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Batter vs Pitch Arsenal
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
Jackson Merrill LHB SDN vs Dustin May RHP MIL P
P = platoon edge (batter faces the opposite hand)
Long and lofted
Bat speed
70.9mph
+1.7
Swing length
7.39ft
+0.23
Attack angle
9.0°
+0.1
Swing tilt
38.0°
+5.8
What is this?
Batters grouped by swing shape — bat speed and swing length for power, attack angle and path tilt for loft — from Statcast bat tracking.
The number beside each metric is the gap to league average across the 610 batters with enough tracked swings to measure.
A description, not a prediction. The model does not use it.
Swing & contact · last 30 games vs last 100
1 metric moved
Barrel rate
12.7%
+31.0%
Bat speed
71.4 mph
-0.2%
Exit velo
94.2 mph
+2.2%
Chase rate
37.7%
-5.4%
Swing & contact
Bat speed, barrel rate, exit velocity and chase rate over the last 30 games against this player's own last 100, so it reads as “is he himself right now” rather than “is he good”.
Flagged only when it has moved further than three quarters of hitters do. Movement in either direction counts.
Descriptive — the model does not use it.
whole-game, not filtered to this arsenal — see the per-pitch sections below
2,951 pitches seen
·
0.458 xwOBA against shapes like this arsenal,
vs 0.437 against everything
(+0.021)
·
last 30 games: 0.550
+0.092
on 374 pitches, covering 43% of the arsenal
Pitch familiarity
Pitchers' arsenals are grouped by pitch shape — velocity, break and spin — and weighted by how often this pitcher throws each, so the number describes the arsenal he will face tonight.
Compared against this batter's own mark across every shape he has faced, so “done well” means well for him.
Descriptive — the model does not read it.
Hot Zones
by location · xwOBA on contact (excludes Ks/BBs, so runs higher than a full-PA xwOBA), dimmed cells are too few balls in play to trust
Overall vs RHP
0.724
144p
0.531
166p
0.317
97p
0.499
183p
0.526
184p
0.439
131p
0.395
154p
0.510
166p
0.486
129p
How Jackson Merrill handles each pitch
Reading these bars
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs RHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Dustin May's Arsenal, by Pitch Type
ordered by usage vs. a LHH batter
Matched by pitch name
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | Jackson Merrill: BA | Jackson Merrill: HR% | Jackson Merrill: Hard-Hit% | Jackson Merrill: Exit Velo | Jackson Merrill: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST | 27% | 85.4 | -2.8" | 16.7" | 3178 | 0.6% | 26% | 0.334 | 0.171 | 4.9% | 32% | 86.0 | 0.368 |
| FF | 25% | 96.2 | 14.2" | -10.4" | 2340 | 5.9% | 56% | 0.411 | 0.240 | 6.4% | 59% | 94.0 | 0.494 |
| FC | 21% | 92.8 | 8.7" | 0.7" | 2472 | 0.7% | 33% | 0.330 | 0.290 | 5.8% | 51% | 92.9 | 0.444 |
| SI | 17% | 94.9 | 5.3" | -18.2" | 2397 | 9.6% | 60% | 0.503 | 0.345 | 1.7% | 50% | 91.3 | 0.463 |
| CH | 6% | 90.1 | 4.0" | -15.6" | 1584 | 7.3% | 44% | 0.470 | 0.234 | 2.4% | 32% | 85.8 | 0.348 |
| CU | 6% | 83.6 | -15.7" | 9.2" | 3116 | 0.0% | 60% | 0.325 | 0.379 | 3.4% | 47% | 89.9 | 0.466 |
Dustin May's Arsenal, by Pitch Shape
grouped by velo/break/spin, not label
Why shape beats the label
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | Jackson Merrill: BA | Jackson Merrill: HR% | Jackson Merrill: Hard-Hit% | Jackson Merrill: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST/SL/CU | 27% | 85.4 | -2.8" | 16.7" | 0.334 | 0.118 | 3.9% | 41% | 0.392 |
