Pitch Mix Analysis
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
Batter: Peña, Jeremy
Long and lofted
Pitcher: Rodriguez, Grayson (RHP)
filtered for today’s matchup
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2,423 pitches seen
·
0.415 xwOBA against shapes like this arsenal,
vs 0.387 against everything
(+0.028)
·
last 30 games: 0.607
+0.192
on 351 pitches, covering 22% of the arsenal
Pitch familiarity
Pitchers' arsenals are grouped by pitch shape — velocity, break and spin — and weighted by how often this pitcher throws each, so the number describes the arsenal he will face tonight.
Compared against this batter's own mark across every shape he has faced, so “done well” means well for him.
Descriptive — the model does not read it.
Hot Zones
by location · xwOBA on contact (excludes Ks/BBs, so runs higher than a full-PA xwOBA), dimmed cells are too few balls in play to trust
Overall vs RHP
0.336
80p
0.390
103p
0.445
78p
0.439
121p
0.432
179p
0.396
163p
0.453
81p
0.422
148p
0.315
192p
How Peña, Jeremy handles each pitch
Reading these bars
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs RHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Rodriguez, Grayson's Arsenal, by Pitch Type
ordered by usage vs. a RHH batter
Matched by pitch name
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | Peña, Jeremy: BA | Peña, Jeremy: HR% | Peña, Jeremy: Hard-Hit% | Peña, Jeremy: Exit Velo | Peña, Jeremy: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 51% | 96.2 | 15.8" | -11.5" | 2258 | 3.4% | 46% | 0.422 | 0.412 | 6.7% | 47% | 90.0 | 0.468 |
| SL | 24% | 84.6 | 1.1" | 5.3" | 2384 | 7.4% | 37% | 0.511 | 0.247 | 4.1% | 25% | 85.8 | 0.288 |
| CH | 15% | 83.0 | 4.9" | -10.2" | 1731 | 9.1% | 0.194 | 3.2% | 44% | 86.9 | 0.415 | ||
| CU | 10% | 80.8 | -8.4" | 7.2" | 2680 | 0.0% | 0.179 | 3.6% | 29% | 89.6 | 0.287 |
Rodriguez, Grayson's Arsenal, by Pitch Shape
grouped by velo/break/spin, not label
Why shape beats the label
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | Peña, Jeremy: BA | Peña, Jeremy: HR% | Peña, Jeremy: Hard-Hit% | Peña, Jeremy: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF/SI/FC | 27% | 96.6 | 16.3" | -11.3" | 0.457 | 0.409 | 6.8% | 47% | 0.463 |
| EP/FA/SL | 27% | 96.6 | 16.3" | -11.3" | 0.457 | ||||
| FF/SI/FC | 21% | 95.6 | 15.6" | -11.3" | 0.347 | 0.396 | 6.2% | 51% | 0.484 |
| SL/ST/CU | 20% | 84.2 | 0.3" | 5.5" | 0.629 | 0.222 | 2.8% | 28% | 0.297 |
| CH/SI/FS | 11% | 83.3 | 4.6" | -10.5" | 0.258 | 6.5% | 58% | 0.529 | |
| CU/KC/ST | 9% | 80.7 | -8.7" | 7.3" | 0.226 | 3.2% | 29% | 0.307 | |
| CH/FS/FO | 4% | 82.2 | 5.8" | -9.5" | 0.143 | 7.1% | |||
| FC/SL/FF | 4% | 86.4 | 5.2" | 3.7" | 0.269 | 4.2% | 24% | 0.327 | |
| SI/FF/CH | 3% | 96.4 | 12.5" | -14.6" | 0.331 | 1.5% | 50% | 0.347 | |
| ST/SL/CU | 1% | 83.6 | -2.4" | 8.0" | 0.292 | 3.8% | 38% | 0.374 |
At-Bat Log
Every plate appearance
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
67 PA · 30 games · 2026-07-11 to 2026-08-19
13 hits
2 walks
2 hit by pitch
25 strikeouts
25 outs in play
avg exit velo 90.2 mph over 37 tracked
xwOBA 0.252
| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 92.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Klassen, George |
| 2026-08-18 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | SL | 91.9 | 84.3 | -21° | 5 | Infield | 0.100 | 0.122 | 0.099 | Klassen, George |
| 2026-08-18 | Out fly ball | 0-1 | FF | 96.8 | 87.6 | 49° | 252 | LF gap | 0.006 | 0.009 | 0.006 | Klassen, George |
| 2026-08-14 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CU | 83.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rucker, Michael |
| 2026-08-12 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | FF | 94.2 | 91.0 | -8° | 20 | Infield | 0.231 | 0.256 | 0.211 | Winn, Keaton |
| 2026-08-12 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 86.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Houser, Adrian |
| 2026-08-11 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | SL | 86.8 | 84.8 | -2° | 36 | Infield | 0.221 | 0.246 | 0.207 | Brubaker, JT |
