Pitch Mix Analysis
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
Batter: Riley, Austin
Long and lofted
Pitcher: Kay, Anthony (LHP)
filtered for today’s matchup
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1,152 pitches seen
·
0.387 xwOBA against shapes like this arsenal,
vs 0.416 against everything
(-0.030)
Pitch familiarity
Pitchers' arsenals are grouped by pitch shape — velocity, break and spin — and weighted by how often this pitcher throws each, so the number describes the arsenal he will face tonight.
Compared against this batter's own mark across every shape he has faced, so “done well” means well for him.
Descriptive — the model does not read it.
Hot Zones
by location · xwOBA on contact (excludes Ks/BBs, so runs higher than a full-PA xwOBA), dimmed cells are too few balls in play to trust
Overall vs LHP
37p
0.736
53p
49p
0.549
66p
0.396
71p
0.397
53p
0.547
46p
0.459
52p
0.200
50p
How Riley, Austin handles each pitch
Reading these bars
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs LHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Kay, Anthony's Arsenal, by Pitch Type
ordered by usage vs. a RHH batter
Matched by pitch name
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | Riley, Austin: BA | Riley, Austin: HR% | Riley, Austin: Hard-Hit% | Riley, Austin: Exit Velo | Riley, Austin: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 25% | 95.8 | 15.0" | 7.5" | 2334 | 4.2% | 40% | 0.410 | 0.284 | 4.5% | 58% | 95.0 | 0.498 |
| CH | 20% | 86.1 | 0.2" | 14.0" | 1729 | 2.6% | 40% | 0.296 | 0.208 | 0.0% | 38% | 89.1 | 0.289 |
| FC | 19% | 91.8 | 6.9" | -1.1" | 2384 | 4.0% | 30% | 0.359 | 0.294 | 0.0% | 64% | 94.2 | 0.314 |
| ST | 19% | 82.5 | 0.1" | -12.7" | 2412 | 7.7% | 31% | 0.330 | 0.200 | 0.0% | |||
| SI | 11% | 94.9 | 5.4" | 16.4" | 2246 | 8.2% | 70% | 0.542 | 0.333 | 0.0% | 35% | 89.6 | 0.356 |
| SL | 6% | 86.3 | -4.2" | -3.9" | 2561 | 0.0% | 57% | 0.358 | 0.167 | 5.6% | 46% | 88.7 | 0.454 |
Kay, Anthony's Arsenal, by Pitch Shape
grouped by velo/break/spin, not label
Why shape beats the label
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | Riley, Austin: BA | Riley, Austin: HR% | Riley, Austin: Hard-Hit% | Riley, Austin: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC/SL/FF | 20% | 91.5 | 6.4" | -1.3" | 0.353 | 0.280 | 4.0% | 61% | 0.392 |
| EP/FA/SL | 19% | 96.0 | 15.1" | 7.4" | 0.435 | 0.269 | 3.8% | 69% | 0.412 |
| FF/SI/FC | 19% | 96.0 | 15.1" | 7.4" | 0.435 | 0.269 | 3.8% | 69% | 0.412 |
| CH/SI/FS | 14% | 86.4 | 0.5" | 14.7" | 0.289 | 0.257 | 2.9% | 46% | 0.371 |
| SL/ST/CU | 12% | 83.3 | -0.9" | -9.3" | 0.392 | 0.176 | 0.0% | 44% | 0.317 |
| SI/FF/CH | 11% | 94.9 | 5.5" | 16.3" | 0.542 | 0.250 | 0.0% | 50% | 0.397 |
| ST/SL/CU | 10% | 83.3 | -0.4" | -12.9" | 0.271 | 0.167 | 0.0% | ||
| FF/SI/FC | 6% | 95.0 | 14.3" | 7.5" | 0.334 | 0.306 | 4.1% | 45% | 0.490 |
| CH/FS/FO | 5% | 85.4 | -0.8" | 12.2" | 0.299 | 0.160 | 0.0% | 33% | 0.255 |
| CU/KC/ST | 1% | 83.5 | -8.6" | -7.3" | 0.214 | 7.1% |
At-Bat Log
Every plate appearance
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
107 PA · 30 games · 2026-07-17 to 2026-08-19
24 hits
5 walks
2 hit by pitch
42 strikeouts
34 outs in play
avg exit velo 94.4 mph over 58 tracked
xwOBA 0.316
| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | SL | 86.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Hoffman, Jeff |
| 2026-08-19 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | SL | 90.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Nance, Tommy |
| 2026-08-19 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 98.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Bradley, Taj |
| 2026-08-19 | Force Out ground ball | 0-1 | FF | 95.4 | 92.5 | 5° | 100 | Infield | 0.503 | 0.572 | 0.468 | Bradley, Taj |
| 2026-08-18 | Out fly ball | 1-0 | FF | 96.9 | 98.0 | 33° | 356 | RF gap | 0.220 | 0.806 | 0.423 | Gómez, Yoendrys |
| 2026-08-18 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FC | 93.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Morris, Andrew |
| 2026-08-18 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | SL | 87.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Matthews, Zebby |
| 2026-08-18 | Force Out ground ball | 0-1 | SI | 95.0 | 97.9 | -2° | 35 | Infield | 0.400 | 0.460 | 0.366 | Matthews, Zebby |