| FF/SI/FC | 20% | 96.3 | 14.5" | -9.1" | 0.367 | 0.203 | 3.4% | 53% | 0.417 |
| SL/ST/CU | 20% | 96.3 | 14.5" | -9.1" | 0.367 | 0.372 | 11.6% | 38% | 0.530 |
| SI/FF/CH | 19% | 94.9 | 6.0" | -17.5" | 0.511 | 0.306 | 6.9% | 64% | 0.533 |
| FC/SL/FF | 17% | 92.6 | 8.1" | 1.1" | 0.342 | 0.293 | 4.0% | 56% | 0.438 |
| FF/SI/FC | 6% | 94.8 | 13.4" | -8.9" | 0.373 | 0.295 | 8.4% | 57% | 0.577 |
| CU/KC/ST | 6% | 83.6 | -15.7" | 9.2" | 0.325 | 0.359 | 1.6% | 56% | 0.468 |
| EP/FA/SL | 6% | 94.7 | 13.4" | -8.9" | 0.373 | ||||
| CH/SI/FS | 3% | 90.1 | 3.8" | -16.9" | 0.464 | 0.230 | 3.0% | 27% | 0.343 |
| CH/FS/FO | 3% | 90.1 | 4.2" | -13.9" | 0.475 | 0.211 | 1.4% | 38% | 0.359 |
At-Bat Log
Every plate appearance
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
100 PA · 30 games · 2026-08-31 to 2026-10-07
33 hits
4 walks
1 hit by pitch
22 strikeouts
40 outs in play
avg exit velo 95.1 mph over 73 tracked
xwOBA 0.411
| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 99.4 | 93.0 | 2° | 50 | Infield | 0.465 | 0.515 | 0.426 | Aaron Ashby |
| 2026-10-07 | Out line drive | 1-0 | SI | 93.7 | 100.7 | 11° | 187 | CF | 0.911 | 1.132 | 0.886 | Robert Gasser |
| 2026-10-07 | Single line drive | 1-1 | ST | 80.4 | 75.6 | 24° | 234 | RF gap | 0.857 | 0.897 | 0.771 | Robert Gasser |
| 2026-10-06 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | ST | 85.3 | 93.3 | 49° | 258 | LF gap | 0.003 | 0.005 | 0.003 | JoJo Romero |
| 2026-10-06 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | FC | 95.2 | 92.4 | 7° | 108 | CF | 0.540 | 0.630 | 0.524 | Dustin May |
| 2026-10-06 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 99.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Dustin May |
| 2026-10-04 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 98.3 | 91.2 | -6° | 17 | Infield | 0.222 | 0.256 | 0.200 | Aaron Ashby |
| 2026-10-04 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | ST | 82.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | JoJo Romero |
| 2026-10-04 | Out line drive | 0-0 | CH | 83.9 | 98.8 | 12° | 198 | Infield | 0.940 | 1.084 | 0.882 | Logan Henderson |
| 2026-10-04 | Out line drive | 1-1 | CH | 84.1 | 74.7 | 15° | 158 | Infield | 0.649 | 0.697 | 0.596 | Logan Henderson |
| 2026-10-03 | Out line drive | 0-1 | FF | 99.1 | 109.4 | 17° | 314 | RF gap | 0.649 | 1.219 | 0.791 | Trevor Megill |
| 2026-10-03 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | FC | 91.8 | 93.6 | 57° | 221 | LF gap | 0.020 | 0.032 | 0.024 | DL Hall |
| 2026-10-03 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | SI | 99.0 | 79.9 | 43° | 268 | RF gap | 0.020 | 0.027 | 0.019 | Aaron Ashby |
| 2026-10-03 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CU | 86.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Jacob Misiorowski |
| 2026-10-03 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | CU | 86.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Jacob Misiorowski |
| 2026-09-30 | Walk | 3-2 | ST | 85.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Ryan Zeferjahn |
| 2026-09-30 | Single ground ball | 3-2 | FF | 93.7 | 95.0 | -2° | 27 | Infield | 0.357 | 0.394 | 0.321 | David Peterson |
| 2026-09-29 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | CH | 84.2 | 99.4 | 44° | 330 | LF | 0.057 | 0.183 | 0.098 | Jacob Webb |
| 2026-09-29 | Single ground ball | 2-0 | SI | 94.5 | 107.1 | -2° | 34 | RF gap | 0.457 | 0.510 | 0.426 | Ryan Rolison |
