Batter vs Pitch Arsenal
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
Nathaniel Lowe LHB CLE vs Nick Martinez RHP TBA P
P = platoon edge (batter faces the opposite hand)
Batters grouped by swing shape — bat speed and swing length for power, attack angle and path tilt for loft — from Statcast bat tracking.
The number beside each metric is the gap to league average across the 610 batters with enough tracked swings to measure.
A description, not a prediction. The model does not use it.
Bat speed, barrel rate, exit velocity and chase rate over the last 30 games against this player's own last 100, so it reads as “is he himself right now” rather than “is he good”.
Flagged only when it has moved further than three quarters of hitters do. Movement in either direction counts.
Descriptive — the model does not use it.
whole-game, not filtered to this arsenal — see the per-pitch sections belowPitchers' arsenals are grouped by pitch shape — velocity, break and spin — and weighted by how often this pitcher throws each, so the number describes the arsenal he will face tonight.
Compared against this batter's own mark across every shape he has faced, so “done well” means well for him.
Descriptive — the model does not read it.
Overall vs RHP
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs RHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | Nathaniel Lowe: BA | Nathaniel Lowe: HR% | Nathaniel Lowe: Hard-Hit% | Nathaniel Lowe: Exit Velo | Nathaniel Lowe: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CH | 27% | 78.5 | 3.9" | -11.8" | 1920 | 3.0% | 23% | 0.294 | 0.211 | 3.3% | 37% | 88.8 | 0.358 |
| FC | 23% | 89.1 | 11.2" | 1.5" | 2338 | 3.9% | 35% | 0.370 | 0.312 | 7.8% | 38% | 86.7 | 0.413 |
| FF | 20% | 92.7 | 17.3" | -5.8" | 2300 | 3.5% | 45% | 0.378 | 0.269 | 2.9% | 40% | 89.4 | 0.422 |
| SI | 17% | 92.5 | 12.2" | -15.1" | 2296 | 4.8% | 50% | 0.395 | 0.280 | 4.0% | 58% | 93.9 | 0.376 |
| CU | 8% | 79.9 | -16.1" | 2.0" | 2569 | 0.0% | 31% | 0.383 | 0.178 | 4.4% | 46% | 89.3 | 0.366 |
| SL | 4% | 84.7 | 2.3" | 0.7" | 2403 | 0.0% | 48% | 0.342 | 0.245 | 9.4% | 42% | 89.2 | 0.391 |
| PO | 0% | 93.1 | 13.8" | -11.3" | 2326 |
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | Nathaniel Lowe: BA | Nathaniel Lowe: HR% | Nathaniel Lowe: Hard-Hit% | Nathaniel Lowe: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CH/SI/FS | 24% | 78.6 | 3.8" | -12.0" | 0.298 | 0.230 | 2.7% | 32% | 0.344 |
| EP/FA/SL | 23% | 92.3 | 16.4" | -7.1" | 0.387 | ||||
| FF/SI/FC | 23% | 92.3 | 16.4" | -7.1" | 0.395 | 0.266 | 1.6% | 43% | 0.361 |
| FC/SL/FF | 23% | 88.9 | 10.6" | 1.7" | 0.366 | 0.264 | 8.0% | 30% | 0.428 |
| SI/FF/CH | 12% | 92.6 | 11.2" | -15.9" | 0.383 | 0.320 | 3.9% | 57% | 0.445 |
| CU/KC/ST | 8% | 79.9 | -16.1" | 2.0" | 0.383 | 0.250 | 10.0% | 56% | 0.470 |
| FF/SI/FC | 4% | 93.3 | 17.4" | -6.7" | 0.296 | 0.256 | 4.3% | 39% | 0.443 |
| SL/ST/CU | 3% | 83.9 | 1.4" | 0.3" | 0.415 | 0.226 | 9.7% | 47% | 0.304 |
| ST/SL/CU | 3% | 78.2 | 4.4" | -10.8" | 0.269 | 0.268 | 4.9% | 39% | 0.383 |
| CH/FS/FO | 3% | 78.2 | 4.4" | -10.8" | 0.269 | 0.211 | 3.5% | 47% | 0.433 |
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
102 PA · 30 games · 2026-08-29 to 2026-10-15| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | FC | 91.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Tyler Wells |
| 2026-10-15 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | CU | 85.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Griffin Jax |
| 2026-10-15 | Double line drive | 0-0 | FF | 97.3 | 111.4 | 17° | 292 | RF | 0.700 | 1.393 | 0.864 | Griffin Jax |
| 2026-10-13 | Out line drive | 2-1 | SI | 90.5 | 61.5 | 23° | 173 | RF gap | 0.380 | 0.386 | 0.342 | Ian Seymour |
| 2026-10-13 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | FF | 98.1 | 66.0 | 11° | 112 | Infield | 0.216 | 0.249 | 0.194 | Freddy Peralta |
| 2026-10-13 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 97.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Freddy Peralta |
| 2026-10-13 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 95.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Freddy Peralta |