| 2026-08-17 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | FF | 98.2 | 69.5 | -67° | 1 | RF corner | 0.276 | 0.277 | 0.248 | Gómez, Yoendrys |
| 2026-08-17 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | SL | 89.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Adams, Travis |
| 2026-08-17 | Single ground ball | 2-2 | CH | 81.7 | 104.9 | 5° | 104 | LF gap | 0.637 | 0.727 | 0.600 | Ober, Bailey |
| 2026-08-17 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | CH | 81.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Ober, Bailey |
| 2026-08-16 | Out fly ball | 1-0 | FC | 91.9 | 97.6 | 53° | 285 | LF gap | 0.006 | 0.010 | 0.005 | Carrillo, Gerardo |
| 2026-08-16 | Double line drive | 2-2 | SL | 89.3 | 109.7 | 14° | 253 | LF | 0.680 | 1.137 | 0.762 | Clarke, Taylor |
| 2026-08-16 | Single line drive | 0-1 | FF | 91.9 | 101.3 | 12° | 225 | RF gap | 0.957 | 1.178 | 0.927 | Soroka, Michael |
| 2026-08-15 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | FF | 97.8 | 96.9 | 27° | 370 | RF gap | 0.323 | 0.871 | 0.494 | Loáisiga, Jonathan |
| 2026-08-15 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 92.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rodriguez, Eduardo |
| 2026-08-15 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 91.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rodriguez, Eduardo |
| 2026-08-14 | Force Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 97.5 | 81.5 | -7° | 18 | Infield | 0.117 | 0.142 | 0.120 | Morillo, Juan |
| 2026-08-14 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | FC | 89.6 | 108.3 | 0° | 52 | LF gap | 0.491 | 0.538 | 0.453 | Pfaadt, Brandon |
| 2026-08-12 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | ST | 83.8 | 98.2 | 26° | 378 | RF gap | 0.380 | 1.099 | 0.609 | Weisenburger, Jack |
| 2026-08-12 | Home Run fly ball | 0-1 | SL | 88.8 | 108.5 | 28° | 438 | LF gap | 1.000 | 4.000 | 2.000 | Núñez, Dedniel |
| 2026-08-12 | Double line drive | 0-0 | FF | 89.0 | 110.4 | 21° | 345 | LF | 0.923 | 3.053 | 1.630 | Thornton, Zac |
| 2026-08-12 | Single line drive | 2-2 | FC | 90.3 | 105.2 | 18° | 310 | LF | 0.517 | 1.018 | 0.641 | Thornton, Zac |
| 2026-08-11 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | FF | 95.7 | 102.4 | 28° | 396 | LF gap | 0.711 | 2.533 | 1.330 | McDermott, Chayce |
| 2026-08-11 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | SL | 87.5 | 85.5 | 49° | 236 | CF | 0.009 | 0.013 | 0.008 | McLean, Nolan |
| 2026-08-11 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | SL | 87.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | McLean, Nolan |
| 2026-08-10 | Out ground ball | 2-0 | SI | 92.5 | 92.9 | -9° | 13 | Infield | 0.186 | 0.207 | 0.167 | Duarte, Daniel |
| 2026-08-10 | Walk | 3-2 | FC | 89.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Pintaro, Jonathan |
| 2026-08-10 | Single line drive | 2-2 | FF | 96.0 | 84.5 | 10° | 161 | RF | 0.489 | 0.547 | 0.461 | Scott, Christian |
| 2026-08-10 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | FC | 89.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Scott, Christian |
| 2026-08-09 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 94.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Castro, Kervin |
| 2026-08-09 | Out popup | 3-1 | FF | 99.3 | 95.2 | 87° | 45 | RF corner | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | Schlittler, Cam |
| 2026-08-09 | Out popup | 0-0 | FF | 98.5 | 73.1 | 60° | 162 | RF corner | 0.023 | 0.034 | 0.026 | Schlittler, Cam |
| 2026-08-08 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 96.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Bednar, David |
| 2026-08-08 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 96.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Cole, Gerrit |
| 2026-08-08 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FF | 97.2 | 101.5 | 12° | 223 | RF | 0.963 | 1.197 | 0.936 | Cole, Gerrit |
| 2026-08-08 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 96.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Cole, Gerrit |
| 2026-08-07 | Out line drive | 0-1 | SI | 94.1 | 100.5 | 20° | 367 | CF | 0.311 | 0.609 | 0.382 | De los Santos, Yerry |
| 2026-08-07 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | FF | 95.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Fried, Max |
| 2026-08-07 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 96.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Fried, Max |