| 2026-08-11 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SL | 89.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Seymour, Carson |
| 2026-08-11 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | FF | 92.5 | 81.4 | -40° | 4 | Infield | 0.076 | 0.081 | 0.068 | Whisenhunt, Carson |
| 2026-08-11 | Force Out ground ball | 1-0 | CH | 83.8 | 75.6 | -2° | 24 | Infield | 0.104 | 0.109 | 0.094 | Whisenhunt, Carson |
| 2026-08-10 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 95.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Hentges, Sam |
| 2026-08-10 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | FF | 96.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Tidwell, Blade |
| 2026-08-09 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 95.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Estrada, Jeremiah |
| 2026-08-08 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 91.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Morejon, Adrian |
| 2026-08-08 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | CH | 87.5 | 86.5 | -12° | 10 | Infield | 0.193 | 0.229 | 0.184 | King, Michael |
| 2026-08-08 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 96.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | King, Michael |
| 2026-08-07 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 1-1 | CH | 90.1 | 70.8 | -33° | 2 | Infield | 0.083 | 0.091 | 0.078 | Peralta, Wandy |
| 2026-08-07 | Out fly ball | 1-1 | SL | 84.1 | 92.3 | 38° | 297 | RF | 0.031 | 0.077 | 0.045 | Matsui, Yuki |
| 2026-08-07 | Out line drive | 2-1 | CH | 85.7 | 107.3 | 16° | 318 | CF | 0.626 | 1.124 | 0.737 | Ray, Robbie |
| 2026-08-05 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 99.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Varland, Louis |
| 2026-08-05 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | CU | 83.7 | 107.2 | 5° | 118 | LF gap | 0.637 | 0.700 | 0.589 | Taillon, Jameson |
| 2026-08-04 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | FF | 95.9 | 98.4 | 5° | 109 | Infield | 0.554 | 0.642 | 0.526 | Fisher, Braydon |
| 2026-08-04 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 93.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Yesavage, Trey |
| 2026-08-03 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 85.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Bieber, Shane |
| 2026-08-02 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 86.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Winn, Cole |
| 2026-08-02 | Hit By Pitch | 0-2 | FF | 93.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.729 | Ahlstrom, Robby |
| 2026-08-02 | Home Run line drive | 0-0 | SL | 82.3 | 106.2 | 20° | 364 | LF | 0.669 | 1.634 | 0.961 | Rocker, Kumar |
| 2026-08-02 | Single line drive | 2-1 | SL | 81.8 | 79.3 | 21° | 232 | LF | 0.940 | 1.023 | 0.865 | Rocker, Kumar |
| 2026-08-01 | Triple fly ball | 1-0 | FF | 96.6 | 96.5 | 26° | 342 | RF | 0.291 | 0.763 | 0.439 | Silseth, Chase |
| 2026-08-01 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | CH | 83.9 | 72.5 | -31° | 3 | Infield | 0.070 | 0.087 | 0.066 | Alexander, Tyler |
| 2026-08-01 | Double line drive | 1-2 | FF | 98.4 | 94.9 | 16° | 253 | RF | 0.691 | 0.831 | 0.636 | deGrom, Jacob |
| 2026-08-01 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 92.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | deGrom, Jacob |
| 2026-08-01 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | SL | 93.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | deGrom, Jacob |
| 2026-07-31 | Double line drive | 0-0 | FF | 95.8 | 96.1 | 16° | 224 | LF | 0.691 | 0.936 | 0.698 | Curvelo, Luis |
| 2026-07-31 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | FF | 97.2 | 100.6 | 39° | 357 | RF gap | 0.163 | 0.600 | 0.303 | Curvelo, Luis |
| 2026-07-31 | Hit By Pitch | 1-0 | CU | 76.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.729 | Eovaldi, Nathan |
