Pitch Mix Analysis
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
Batter: McCarthy, Jake
Compact and level
Pitcher: Sasaki, Roki (RHP)
filtered for today’s matchup
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1,786 pitches seen
·
0.330 xwOBA against shapes like this arsenal,
vs 0.345 against everything
(-0.014)
·
last 30 games: 0.531
+0.200
on 328 pitches, covering 15% of the arsenal
Pitch familiarity
Pitchers' arsenals are grouped by pitch shape — velocity, break and spin — and weighted by how often this pitcher throws each, so the number describes the arsenal he will face tonight.
Compared against this batter's own mark across every shape he has faced, so “done well” means well for him.
Descriptive — the model does not read it.
Hot Zones
by location · xwOBA on contact (excludes Ks/BBs, so runs higher than a full-PA xwOBA), dimmed cells are too few balls in play to trust
Overall vs RHP
0.485
77p
0.329
114p
0.195
58p
0.386
114p
0.409
113p
0.381
79p
0.297
82p
0.402
110p
0.477
79p
How McCarthy, Jake handles each pitch
Reading these bars
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs RHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Sasaki, Roki's Arsenal, by Pitch Type
ordered by usage vs. a LHH batter
Matched by pitch name
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | McCarthy, Jake: BA | McCarthy, Jake: HR% | McCarthy, Jake: Hard-Hit% | McCarthy, Jake: Exit Velo | McCarthy, Jake: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 45% | 97.5 | 15.4" | -10.0" | 2226 | 4.8% | 51% | 0.418 | 0.309 | 4.7% | 32% | 83.1 | 0.375 |
| FS | 24% | 90.3 | 1.2" | -6.9" | 912 | 4.3% | 42% | 0.379 | 0.400 | 10.0% | 29% | 80.0 | 0.485 |
| FO | 16% | 85.3 | -3.4" | -2.3" | 548 | 2.4% | 21% | 0.268 | |||||
| SL | 13% | 86.7 | -1.5" | 1.6" | 2048 | 5.1% | 21% | 0.221 | 0.116 | 0.0% | 23% | 81.2 | 0.242 |
| ST | 3% | 81.6 | -2.8" | 11.3" | 1854 | 0.207 | 0.0% | 19% | 84.7 | 0.252 |
Sasaki, Roki's Arsenal, by Pitch Shape
grouped by velo/break/spin, not label
Why shape beats the label
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | McCarthy, Jake: BA | McCarthy, Jake: HR% | McCarthy, Jake: Hard-Hit% | McCarthy, Jake: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CH/FS/FO | 39% | 88.3 | -0.6" | -5.0" | 0.345 | 0.306 | 2.8% | 28% | 0.404 |
| ST/SL/CU | 39% | 88.2 | -0.8" | -5.1" | 0.341 | 0.154 | 2.6% | 19% | 0.284 |
| FF/SI/FC | 25% | 98.4 | 16.2" | -10.3" | 0.365 | 0.281 | 4.5% | 27% | 0.368 |
| EP/FA/SL | 25% | 98.4 | 16.4" | -10.4" | 0.351 | ||||
| FF/SI/FC | 18% | 96.2 | 14.7" | -9.3" | 0.450 | 0.333 | 3.3% | 34% | 0.363 |
| SL/ST/CU | 16% | 85.8 | -1.9" | 3.3" | 0.229 | 0.200 | 0.0% | 17% | 0.226 |
| CU/KC/ST | 15% | 85.7 | -2.0" | 3.4" | 0.253 | 0.118 | 0.0% | 22% | 0.256 |
| SI/FF/CH | 2% | 96.7 | 12.0" | -13.4" | 0.360 | 6.0% | 47% | 0.434 | |
| FC/SL/FF | 0% | 89.4 | 0.6" | 2.3" | 0.224 | 1.7% | 29% | 0.389 | |
| CH/SI/FS | 0% | 89.4 | 1.4" | -9.9" | 0.217 | 1.7% | 20% | 0.317 |
At-Bat Log
Every plate appearance
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
77 PA · 30 games · 2026-07-12 to 2026-08-19
19 hits
5 walks
1 hit by pitch
17 strikeouts
35 outs in play
avg exit velo 83.6 mph over 54 tracked
xwOBA 0.336
| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Single ground ball | 2-2 | FF | 98.3 | 80.2 | -10° | 16 | Infield | 0.093 | 0.104 | 0.084 | Hurt, Kyle |