| 2026-09-29 | Single line drive | 0-1 | SI | 91.8 | 77.0 | 27° | 251 | LF gap | 0.457 | 0.541 | 0.433 | Matthew Boyd |
| 2026-09-26 | Single line drive | 0-2 | CH | 89.4 | 78.9 | 20° | 201 | CF | 0.963 | 1.032 | 0.877 | Dennis Santana |
| 2026-09-26 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 94.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Jose Cabrera |
| 2026-09-26 | Single ground ball | 2-0 | SI | 95.5 | 96.1 | -5° | 14 | RF gap | 0.298 | 0.335 | 0.276 | Taylor Clarke |
| 2026-09-25 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | FC | 90.5 | 86.1 | -3° | 28 | RF gap | 0.206 | 0.246 | 0.194 | Brandon Pfaadt |
| 2026-09-25 | Single line drive | 1-0 | FC | 91.4 | 88.3 | 18° | 255 | CF | 0.809 | 0.907 | 0.741 | Brandon Pfaadt |
| 2026-09-24 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | FF | 100.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Evan Phillips |
| 2026-09-24 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CU | 82.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Tyler Glasnow |
| 2026-09-23 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | CU | 80.2 | 100.9 | -2° | 35 | Infield | 0.410 | 0.460 | 0.371 | Jack Dreyer |
| 2026-09-23 | Out line drive | 1-0 | SI | 95.3 | 94.9 | 23° | 300 | LF | 0.191 | 0.372 | 0.234 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto |
| 2026-09-22 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 93.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Alex Vesia |
| 2026-09-22 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | CH | 88.0 | 79.8 | -37° | 4 | Infield | 0.053 | 0.059 | 0.048 | Kyle Hurt |
| 2026-09-22 | Out fly ball | 2-1 | FF | 99.7 | 91.1 | 27° | 331 | LF gap | 0.091 | 0.189 | 0.118 | Roki Sasaki |
| 2026-09-20 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | ST | 85.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Bradley Blalock |
| 2026-09-20 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | CH | 90.9 | 106.7 | -27° | 2 | Infield | 0.122 | 0.131 | 0.110 | Sandy Alcantara |
| 2026-09-20 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | CH | 88.5 | 86.4 | -11° | 8 | Infield | 0.157 | 0.192 | 0.142 | Sandy Alcantara |
| 2026-09-20 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | SI | 97.9 | 104.2 | -8° | 17 | Infield | 0.366 | 0.393 | 0.347 | Sandy Alcantara |
| 2026-09-19 | Walk | 3-2 | CH | 91.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Victor Vodnik |
| 2026-09-19 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 99.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Michael Petersen |
| 2026-09-19 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CU | 80.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Eury Pérez |
| 2026-09-19 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CU | 83.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Eury Pérez |
| 2026-09-19 | Single line drive | 2-0 | CU | 78.6 | 99.0 | 17° | 233 | RF | 0.486 | 0.782 | 0.535 | Eury Pérez |
| 2026-09-18 | Home Run fly ball | 1-2 | FF | 96.2 | 111.4 | 29° | 432 | RF | 1.000 | 4.000 | 2.000 | Dax Fulton |
| 2026-09-18 | Out line drive | 0-1 | SI | 94.1 | 101.1 | 6° | 140 | Infield | 0.609 | 0.678 | 0.562 | Tyler Zuber |
| 2026-09-18 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | SI | 92.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Cade Gibson |
| 2026-09-17 | Out line drive | 1-2 | FF | 94.1 | 85.4 | 11° | 140 | Infield | 0.551 | 0.616 | 0.508 | Zach Agnos |