| 2026-08-06 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | FF | 97.7 | 73.1 | -30° | 3 | Infield | 0.046 | 0.050 | 0.041 | Vodnik, Victor |
| 2026-08-06 | Sac Fly line drive | 1-1 | SL | 86.1 | 85.4 | 23° | 307 | CF | — | — | 0.286 | Vodnik, Victor |
| 2026-08-06 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | FF | 95.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Zuber, Tyler |
| 2026-08-06 | Out popup | 2-0 | SL | 86.7 | 81.3 | 75° | 68 | RF corner | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | Junk, Janson |
| 2026-08-05 | Single line drive | 2-2 | FF | 98.5 | 69.3 | 24° | 189 | RF corner | 0.980 | 1.025 | 0.883 | Ekness, Josh |
| 2026-08-05 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 95.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Faucher, Calvin |
| 2026-08-05 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 98.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Pérez, Eury |
| 2026-08-05 | Double line drive | 0-0 | SI | 98.0 | 109.5 | 17° | 283 | LF | 0.649 | 1.219 | 0.791 | Pérez, Eury |
| 2026-08-04 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | ST | 82.0 | 99.6 | 5° | 93 | CF | 0.597 | 0.659 | 0.551 | Gusto, Ryan |
| 2026-08-04 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 97.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Gusto, Ryan |
| 2026-08-02 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | SL | 86.8 | 88.5 | -1° | 35 | Infield | 0.341 | 0.392 | 0.307 | Ribalta, Orlando |
| 2026-08-02 | Double line drive | 0-1 | SI | 95.6 | 101.0 | 17° | 307 | RF | 0.486 | 0.837 | 0.557 | Cavalli, Cade |
| 2026-08-02 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | SI | 95.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Cavalli, Cade |
| 2026-08-01 | Double line drive | 3-1 | SI | 96.2 | 94.9 | 20° | 342 | LF gap | 0.309 | 0.514 | 0.342 | Yean, Eddy |
| 2026-08-01 | Single ground ball | 2-2 | SL | 87.8 | 84.0 | -12° | 9 | Infield | 0.098 | 0.111 | 0.088 | Mikolas, Miles |
| 2026-08-01 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | SI | 91.6 | 103.3 | -12° | 11 | Infield | 0.290 | 0.300 | 0.261 | Mikolas, Miles |
| 2026-08-01 | Out fly ball | 1-0 | FF | 91.6 | 102.5 | 36° | 395 | CF | 0.497 | 1.869 | 0.959 | Mikolas, Miles |
| 2026-07-31 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | FF | 89.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Williams, Trevor |
| 2026-07-31 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FC | 89.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Griffin, Foster |
| 2026-07-31 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 92.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Griffin, Foster |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 94.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Williams, Devin |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | ST | 80.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Duarte, Daniel |
| 2026-07-29 | Out popup | 1-1 | SI | 96.5 | 85.7 | 76° | 62 | Infield | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | Brazobán, Huascar |
| 2026-07-29 | Hit By Pitch | 3-1 | FF | 93.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.729 | Minter, A.J. |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 91.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Manaea, Sean |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FC | 88.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Scott, Christian |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | FF | 96.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Scott, Christian |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 93.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Manaea, Sean |
| 2026-07-27 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SI | 98.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Brazobán, Huascar |
| 2026-07-27 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 1-0 | FF | 92.0 | 87.5 | -6° | 19 | Infield | 0.198 | 0.223 | 0.185 | Thornton, Zac |
| 2026-07-27 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | ST | 78.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Thornton, Zac |
| 2026-07-26 | Double ground ball | 0-1 | SI | 94.2 | 109.9 | 4° | 116 | RF gap | 0.646 | 0.735 | 0.605 | Kittredge, Andrew |
| 2026-07-26 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 94.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Suárez, Albert |