| 2026-08-19 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 91.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Vesia, Alex |
| 2026-08-19 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 87.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sasaki, Roki |
| 2026-08-19 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | SL | 85.0 | 91.5 | -10° | 14 | Infield | 0.200 | 0.229 | 0.180 | Sasaki, Roki |
| 2026-08-19 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 89.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sasaki, Roki |
| 2026-08-18 | Double line drive | 0-1 | SL | 87.5 | 104.5 | 13° | 271 | RF | 0.891 | 1.131 | 0.875 | Scott, Tanner |
| 2026-08-18 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | SL | 85.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Henriquez, Edgardo |
| 2026-08-18 | Out popup | 1-2 | FF | 91.1 | 68.4 | 72° | 91 | Infield | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | Lauer, Eric |
| 2026-08-17 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | SL | 88.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Snell, Blake |
| 2026-08-17 | Force Out ground ball | 0-2 | SL | 89.8 | 81.2 | -20° | 4 | Infield | 0.076 | 0.084 | 0.074 | Snell, Blake |
| 2026-08-16 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FF | 96.4 | 98.7 | 8° | 186 | LF gap | 0.623 | 0.706 | 0.580 | Winn, Keaton |
| 2026-08-16 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 93.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Brubaker, JT |
| 2026-08-16 | Walk | 3-1 | SL | 88.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Tidwell, Blade |
| 2026-08-15 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | SL | 90.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Seymour, Carson |
| 2026-08-14 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | FF | 95.0 | 84.3 | 3° | 65 | Infield | 0.324 | 0.383 | 0.293 | Brubaker, JT |
| 2026-08-14 | Reached On Error ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 92.5 | 36.4 | -48° | 2 | Infield | 0.350 | 0.355 | 0.315 | Roupp, Landen |
| 2026-08-14 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 93.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Roupp, Landen |
| 2026-08-12 | Out ground ball | 3-1 | SI | 97.6 | 68.6 | -10° | 15 | Infield | 0.067 | 0.075 | 0.060 | Garcia, Brandyn |
| 2026-08-12 | Out fly ball | 0-1 | FF | 90.8 | 81.3 | 41° | 276 | CF | 0.020 | 0.024 | 0.018 | Kelly, Merrill |
| 2026-08-12 | Out popup | 2-0 | FF | 90.2 | 75.7 | 68° | 126 | Infield | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | Kelly, Merrill |
| 2026-08-11 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 1-1 | SI | 89.8 | 62.4 | 1° | 36 | Infield | 0.146 | 0.168 | 0.138 | Bratt, Mitch |
| 2026-08-11 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 89.9 | 92.3 | 30° | 345 | CF | 0.054 | 0.132 | 0.076 | Bratt, Mitch |
| 2026-08-10 | Out popup | 0-0 | FF | 91.5 | 85.4 | 80° | 81 | LF corner | 0.009 | 0.010 | 0.008 | Littell, Zack |
| 2026-08-10 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 93.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Littell, Zack |
| 2026-08-10 | Single line drive | 1-2 | FF | 92.3 | 97.5 | 14° | 238 | LF | 0.891 | 1.082 | 0.863 | Soroka, Michael |
| 2026-08-09 | Out line drive | 0-1 | SI | 97.2 | 100.1 | 17° | 280 | LF | 0.489 | 0.794 | 0.542 | O'Brien, Riley |
| 2026-08-09 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 90.0 | 41.8 | -56° | 2 | RF corner | 0.324 | 0.329 | 0.292 | Bruihl, Justin |