| 2026-10-12 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | SI | 92.0 | 94.4 | 38° | 309 | LF | 0.069 | 0.200 | 0.113 | Kevin Kelly |
| 2026-10-12 | Single ground ball | 0-2 | FF | 92.8 | 71.6 | 12° | 127 | CF | 0.323 | 0.355 | 0.299 | Ian Seymour |
| 2026-10-12 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | FC | 89.5 | 104.4 | 3° | 73 | RF corner | 0.606 | 0.680 | 0.566 | Drew Rasmussen |
| 2026-10-12 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | FC | 91.2 | 105.8 | -3° | 29 | Infield | 0.411 | 0.433 | 0.370 | Drew Rasmussen |
| 2026-10-12 | Single ground ball | 2-1 | FF | 96.0 | 112.2 | 5° | 127 | RF corner | 0.691 | 0.791 | 0.645 | Drew Rasmussen |
| 2026-10-10 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 94.8 | 91.6 | -14° | 8 | Infield | 0.130 | 0.149 | 0.123 | Sean Newcomb |
| 2026-10-10 | Out popup | 1-0 | FF | 93.3 | 85.7 | 77° | 43 | Infield | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.005 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-10-10 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | FF | 95.0 | 71.0 | 0° | 37 | Infield | 0.086 | 0.088 | 0.077 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-10-08 | Single line drive | 0-1 | FF | 93.6 | 103.4 | 14° | 256 | CF | 0.766 | 1.095 | 0.794 | Tyler Davis |
| 2026-10-08 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | SI | 97.0 | 109.3 | -14° | 7 | RF corner | 0.224 | 0.235 | 0.202 | Anthony Kay |
| 2026-10-08 | Single line drive | 0-1 | FF | 94.1 | 71.2 | 21° | 205 | CF | 0.971 | 1.033 | 0.887 | Erick Fedde |
| 2026-10-08 | Walk | 3-2 | SL | 82.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Hagen Smith |
| 2026-10-07 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 93.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Davis Martin |
| 2026-10-07 | Out line drive | 1-2 | FC | 91.4 | 72.8 | 10° | 118 | Infield | 0.274 | 0.278 | 0.247 | Noah Schultz |
| 2026-10-07 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 94.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Hagen Smith |
| 2026-10-07 | Double Play line drive | 0-1 | SI | 95.9 | 104.6 | 5° | 139 | Infield | 0.637 | 0.727 | 0.600 | Sean Newcomb |
| 2026-10-05 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | CU | 83.1 | 96.1 | 30° | 315 | LF | 0.211 | 0.680 | 0.368 | Grant Taylor |
| 2026-10-05 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | FC | 89.9 | 98.8 | -19° | 5 | RF corner | 0.150 | 0.150 | 0.135 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-10-05 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 94.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-10-05 | Reached On Error ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 96.0 | — | -67° | 1 | Infield | — | — | — | Sean Newcomb |
| 2026-10-03 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CU | 83.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Grant Taylor |
| 2026-10-03 | Double line drive | 0-2 | SL | 89.1 | 103.1 | 17° | 247 | RF corner | 0.429 | 0.797 | 0.514 | Grant Taylor |
| 2026-10-03 | Walk | 3-1 | FF | 101.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Jordan Hicks |
| 2026-09-27 | Out fly ball | 0-1 | FF | 98.8 | 93.1 | 34° | 340 | LF gap | 0.057 | 0.190 | 0.101 | Nate Pearson |
| 2026-09-27 | Single line drive | 1-1 | SI | 92.9 | 77.7 | 17° | 195 | RF | 0.960 | 1.033 | 0.880 | Daniel Lynch IV |
| 2026-09-27 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | SI | 92.2 | 99.1 | -12° | 9 | Infield | 0.246 | 0.279 | 0.242 | Daniel Lynch IV |
| 2026-09-27 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | SL | 88.6 | 79.9 | -31° | 3 | Infield | 0.056 | 0.058 | 0.054 | Daniel Lynch IV |
| 2026-09-26 | Single ground ball | 2-2 | FF | 94.6 | 92.1 | -12° | 16 | LF gap | 0.159 | 0.178 | 0.143 | Spencer Bivens |
| 2026-09-26 | Out line drive | 1-0 | SI | 90.0 | 104.5 | 5° | 118 | Infield | 0.583 | 0.664 | 0.543 | Jose Cuas |
| 2026-09-26 | Sac Fly fly ball | 0-0 | CH | 81.3 | 90.5 | 45° | 284 | CF | — | — | 0.004 | Michael Wacha |
