Batter vs Pitch Arsenal
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
Lucas Spence LHB HOU vs Sean Burke RHP CHA P
P = platoon edge (batter faces the opposite hand)
Bat speed, barrel rate, exit velocity and chase rate over the last 30 games against this player's own last 100, so it reads as “is he himself right now” rather than “is he good”.
Flagged only when it has moved further than three quarters of hitters do. Movement in either direction counts.
Descriptive — the model does not use it.
whole-game, not filtered to this arsenal — see the per-pitch sections belowOverall vs RHP
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs RHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | Lucas Spence: BA | Lucas Spence: HR% | Lucas Spence: Hard-Hit% | Lucas Spence: Exit Velo | Lucas Spence: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 43% | 94.8 | 18.2" | -5.3" | 2578 | 3.9% | 32% | 0.349 | 0.214 | 21.4% | |||
| KC | 26% | 79.6 | -14.4" | 5.9" | 2502 | 1.2% | 38% | 0.361 | |||||
| SL | 10% | 86.7 | 4.2" | 5.2" | 2527 | 7.3% | 56% | 0.412 | |||||
| FC | 7% | 90.1 | 9.5" | 3.5" | 2662 | 2.9% | 42% | 0.314 | |||||
| CH | 7% | 85.8 | 9.2" | -14.5" | 1828 | 10.0% | 34% | 0.440 | 0.111 | 11.1% | |||
| SI | 7% | 95.0 | 13.9" | -13.4" | 2426 | 4.2% | 57% | 0.453 |
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | Lucas Spence: BA | Lucas Spence: HR% | Lucas Spence: Hard-Hit% | Lucas Spence: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF/SI/FC | 47% | 94.9 | 17.8" | -6.1" | 0.367 | 0.200 | 20.0% | ||
| CU/KC/ST | 26% | 79.6 | -14.5" | 6.0" | 0.365 | ||||
| FC/SL/FF | 14% | 88.6 | 7.2" | 4.3" | 0.352 | ||||
| CH/SI/FS | 6% | 85.8 | 9.3" | -14.5" | 0.423 | ||||
| SL/ST/CU | 2% | 84.3 | 0.4" | 5.0" | 0.522 | ||||
| EP/FA/SL | 2% | 92.7 | 16.0" | -8.6" | 0.406 | ||||
| FF/SI/FC | 2% | 92.7 | 16.0" | -8.6" | 0.406 | ||||
| SI/FF/CH | 1% | 94.7 | 11.9" | -15.1" | |||||
| ST/SL/CU | 1% | 86.1 | 1.9" | 6.5" | |||||
| CH/FS/FO | 0% | 84.5 | 5.2" | -12.0" |
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
60 PA · 19 games · 2026-07-17 to 2026-09-30| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | SI | 100.3 | 87.4 | -29° | 3 | Infield | 0.050 | 0.054 | 0.045 | Jordan Hicks |
| 2026-09-30 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 94.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-09-30 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | KC | 79.9 | 73.0 | 5° | 70 | Infield | 0.228 | 0.257 | 0.219 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-09-29 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 97.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Grant Taylor |
| 2026-09-29 | Single ground ball | 3-1 | SI | 94.9 | 102.8 | -1° | 43 | LF gap | 0.460 | 0.500 | 0.421 | Sean Newcomb |
| 2026-09-29 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 83.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Hagen Smith |
| 2026-09-27 | Walk | 3-1 | SI | 93.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Geoff Hartlieb |
| 2026-09-27 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 94.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Chris Roycroft |
| 2026-09-27 | Out ground ball | 2-2 | SL | 85.2 | 81.7 | -8° | 18 | Infield | 0.082 | 0.107 | 0.074 | Scott Blewett |
| 2026-09-27 | Triple line drive | 0-1 | SL | 81.7 | 94.0 | 24° | 351 | RF gap | 0.169 | 0.346 | 0.217 | Brady Basso |
| 2026-09-27 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 95.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Seth Johnson |
| 2026-09-26 | Home Run fly ball | 2-0 | FF | 93.1 | 101.1 | 35° | 380 | RF | 0.391 | 1.471 | 0.759 | Yunior Tur |
| 2026-09-26 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | FF | 95.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Scott Blewett |
| 2026-09-26 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | CH | 88.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Jack Perkins |
| 2026-09-25 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 95.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Hogan Harris |
| 2026-09-25 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | FF | 97.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Seth Johnson |
| 2026-09-25 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | FF | 90.2 | 56.4 | 9° | 73 | RF corner | 0.127 | 0.162 | 0.115 | Jacob Lopez |
| 2026-09-25 | Out fly ball | 3-1 | FF | 90.3 | 102.0 | 32° | 390 | CF | 0.554 | 2.110 | 1.083 | Jacob Lopez |
| 2026-09-24 | Home Run line drive | 0-0 | FF | 97.1 | 101.8 | 24° | 351 | RF | 0.623 | 1.850 | 1.020 | Elvis Alvarado |
| 2026-09-24 | Home Run fly ball | 1-1 | FF | 97.5 | 96.9 | 30° | 387 | RF gap | 0.266 | 0.847 | 0.461 | Scott Blewett |
| 2026-09-24 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | FF | 95.1 | 96.2 | 29° | 383 | CF | 0.237 | 0.710 | 0.398 | Mason Barnett |
| 2026-09-24 | Home Run line drive | 1-1 | CH | 85.8 | 105.8 | 24° | 429 | RF gap | 0.920 | 3.293 | 1.727 | Mason Barnett |