| 2026-08-08 | Single ground ball | 3-1 | SI | 92.0 | 30.9 | -47° | 2 | RF corner | 0.359 | 0.364 | 0.323 | Strzelecki, Peter |
| 2026-08-08 | Home Run fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 94.1 | 105.3 | 29° | 417 | RF gap | 0.846 | 3.316 | 1.694 | Gastelum, Luis |
| 2026-08-08 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 0-2 | SL | 84.3 | 91.3 | 3° | 70 | Infield | 0.409 | 0.479 | 0.398 | Liberatore, Matthew |
| 2026-08-08 | Home Run fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 95.0 | 104.0 | 29° | 420 | RF | 0.783 | 2.990 | 1.539 | Liberatore, Matthew |
| 2026-08-07 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SI | 91.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Ferguson, Caleb |
| 2026-08-07 | Double ground ball | 2-1 | SL | 91.5 | 110.4 | 2° | 63 | Infield | 0.580 | 0.624 | 0.524 | Leahy, Kyle |
| 2026-08-05 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | SI | 96.5 | 57.1 | -59° | 1 | RF corner | 0.262 | 0.267 | 0.236 | Cleavinger, Garrett |
| 2026-08-05 | Single fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 92.2 | 67.6 | 29° | 211 | LF gap | 0.980 | 1.016 | 0.886 | Martinez, Nick |
| 2026-08-04 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | FF | 92.5 | 103.9 | -2° | 37 | Infield | 0.406 | 0.449 | 0.372 | Legumina, Casey |
| 2026-08-04 | Single line drive | 0-1 | FF | 94.8 | 103.3 | 14° | 264 | RF | 0.766 | 1.095 | 0.794 | Peralta, Freddy |
| 2026-08-03 | Double line drive | 0-0 | FF | 92.7 | 99.7 | 11° | 239 | LF gap | 0.903 | 1.064 | 0.860 | Legumina, Casey |
| 2026-08-03 | Sac Fly line drive | 1-1 | SL | 86.0 | 106.1 | 16° | 313 | RF gap | — | — | 0.662 | Grove, Michael |
| 2026-08-03 | Out line drive | 0-0 | SL | 82.1 | 100.9 | 10° | 198 | Infield | 0.840 | 1.024 | 0.816 | Seymour, Ian |
| 2026-08-03 | Out line drive | 0-0 | FF | 90.6 | 48.0 | 32° | 134 | RF corner | 0.120 | 0.135 | 0.112 | Seymour, Ian |
| 2026-08-03 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | FF | 91.7 | 87.1 | 52° | 264 | LF corner | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | Seymour, Ian |
| 2026-08-02 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 100.0 | 88.0 | 41° | 342 | RF | 0.003 | 0.006 | 0.003 | Cruz, Steven |
| 2026-08-02 | Home Run fly ball | 1-1 | SI | 90.8 | 97.5 | 27° | 387 | RF | 0.323 | 0.871 | 0.494 | Bummer, Aaron |
| 2026-08-01 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | SL | 90.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Avila, Luinder |
| 2026-08-01 | Out line drive | 1-2 | FF | 96.5 | 100.8 | 17° | 316 | LF | 0.486 | 0.837 | 0.557 | Avila, Luinder |
| 2026-07-31 | Out line drive | 0-1 | SL | 90.3 | 71.6 | 15° | 153 | Infield | 0.494 | 0.521 | 0.445 | Pearson, Nate |
| 2026-07-29 | Force Out ground ball | 1-1 | SI | 93.7 | 83.9 | -29° | 4 | Infield | 0.064 | 0.069 | 0.058 | Hart, Kyle |
| 2026-07-29 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | SI | 96.1 | 70.0 | -49° | 2 | RF corner | 0.276 | 0.284 | 0.251 | Hart, Kyle |
| 2026-07-28 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | SI | 100.3 | 41.4 | -88° | 0 | Infield | 0.186 | 0.194 | 0.167 | Morejon, Adrian |
| 2026-07-26 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | FF | 93.1 | 65.5 | -22° | 4 | Infield | 0.064 | 0.072 | 0.058 | Yoho, Craig |