| 2026-09-26 | Out line drive | 2-2 | CU | 75.8 | 95.5 | 19° | 310 | RF gap | 0.354 | 0.588 | 0.401 | Michael Wacha |
| 2026-09-26 | Sac Fly line drive | 1-1 | CH | 80.5 | 106.5 | 17° | 336 | RF | — | — | 0.660 | Michael Wacha |
| 2026-09-25 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 96.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Nate Pearson |
| 2026-09-23 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | SI | 99.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Tyron Guerrero |
| 2026-09-23 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | CU | 79.0 | 93.6 | -3° | 31 | Infield | 0.229 | 0.275 | 0.215 | Sonny Gray |
| 2026-09-23 | Out popup | 1-1 | FC | 90.1 | 85.5 | 75° | 74 | LF corner | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | Sonny Gray |
| 2026-09-22 | Sac Fly fly ball | 1-0 | SI | 96.8 | 86.8 | 27° | 306 | LF gap | — | — | 0.098 | Erik Miller |
| 2026-09-20 | Out fly ball | 1-1 | CU | 82.3 | 99.6 | 39° | 347 | RF | 0.183 | 0.722 | 0.373 | Luis Medina |
| 2026-09-20 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | CH | 91.1 | 106.2 | -9° | 15 | Infield | 0.303 | 0.319 | 0.273 | Jack Perkins |
| 2026-09-20 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | FC | 94.4 | 72.7 | -29° | 4 | Infield | 0.049 | 0.051 | 0.044 | Jack Perkins |
| 2026-09-18 | Hit By Pitch | 0-1 | FF | 98.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.729 | Luis Medina |
| 2026-09-18 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SL | 87.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Scott Blewett |
| 2026-09-18 | Out fly ball | 1-1 | FF | 94.6 | 89.6 | 24° | 309 | LF | 0.117 | 0.202 | 0.130 | Mason Barnett |
| 2026-09-18 | Single line drive | 0-1 | FF | 95.3 | 103.0 | 8° | 224 | LF | 0.717 | 0.806 | 0.666 | Mason Barnett |
| 2026-09-15 | Single line drive | 2-0 | FF | 99.2 | 106.9 | 9° | 152 | RF gap | 0.734 | 0.904 | 0.725 | Grant Taylor |
| 2026-09-15 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | CH | 91.5 | 108.0 | -15° | 7 | RF gap | 0.207 | 0.212 | 0.189 | Davis Martin |
| 2026-09-15 | Single ground ball | 1-1 | CH | 89.6 | 58.7 | -31° | 5 | Infield | 0.061 | 0.061 | 0.055 | Davis Martin |
| 2026-09-15 | Out popup | 3-2 | CU | 79.3 | 62.9 | 75° | 56 | Infield | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.005 | Chris Murphy |
| 2026-09-14 | Out line drive | 1-0 | FF | 95.8 | 103.5 | 9° | 176 | Infield | 0.714 | 0.860 | 0.684 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-09-14 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FC | 87.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-09-13 | Sac Fly fly ball | 0-2 | CU | 86.6 | 81.6 | 45° | 251 | LF | — | — | 0.031 | Tommy Nance |
| 2026-09-13 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | FC | 93.1 | 107.6 | -5° | 18 | Infield | 0.387 | 0.414 | 0.348 | Travis Adams |
| 2026-09-13 | Single line drive | 0-1 | CH | 85.4 | 74.8 | 12° | 166 | CF | 0.360 | 0.378 | 0.324 | Travis Adams |
| 2026-09-13 | Out fly ball | 2-1 | FF | 92.2 | 90.3 | 55° | 214 | LF gap | 0.011 | 0.018 | 0.013 | Joe Ryan |
| 2026-09-13 | Single ground ball | 3-2 | FF | 93.4 | 103.3 | -3° | 30 | CF | 0.415 | 0.454 | 0.378 | Joe Ryan |
| 2026-09-12 | Out popup | 2-0 | FC | 88.0 | 84.2 | 69° | 133 | LF corner | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.005 | A.J. Minter |
| 2026-09-12 | Out line drive | 2-1 | FF | 97.4 | 101.0 | 23° | 357 | LF | 0.549 | 1.355 | 0.794 | Andrew Morris |
| 2026-09-11 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | CU | 84.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Taj Bradley |
| 2026-09-11 | Out fly ball | 3-1 | FF | 97.9 | 101.5 | 26° | 380 | LF gap | 0.686 | 2.396 | 1.262 | Taj Bradley |
| 2026-09-09 | Out ground ball | 3-2 | SI | 95.6 | 72.4 | -48° | 2 | RF corner | 0.199 | 0.199 | 0.179 | Yennier Cano |
| 2026-09-09 | Home Run fly ball | 2-0 | FF | 95.4 | 104.8 | 29° | 407 | RF | 0.846 | 3.316 | 1.694 | Shane Baz |
| 2026-09-09 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | FF | 96.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Shane Baz |