| 2026-09-17 | Triple fly ball | 3-2 | CU | 81.4 | 74.8 | 48° | 238 | RF | 0.100 | 0.124 | 0.095 | Tanner Gordon |
| 2026-09-17 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 86.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Tanner Gordon |
| 2026-09-16 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | ST | 82.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Juan Mejia |
| 2026-09-16 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 95.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Nick Frasso |
| 2026-09-16 | Single line drive | 1-1 | CH | 87.0 | 99.8 | 15° | 225 | RF | 0.706 | 0.972 | 0.716 | Mason Adams |
| 2026-09-16 | Single line drive | 1-0 | SI | 91.9 | 110.6 | 8° | 231 | CF | 0.751 | 0.902 | 0.703 | Mason Adams |
| 2026-09-16 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FF | 94.0 | 96.6 | 15° | 251 | LF gap | 0.803 | 0.992 | 0.772 | Mason Adams |
| 2026-09-15 | Out fly ball | 0-1 | CU | 80.2 | 99.5 | 33° | 373 | LF | 0.297 | 1.031 | 0.536 | Ryan Feltner |
| 2026-09-15 | Single line drive | 0-1 | FF | 95.2 | 105.8 | 12° | 230 | LF | 0.957 | 1.282 | 0.965 | Ryan Feltner |
| 2026-09-15 | Out line drive | 0-0 | SI | 89.6 | 83.9 | 26° | 302 | CF | 0.137 | 0.218 | 0.145 | Kyle Freeland |
| 2026-09-14 | Single ground ball | 2-1 | FF | 92.6 | 99.4 | -20° | 4 | Infield | 0.160 | 0.177 | 0.146 | Mark Manfredi |
| 2026-09-14 | Out fly ball | 2-0 | ST | 82.4 | 81.2 | 34° | 319 | RF gap | 0.037 | 0.066 | 0.042 | Tomoyuki Sugano |
| 2026-09-14 | Single ground ball | 1-0 | FF | 91.8 | 111.2 | 1° | 56 | RF | 0.580 | 0.619 | 0.528 | Tomoyuki Sugano |
| 2026-09-13 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | FC | 85.7 | 95.8 | 7° | 108 | Infield | 0.580 | 0.639 | 0.533 | Matt Wilkinson |
| 2026-09-13 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | FF | 91.5 | 94.3 | -11° | 11 | Infield | 0.187 | 0.224 | 0.182 | Logan Webb |
| 2026-09-13 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | ST | 85.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Logan Webb |
| 2026-09-13 | Double fly ball | 1-0 | FC | 91.0 | 100.4 | 29° | 343 | LF | 0.531 | 1.883 | 0.980 | Logan Webb |
| 2026-09-12 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 95.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Dylan Smith |
| 2026-09-12 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | FF | 94.0 | 103.0 | -7° | 23 | Infield | 0.376 | 0.419 | 0.361 | Cesar Perdomo |
| 2026-09-12 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | CH | 88.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Cesar Perdomo |
| 2026-09-11 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 90.5 | 78.1 | 55° | 201 | LF | 0.057 | 0.085 | 0.062 | Philip Abner |
| 2026-09-11 | Single line drive | 2-2 | FF | 94.8 | 109.5 | 14° | 261 | RF gap | 0.680 | 1.137 | 0.762 | Yunior Marte |
| 2026-09-11 | Out fly ball | 1-0 | FF | 91.9 | 99.2 | 55° | 279 | LF gap | 0.009 | 0.012 | 0.008 | Yunior Marte |
| 2026-09-11 | Single ground ball | 1-0 | CH | 86.8 | 83.3 | 7° | 111 | LF | 0.377 | 0.442 | 0.356 | Anthony Molina |
| 2026-09-11 | Double fly ball | 0-2 | FF | 97.2 | 98.0 | 25° | 329 | LF | 0.397 | 0.992 | 0.578 | Anthony Molina |
| 2026-09-09 | Single ground ball | 3-1 | CH | 88.6 | 93.8 | 8° | 123 | RF | 0.509 | 0.560 | 0.460 | Eddy Yean |
| 2026-09-09 | Home Run fly ball | 0-0 | FC | 92.8 | 106.3 | 27° | 412 | LF gap | 0.931 | 3.616 | 1.860 | Luis Perales |