| 2026-09-23 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 97.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Seranthony Domínguez |
| 2026-09-23 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SI | 99.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | José A. Ferrer |
| 2026-09-23 | Out popup | 0-1 | FF | 96.4 | 50.8 | 55° | 118 | LF corner | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.005 | George Kirby |
| 2026-09-23 | Walk | 3-1 | FF | 96.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | George Kirby |
| 2026-07-29 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 88.5 | 92.6 | -14° | 9 | RF | 0.130 | 0.145 | 0.117 | Brent Suter |
| 2026-07-29 | Walk | 3-1 | SL | 83.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Mitch Farris |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 96.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Grayson Rodriguez |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 83.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Grayson Rodriguez |
| 2026-07-28 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 81.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Mitch Farris |
| 2026-07-27 | Fielder's Choice ground ball | 0-1 | SL | 89.7 | 104.8 | -5° | 17 | Infield | 0.425 | 0.450 | 0.382 | José Fermín |
| 2026-07-27 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | CH | 90.4 | 85.0 | -38° | 3 | Infield | 0.060 | 0.061 | 0.055 | Walbert Ureña |
| 2026-07-27 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CH | 93.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Walbert Ureña |
| 2026-07-25 | Out line drive | 1-1 | SL | 86.8 | 88.0 | 23° | 306 | CF | 0.174 | 0.262 | 0.184 | Tyler Schweitzer |
| 2026-07-25 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | CH | 79.5 | 86.3 | -11° | 13 | RF corner | 0.143 | 0.176 | 0.129 | Trevor Richards |
| 2026-07-25 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | FC | 90.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-07-25 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 97.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-07-24 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | CH | 79.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Trevor Richards |
| 2026-07-24 | Single line drive | 0-0 | SI | 92.6 | 91.4 | 12° | 201 | LF | 0.800 | 0.915 | 0.763 | Davis Martin |
| 2026-07-22 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | FF | 97.3 | 91.8 | 52° | 262 | LF gap | 0.006 | 0.013 | 0.009 | Sandy Alcantara |
| 2026-07-22 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 91.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sandy Alcantara |
| 2026-07-22 | Force Out ground ball | 0-0 | FC | 90.9 | 71.6 | -28° | 4 | Infield | 0.057 | 0.061 | 0.051 | Sandy Alcantara |
| 2026-07-21 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 96.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Ryan Gusto |
| 2026-07-21 | Out ground ball | 3-2 | SI | 94.0 | 90.0 | -30° | 4 | CF | 0.079 | 0.104 | 0.078 | Tyler Phillips |
| 2026-07-21 | Double line drive | 3-2 | SI | 94.7 | 98.0 | 22° | 348 | RF | 0.311 | 0.632 | 0.393 | Tyler Phillips |
| 2026-07-20 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | SI | 93.4 | 107.3 | -6° | 20 | Infield | 0.381 | 0.419 | 0.352 | Dax Fulton |
| 2026-07-20 | Out fly ball | 1-1 | SL | 89.0 | 101.1 | 33° | 374 | RF gap | 0.426 | 1.662 | 0.860 | Dax Fulton |
| 2026-07-20 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | CH | 86.8 | 106.9 | 6° | 116 | Infield | 0.629 | 0.718 | 0.586 | Janson Junk |
| 2026-07-20 | Walk | 3-2 | SL | 87.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Janson Junk |
| 2026-07-19 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | SI | 96.5 | 82.4 | -40° | 2 | Infield | 0.079 | 0.083 | 0.077 | Grant Wolfram |
| 2026-07-19 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 85.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Brandon Young |
| 2026-07-19 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 95.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Brandon Young |
| 2026-07-19 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 86.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Brandon Young |
| 2026-07-18 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | FC | 91.0 | 84.2 | 57° | 220 | LF corner | 0.026 | 0.036 | 0.027 | Tyler Wells |
| 2026-07-18 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FC | 83.7 | 79.7 | 18° | 214 | RF gap | 0.997 | 1.124 | 0.931 | Trevor Rogers |
| 2026-07-18 | Single ground ball | 1-0 | FF | 93.4 | 106.9 | 7° | 163 | CF | 0.626 | 0.716 | 0.585 | Trevor Rogers |
| 2026-07-18 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 93.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Trevor Rogers |
| 2026-07-17 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | FF | 94.0 | 96.7 | 39° | 344 | LF gap | 0.077 | 0.271 | 0.139 | Andrew Kittredge |
| 2026-07-17 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 96.2 | 103.7 | -21° | 5 | RF gap | 0.183 | 0.204 | 0.165 | Grant Wolfram |