| 2026-07-31 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CU | 77.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Eovaldi, Nathan |
| 2026-07-29 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | FF | 87.4 | 97.7 | -8° | 15 | Infield | 0.298 | 0.331 | 0.269 | Suter, Brent |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 92.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Farris, Mitch |
| 2026-07-29 | Out popup | 2-2 | CU | 82.5 | 65.5 | 52° | 170 | RF | 0.063 | 0.083 | 0.063 | Rodriguez, Grayson |
| 2026-07-29 | Home Run line drive | 0-0 | SL | 83.6 | 104.9 | 22° | 401 | LF gap | 0.774 | 2.221 | 1.242 | Rodriguez, Grayson |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SL | 84.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rodriguez, Grayson |
| 2026-07-28 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | CH | 79.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Farris, Mitch |
| 2026-07-28 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 95.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Detmers, Reid |
| 2026-07-28 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SL | 85.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Detmers, Reid |
| 2026-07-28 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CU | 74.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Detmers, Reid |
| 2026-07-27 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 92.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Ureña, Walbert |
| 2026-07-26 | Out line drive | 0-2 | FF | 97.6 | 81.5 | 26° | 260 | RF | 0.154 | 0.186 | 0.139 | Hicks, Jordan |
| 2026-07-25 | Single ground ball | 0-2 | FF | 92.5 | 98.3 | 2° | 81 | RF | 0.460 | 0.520 | 0.434 | Richards, Trevor |
| 2026-07-25 | Single ground ball | 1-1 | SL | 85.8 | 82.5 | 6° | 87 | LF | 0.408 | 0.433 | 0.375 | Burke, Sean |
| 2026-07-24 | Out fly ball | 0-1 | SL | 89.2 | 90.1 | 52° | 241 | RF | 0.014 | 0.023 | 0.017 | Murphy, Chris |
| 2026-07-24 | Single line drive | 1-2 | FF | 92.1 | 85.8 | 20° | 271 | CF | 0.580 | 0.661 | 0.528 | Richards, Trevor |
| 2026-07-24 | Single ground ball | 3-2 | FF | 92.7 | 88.5 | -55° | 2 | Infield | 0.298 | 0.303 | 0.273 | Hudson, Bryan |
| 2026-07-24 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SL | 88.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Martin, Davis |
| 2026-07-24 | Reached On Error ground ball | 0-2 | SL | 87.0 | 94.8 | -34° | 3 | LF corner | 0.073 | 0.087 | 0.066 | Martin, Davis |
| 2026-07-22 | Incomplete PA | 0-2 | CH | 91.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Alcantara, Sandy |
| 2026-07-20 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 95.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Fulton, Dax |
| 2026-07-20 | Home Run fly ball | 1-2 | FF | 95.8 | 97.7 | 34° | 340 | RF | 0.254 | 0.953 | 0.502 | Junk, Janson |
| 2026-07-20 | Out line drive | 0-0 | FF | 94.1 | 93.5 | 19° | 281 | LF | 0.457 | 0.636 | 0.450 | Junk, Janson |
| 2026-07-18 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 94.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rogers, Trevor |
| 2026-07-18 | Single line drive | 0-1 | FF | 93.4 | 88.6 | 17° | 237 | RF gap | 0.877 | 1.017 | 0.825 | Rogers, Trevor |
| 2026-07-17 | Walk | 3-1 | FF | 96.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Wolfram, Grant |
| 2026-07-17 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FF | 90.0 | 75.6 | 24° | 238 | RF gap | 0.857 | 0.897 | 0.771 | Kremer, Dean |
| 2026-07-12 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 0-1 | FF | 95.1 | 98.3 | -13° | 11 | Infield | 0.231 | 0.245 | 0.208 | Latz, Jacob |
| 2026-07-12 | Sac Fly fly ball | 1-1 | SL | 86.7 | 103.7 | 40° | 382 | LF gap | — | — | 0.586 | Gray, Peyton |
| 2026-07-12 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | FF | 94.9 | 99.0 | -18° | 7 | Infield | 0.235 | 0.243 | 0.212 | Gore, MacKenzie |
| 2026-07-11 | Out popup | 0-0 | SL | 82.0 | 79.4 | 62° | 159 | Infield | 0.011 | 0.020 | 0.013 | Rocker, Kumar |