| 2026-09-09 | Home Run fly ball | 2-2 | FF | 94.4 | 101.5 | 36° | 363 | LF | 0.397 | 1.496 | 0.776 | Brad Lord |
| 2026-09-09 | Triple fly ball | 0-1 | FF | 93.8 | 101.9 | 33° | 402 | CF | 0.554 | 2.161 | 1.116 | Jackson Kent |
| 2026-09-08 | Out popup | 0-1 | CH | 85.2 | 63.4 | 40° | 201 | RF gap | 0.343 | 0.343 | 0.309 | Erik Tolman |
| 2026-09-08 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | FF | 96.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Riley Cornelio |
| 2026-09-07 | Double line drive | 3-0 | FF | 96.5 | 112.1 | 14° | 305 | LF gap | 0.749 | 1.274 | 0.863 | Jack Sinclair |
| 2026-09-07 | Out ground ball | 2-0 | FF | 93.2 | 110.7 | -1° | 44 | Infield | 0.491 | 0.513 | 0.442 | Jake Irvin |
| 2026-09-07 | Single line drive | 1-0 | CU | 75.1 | 106.3 | 15° | 278 | LF gap | 0.683 | 1.102 | 0.755 | Jake Irvin |
| 2026-09-07 | Single line drive | 1-1 | FF | 89.9 | 109.9 | 12° | 230 | RF | 0.866 | 1.211 | 0.886 | Jake Irvin |
| 2026-09-06 | Out line drive | 0-0 | CH | 84.7 | 99.6 | 22° | 353 | CF | 0.411 | 0.929 | 0.555 | Gerrit Cole |
| 2026-09-06 | Out line drive | 2-2 | FF | 97.3 | 112.7 | 8° | 198 | CF | 0.766 | 0.967 | 0.744 | Gerrit Cole |
| 2026-09-06 | Out line drive | 1-1 | FF | 96.8 | 104.3 | 21° | 346 | CF | 0.657 | 1.624 | 0.954 | Gerrit Cole |
| 2026-09-05 | Out ground ball | 2-2 | ST | 82.7 | 81.4 | -18° | 8 | Infield | 0.075 | 0.078 | 0.068 | John Schreiber |
| 2026-09-05 | Walk | 3-2 | FC | 88.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Michael Fulmer |
| 2026-09-05 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 94.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Carlos Rodón |
| 2026-09-04 | Out ground ball | 3-2 | FF | 96.7 | 95.2 | -7° | 17 | Infield | 0.282 | 0.302 | 0.254 | Will Warren |
| 2026-09-04 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | SI | 93.0 | 91.4 | -31° | 3 | Infield | 0.084 | 0.099 | 0.083 | Max Fried |
| 2026-09-04 | Sac Bunt ground ball | 0-1 | FF | 93.1 | 46.6 | -80° | 0 | Infield | — | — | — | Max Fried |
| 2026-09-02 | Out line drive | 0-2 | FF | 94.4 | 107.0 | 18° | 345 | CF | 0.600 | 1.205 | 0.761 | Tony Santillan |
| 2026-09-02 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | CH | 86.0 | 99.3 | -5° | 19 | Infield | 0.313 | 0.336 | 0.293 | Brandon Williamson |
| 2026-09-02 | Out fly ball | 0-2 | ST | 85.2 | 101.1 | 28° | 359 | LF gap | 0.603 | 2.194 | 1.151 | Brandon Williamson |
| 2026-09-02 | Out fly ball | 1-0 | FF | 93.3 | 94.2 | 36° | 347 | LF gap | 0.089 | 0.298 | 0.163 | Brandon Williamson |
| 2026-09-01 | Double line drive | 3-2 | FF | 96.4 | 103.7 | 20° | 353 | RF gap | 0.543 | 1.134 | 0.699 | Brock Burke |
| 2026-09-01 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 91.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Nick Lodolo |
| 2026-09-01 | Single line drive | 1-1 | SI | 93.9 | 101.3 | 12° | 208 | LF gap | 0.957 | 1.178 | 0.927 | Nick Lodolo |
| 2026-09-01 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 92.8 | 80.2 | -7° | 12 | Infield | 0.146 | 0.180 | 0.135 | Nick Lodolo |
| 2026-08-31 | Hit By Pitch | 0-1 | ST | 84.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.730 | Tejay Antone |
| 2026-08-31 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FF | 97.9 | 103.6 | 12° | 232 | CF | 0.940 | 1.246 | 0.942 | Pierce Johnson |
| 2026-08-31 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | FF | 93.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Julian Garcia |