| 2026-07-26 | Force Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 90.7 | 85.0 | -25° | 3 | Infield | 0.057 | 0.061 | 0.051 | Walker, Josh |
| 2026-07-25 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | SI | 95.2 | 81.4 | -41° | 2 | Infield | 0.095 | 0.096 | 0.092 | Cano, Yennier |
| 2026-07-25 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SL | 87.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Young, Brandon |
| 2026-07-25 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | SL | 86.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Young, Brandon |
| 2026-07-25 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 86.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Young, Brandon |
| 2026-07-24 | Force Out ground ball | 0-0 | SL | 87.3 | 68.8 | -29° | 3 | Infield | 0.057 | 0.061 | 0.053 | Wells, Tyler |
| 2026-07-24 | Single ground ball | 3-2 | CH | 87.5 | 100.7 | 3° | 68 | LF | 0.531 | 0.607 | 0.496 | Rogers, Trevor |
| 2026-07-24 | Single ground ball | 1-2 | CH | 88.0 | 109.5 | -5° | 20 | CF | 0.454 | 0.464 | 0.409 | Rogers, Trevor |
| 2026-07-24 | Out popup | 1-0 | CH | 85.7 | 92.9 | 62° | 195 | LF gap | 0.011 | 0.021 | 0.014 | Rogers, Trevor |
| 2026-07-23 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | SL | 89.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rodriguez, Bradgley |
| 2026-07-23 | Single line drive | 2-0 | FC | 87.3 | 109.5 | 10° | 199 | LF | 0.911 | 1.221 | 0.936 | Waldron, Matt |
| 2026-07-23 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | SI | 94.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Canning, Griffin |
| 2026-07-22 | Single ground ball | 1-1 | SI | 96.5 | 97.3 | -17° | 7 | CF | 0.177 | 0.192 | 0.159 | Vásquez, Randy |
| 2026-07-22 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | CH | 92.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Morejon, Adrian |
| 2026-07-22 | Single line drive | 2-2 | CH | 85.4 | 109.0 | 14° | 275 | LF | 0.743 | 1.194 | 0.834 | King, Michael |
| 2026-07-22 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | CH | 86.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | King, Michael |
| 2026-07-22 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | ST | 82.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | King, Michael |
| 2026-07-21 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | CH | 91.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rodriguez, Bradgley |
| 2026-07-21 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | SL | 87.6 | 100.5 | 36° | 364 | CF | 0.340 | 1.266 | 0.651 | Buehler, Walker |
| 2026-07-21 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 88.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Buehler, Walker |
| 2026-07-21 | Force Out ground ball | 1-0 | SI | 94.6 | 111.4 | 3° | 84 | Infield | 0.620 | 0.695 | 0.572 | Buehler, Walker |
| 2026-07-20 | Walk | 3-0 | SI | 95.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Peralta, Wandy |
| 2026-07-20 | Out fly ball | 3-0 | FF | 92.4 | 106.3 | 40° | 373 | LF gap | 0.451 | 1.772 | 0.907 | Sears, JP |
| 2026-07-20 | Out fly ball | 1-1 | FF | 93.7 | 106.2 | 41° | 353 | CF | 0.429 | 1.682 | 0.871 | Sears, JP |
| 2026-07-19 | Single line drive | 0-1 | FF | 93.8 | 82.6 | 12° | 160 | CF | 0.531 | 0.580 | 0.483 | Gray, Peyton |
| 2026-07-19 | Home Run line drive | 3-1 | FF | 95.1 | 109.4 | 20° | 413 | CF | 0.860 | 2.366 | 1.347 | Eovaldi, Nathan |
| 2026-07-18 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | ST | 83.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Junis, Jakob |
| 2026-07-18 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 93.7 | 77.8 | 40° | 275 | CF | 0.051 | 0.076 | 0.054 | Gore, MacKenzie |
| 2026-07-18 | Hit By Pitch | 1-0 | FC | 89.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.729 | Gore, MacKenzie |
| 2026-07-18 | Single line drive | 1-0 | FF | 95.2 | 107.9 | 12° | 304 | CF | 0.926 | 1.323 | 0.963 | Gore, MacKenzie |
| 2026-07-17 | Out line drive | 1-2 | FF | 97.1 | 68.5 | 8° | 93 | Infield | 0.210 | 0.228 | 0.189 | Collyer, Gavin |
| 2026-07-17 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | SL | 91.7 | 96.1 | 38° | 382 | CF | 0.069 | 0.238 | 0.117 | Teodo, Emiliano |
| 2026-07-17 | Single fly ball | 1-2 | SI | 94.9 | 64.5 | 31° | 202 | RF gap | 0.817 | 0.853 | 0.735 | Quantrill, Cal |