| 2026-09-09 | Out fly ball | 1-0 | FF | 93.4 | 87.9 | 54° | 252 | RF gap | 0.009 | 0.010 | 0.008 | Shane Baz |
| 2026-09-08 | Walk | 3-1 | SL | 84.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.699 | Cam Sanders |
| 2026-09-08 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 99.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Alex Hoppe |
| 2026-09-08 | Out line drive | 3-1 | SI | 94.1 | 88.9 | 11° | 190 | CF | 0.631 | 0.707 | 0.592 | Grant Wolfram |
| 2026-09-08 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 93.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.699 | Brandon Young |
| 2026-09-07 | Home Run fly ball | 2-2 | SL | 85.1 | 97.5 | 30° | 371 | RF | 0.266 | 0.847 | 0.461 | Andrew Kittredge |
| 2026-09-06 | Out popup | 3-2 | FC | 93.1 | 88.2 | 78° | 50 | LF corner | 0.011 | 0.018 | 0.013 | Kenley Jansen |
| 2026-09-06 | Hit By Pitch | 1-0 | SI | 91.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.729 | Tyler Holton |
| 2026-09-06 | Out ground ball | 3-1 | FF | 97.4 | 92.3 | -7° | 20 | Infield | 0.190 | 0.206 | 0.171 | Jackson Jobe |
| 2026-09-06 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 96.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Jackson Jobe |
| 2026-09-04 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 86.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Jacob Waguespack |
| 2026-09-04 | Out line drive | 1-2 | SL | 89.5 | 95.5 | 14° | 286 | CF | 0.920 | 1.141 | 0.895 | Tyler Kinley |
| 2026-09-04 | Double line drive | 3-2 | SL | 82.5 | 101.2 | 19° | 373 | CF | 0.389 | 0.729 | 0.468 | Andrew Sears |
| 2026-09-04 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 1-2 | SI | 92.1 | 107.1 | 3° | 92 | Infield | 0.551 | 0.616 | 0.507 | Tyler Holton |
| 2026-09-04 | Single line drive | 2-2 | FF | 96.8 | 80.5 | 12° | 154 | LF | 0.514 | 0.564 | 0.479 | Keider Montero |
| 2026-09-04 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | FF | 96.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Keider Montero |
| 2026-09-03 | Walk | 3-1 | FF | 99.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Louis Varland |
| 2026-09-03 | Out line drive | 3-2 | SI | 97.4 | 95.0 | 18° | 290 | LF gap | 0.469 | 0.626 | 0.452 | Spencer Miles |
| 2026-09-03 | Single line drive | 0-2 | FF | 97.5 | 93.2 | 16° | 251 | LF | 0.797 | 0.943 | 0.751 | José Soriano |
| 2026-09-03 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 98.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | José Soriano |
| 2026-09-02 | Out line drive | 3-2 | SL | 86.1 | 80.8 | 11° | 138 | Infield | 0.474 | 0.525 | 0.442 | Braydon Fisher |
| 2026-09-02 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 92.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Paul Sewald |
| 2026-09-02 | Out line drive | 1-0 | FF | 97.5 | 82.6 | 20° | 251 | LF | 0.803 | 0.918 | 0.754 | Dylan Cease |
| 2026-09-02 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 97.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Dylan Cease |
| 2026-09-01 | Out line drive | 1-1 | CU | 83.8 | 89.9 | 25° | 340 | LF gap | 0.140 | 0.267 | 0.177 | Michael Lorenzen |
| 2026-09-01 | Out line drive | 0-1 | CU | 79.8 | 83.1 | 12° | 161 | RF gap | 0.531 | 0.580 | 0.483 | Joe Mantiply |
| 2026-09-01 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 93.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Spencer Arrighetti |
| 2026-08-30 | Force Out ground ball | 0-1 | SI | 91.2 | 71.7 | -18° | 5 | Infield | 0.049 | 0.051 | 0.044 | Connor Thomas |
| 2026-08-30 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | SI | 91.7 | 79.9 | -33° | 4 | Infield | 0.049 | 0.051 | 0.045 | Connor Thomas |
| 2026-08-30 | Sac Fly fly ball | 1-1 | CH | 87.2 | 89.0 | 40° | 310 | RF gap | — | — | 0.013 | Seth Lugo |
| 2026-08-30 | Home Run fly ball | 3-2 | FF | 95.4 | 100.7 | 28° | 373 | LF | 0.603 | 2.194 | 1.151 | Seth Lugo |
| 2026-08-29 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 96.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Alex Lange |
| 2026-08-29 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | FF | 93.6 | 104.6 | 4° | 87 | RF | 0.571 | 0.638 | 0.529 | John Schreiber |