF | 0.011 | 0.022 | 0.013 | Chapman, Aroldis |
| 2026-06-18 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | FC | 87.8 | 96.6 | 46° | 316 | CF | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | Gray, Sonny |
| 2026-06-18 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | SI | 92.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Gray, Sonny |
| 2026-06-18 | Single line drive | 2-1 | FF | 91.2 | 105.8 | 10° | 194 | RF | 0.883 | 1.119 | 0.867 | Gray, Sonny |
| 2026-06-13 | Single line drive | 0-1 | FC | 95.6 | 80.1 | 19° | 215 | RF gap | 0.983 | 1.078 | 0.901 | Schlittler, Cam |
| 2026-06-13 | Walk | 3-1 | SI | 97.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Schlittler, Cam |
| 2026-06-13 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | SI | 99.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Schlittler, Cam |
| 2026-06-10 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FC | 91.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Alvarado, José |
| 2026-06-10 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FF | 97.6 | 85.2 | 12° | 188 | RF | 0.611 | 0.707 | 0.581 | Luzardo, Jesús |
| 2026-06-10 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | ST | 88.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Luzardo, Jesús |
| 2026-06-10 | Out ground ball | 2-2 | CH | 86.3 | 78.0 | -25° | 5 | Infield | 0.043 | 0.046 | 0.041 | Luzardo, Jesús |
| 2026-06-09 | Single line drive | 1-2 | FF | 99.9 | 89.3 | 13° | 220 | LF gap | 0.914 | 1.070 | 0.876 | Duran, Jhoan |
| 2026-06-09 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | FF | 94.8 | 91.9 | 53° | 250 | Infield | 0.003 | 0.005 | 0.003 | Wheeler, Zack |
| 2026-06-09 | Out fly ball | 0-1 | FF | 95.8 | 78.4 | 55° | 205 | RF gap | 0.057 | 0.085 | 0.062 | Wheeler, Zack |
| 2026-06-09 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 0-0 | FC | 92.1 | 80.7 | -5° | 28 | Infield | 0.137 | 0.164 | 0.143 | Wheeler, Zack |
| 2026-06-08 | Out ground ball | 2-2 | CH | 86.9 | 81.0 | 11° | 131 | Infield | 0.474 | 0.525 | 0.442 | Sánchez, Cristopher |
| 2026-06-07 | Home Run fly ball | 1-2 | CH | 86.0 | 103.0 | 29° | 388 | RF | 0.774 | 2.943 | 1.531 | Garcia, Rico |
| 2026-06-07 | Walk | 3-1 | FF | 93.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Baz, Shane |
| 2026-06-06 | Double fly ball | 0-1 | FF | 93.7 | 97.4 | 29° | 388 | LF gap | 0.254 | 0.799 | 0.434 | Suárez, Albert |
| 2026-06-06 | Sac Fly fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 93.1 | 94.4 | 30° | 360 | RF gap | — | — | 0.236 | Akin, Keegan |
| 2026-06-06 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | FF | 94.1 | 101.5 | -6° | 25 | CF | 0.245 | 0.256 | 0.220 | Bradish, Kyle |
| 2026-06-06 | Double line drive | 1-0 | CU | 85.3 | 85.8 | 11° | 158 | RF corner | 0.626 | 0.719 | 0.593 | Bradish, Kyle |
| 2026-06-05 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | FC | 93.8 | 68.4 | 15° | 134 | LF gap | 0.400 | 0.437 | 0.363 | Wolfram, Grant |
| 2026-06-05 | Home Run fly ball | 2-2 | SL | 83.7 | 106.2 | 24° | 417 | RF gap | 0.920 | 3.293 | 1.727 | Young, Brandon |
| 2026-06-05 | Incomplete PA | 0-1 | FF | 94.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Young, Brandon |
| 2026-06-03 | Home Run fly ball | 2-0 | FF | 93.9 | 104.4 | 35° | 399 | RF | 0.660 | 2.583 | 1.323 | Kinley, Tyler |
| 2026-06-03 | Walk | 3-1 | FF | 91.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Lee, Dylan |
| 2026-06-03 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | SL | 85.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Holmes, Grant |
| 2026-06-03 | Out fly ball | 2-0 | FF | 94.2 | 100.8 | 30° | 380 | LF gap | 0.557 | 2.091 | 1.090 | Holmes, Grant |