| 2026-07-26 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 102.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Misiorowski, Jacob |
| 2026-07-26 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 103.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Misiorowski, Jacob |
| 2026-07-25 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | SI | 92.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Gasser, Robert |
| 2026-07-25 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | FF | 91.6 | 43.0 | 11° | 57 | Infield | 0.255 | 0.275 | 0.238 | Gasser, Robert |
| 2026-07-24 | Out popup | 1-2 | FF | 93.7 | 77.4 | 79° | 70 | LF corner | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.005 | Anderson, Grant |
| 2026-07-24 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 87.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Drohan, Shane |
| 2026-07-24 | Triple line drive | 0-0 | SL | 87.2 | 100.1 | 8° | 136 | RF corner | 0.620 | 0.714 | 0.582 | Drohan, Shane |
| 2026-07-24 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | FF | 96.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Drohan, Shane |
| 2026-07-22 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | FF | 98.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Kranick, Max |
| 2026-07-22 | Out line drive | 1-0 | SI | 97.9 | 99.8 | 19° | 307 | RF | 0.351 | 0.673 | 0.428 | Yean, Eddy |
| 2026-07-21 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SL | 85.5 | 84.9 | -14° | 10 | Infield | 0.123 | 0.134 | 0.112 | Beeter, Clayton |
| 2026-07-21 | Single line drive | 1-1 | SI | 92.7 | 104.0 | 6° | 116 | RF | 0.663 | 0.746 | 0.617 | Mikolas, Miles |
| 2026-07-21 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 88.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Mikolas, Miles |
| 2026-07-21 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SI | 90.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Palmquist, Carson |
| 2026-07-20 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 90.2 | 76.8 | 10° | 124 | CF | 0.334 | 0.355 | 0.301 | Krook, Matt |
| 2026-07-20 | Single line drive | 0-0 | SL | 83.9 | 106.9 | 13° | 255 | RF gap | 0.863 | 1.162 | 0.863 | Alvarez, Andrew |
| 2026-07-20 | Single line drive | 2-2 | FF | 92.1 | 88.5 | 12° | 199 | LF gap | 0.783 | 0.908 | 0.751 | Alvarez, Andrew |
| 2026-07-19 | Single line drive | 0-1 | FS | 86.2 | 94.8 | 13° | 244 | CF | 0.951 | 1.160 | 0.924 | Greene, Hunter |
| 2026-07-19 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | SL | 87.4 | 84.4 | 68° | 172 | LF corner | 0.011 | 0.021 | 0.015 | Greene, Hunter |
| 2026-07-19 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 88.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Greene, Hunter |
| 2026-07-18 | Double fly ball | 0-0 | SI | 92.2 | 90.0 | 60° | 219 | CF | 0.031 | 0.063 | 0.045 | Lowder, Rhett |
| 2026-07-17 | Hit By Pitch | 3-2 | SL | 83.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.729 | Burke, Brock |
| 2026-07-17 | Out line drive | 2-1 | SL | 81.8 | 90.2 | 24° | 338 | CF | 0.117 | 0.202 | 0.130 | Singer, Brady |
| 2026-07-12 | Walk | 3-1 | FS | 90.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Winn, Keaton |
| 2026-07-12 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 92.2 | 90.9 | -23° | 4 | Infield | 0.086 | 0.097 | 0.079 | McDonald, Trevor |
| 2026-07-12 | Home Run fly ball | 0-1 | FF | 93.3 | 99.6 | 30° | 387 | RF gap | 0.509 | 1.803 | 0.942 | McDonald, Trevor |