Batter vs Pitch Arsenal
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
Luis Lara RHB MIL vs Tyler Glasnow RHP LAN
filtered for today’s matchupP = platoon edge (batter faces the opposite hand)
Batters grouped by swing shape — bat speed and swing length for power, attack angle and path tilt for loft — from Statcast bat tracking.
The number beside each metric is the gap to league average across the 610 batters with enough tracked swings to measure.
A description, not a prediction. The model does not use it.
Bat speed, barrel rate, exit velocity and chase rate over the last 30 games against this player's own last 100, so it reads as “is he himself right now” rather than “is he good”.
Flagged only when it has moved further than three quarters of hitters do. Movement in either direction counts.
Descriptive — the model does not use it.
whole-game, not filtered to this arsenal — see the per-pitch sections belowPitchers' arsenals are grouped by pitch shape — velocity, break and spin — and weighted by how often this pitcher throws each, so the number describes the arsenal he will face tonight.
Compared against this batter's own mark across every shape he has faced, so “done well” means well for him.
Descriptive — the model does not read it.
Overall vs RHP
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs RHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | Luis Lara: BA | Luis Lara: HR% | Luis Lara: Hard-Hit% | Luis Lara: Exit Velo | Luis Lara: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 32% | 95.6 | 16.4" | -1.2" | 2537 | 6.3% | 54% | 0.370 | 0.372 | 0.0% | 50% | 89.2 | 0.412 |
| SL | 26% | 89.5 | 0.7" | 3.5" | 2655 | 1.8% | 18% | 0.268 | 0.357 | 0.0% | 38% | 85.9 | 0.350 |
| SI | 23% | 95.8 | 14.2" | -10.7" | 2505 | 1.6% | 54% | 0.302 | 0.062 | 0.0% | 33% | 86.8 | 0.206 |
| CU | 13% | 82.4 | -16.0" | 4.0" | 2831 | 0.0% | 23% | 0.349 | 0.000 | 0.0% | |||
| KC | 5% | 81.0 | -16.1" | 6.8" | 2843 | 3.7% | 11% | 0.352 |
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | Luis Lara: BA | Luis Lara: HR% | Luis Lara: Hard-Hit% | Luis Lara: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF/SI/FC | 53% | 95.7 | 15.6" | -5.1" | 0.334 | 0.324 | 0.0% | 48% | 0.414 |
| FC/SL/FF | 22% | 89.8 | 1.8" | 3.5" | 0.261 | 0.250 | 0.0% | 39% | 0.287 |
| CH/SI/FS | 18% | 82.0 | -16.0" | 4.8" | 0.351 | 0.077 | 0.0% | 25% | 0.217 |
| CU/KC/ST | 18% | 82.0 | -16.0" | 4.8" | 0.351 | 0.000 | 0.0% | ||
| ST/SL/CU | 3% | 88.2 | -3.4" | 3.9" | 0.200 | 0.0% | |||
| FF/SI/FC | 2% | 94.7 | 14.0" | -6.3" | |||||
| EP/FA/SL | 2% | 94.7 | 14.1" | -6.1" | |||||
| SL/ST/CU | 1% | 87.6 | -4.2" | 1.7" | |||||
| SI/FF/CH | 1% | 95.6 | 11.3" | -13.1" | 0.188 | 0.0% | 33% | 0.317 | |
| CH/FS/FO | 1% | 95.6 | 11.3" | -13.1" |
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
76 PA · 30 games · 2026-08-20 to 2026-10-14| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Out line drive | 0-2 | FF | 96.7 | 86.9 | 19° | 261 | RF | 0.766 | 0.864 | 0.691 | Justin Wrobleski |
| 2026-10-14 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | FF | 97.3 | 87.2 | 29° | 302 | LF gap | 0.034 | 0.053 | 0.031 | Evan Phillips |
| 2026-10-14 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 97.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Blake Snell |
| 2026-10-11 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | SI | 97.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Evan Phillips |
| 2026-10-11 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SI | 97.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Tarik Skubal |
| 2026-10-03 | Out line drive | 2-1 | SI | 97.2 | 81.6 | 22° | 251 | RF | 0.671 | 0.802 | 0.645 | Adrian Morejon |
| 2026-10-03 | Out line drive | 0-0 | SL | 84.6 | 99.0 | 10° | 176 | Infield | 0.777 | 0.907 | 0.736 | Jason Adam |
| 2026-10-03 | Walk | 3-1 | FF | 99.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Bradgley Rodriguez |
| 2026-09-26 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 95.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Gordon Graceffo |
| 2026-09-26 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | CU | 76.6 | 81.6 | -35° | 3 | LF corner | 0.050 | 0.060 | 0.045 | Quinn Mathews |
| 2026-09-26 | Single ground ball | 0-1 | FF | 93.7 | 99.6 | 3° | 93 | RF | 0.540 | 0.605 | 0.501 | Quinn Mathews |
| 2026-09-25 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 91.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Michael McGreevy |
| 2026-09-24 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | SI | 93.7 | 99.1 | -21° | 6 | Infield | 0.155 | 0.156 | 0.142 | Tim Mayza |
| 2026-09-24 | Out line drive | 3-2 | SI | 95.9 | 81.3 | 22° | 271 | RF gap | 0.689 | 0.757 | 0.620 | José Alvarado |
| 2026-09-24 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | FF | 95.8 | 88.4 | 30° | 310 | LF gap | 0.051 | 0.105 | 0.064 | Andrew Painter |
| 2026-09-24 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FF | 95.1 | 95.8 | 16° | 260 | RF gap | 0.691 | 0.936 | 0.698 | Andrew Painter |
| 2026-09-22 | Single line drive | 2-1 | FF | 100.0 | 74.2 | 20° | 220 | LF gap | 0.974 | 1.024 | 0.878 | Jhoan Duran |
| 2026-09-22 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | SI | 97.5 | 94.7 | -28° | 4 | Infield | 0.079 | 0.086 | 0.071 | Alex McFarlane |
| 2026-09-22 | Out line drive | 1-0 | FF | 95.7 | 100.8 | 17° | 324 | CF | 0.486 | 0.837 | 0.557 | Zack Wheeler |
| 2026-09-22 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CU | 81.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Zack Wheeler |
| 2026-09-19 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | SI | 93.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Trevor Rogers |
| 2026-09-18 | Out popup | 3-1 | FF | 90.6 | 87.5 | 60° | 178 | RF gap | 0.017 | 0.017 | 0.015 | Cade Povich |
| 2026-09-17 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | SI | 98.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Mason Montgomery |
| 2026-09-17 | Force Out ground ball | 1-0 | SI | 96.4 | 61.5 | -53° | 2 | Infield | 0.273 | 0.277 | 0.246 | Camilo Doval |
| 2026-09-17 | Walk | 3-1 | FF | 94.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.699 | Khristian Curtis |
| 2026-09-17 | Out line drive | 0-0 | FF | 99.3 | 42.9 | 34° | 99 | Infield | 0.130 | 0.134 | 0.120 | Wilber Dotel |
| 2026-09-16 | Out ground ball | 3-2 | SI | 94.9 | 103.0 | -2° | 31 | Infield | 0.420 | 0.473 | 0.391 | Carmen Mlodzinski |
| 2026-09-16 | Out fly ball | 3-1 | FF | 97.4 | 71.7 | 43° | 228 | CF | 0.311 | 0.384 | 0.305 | Jared Jones |
| 2026-09-16 | Single ground ball | 3-2 | SL | 91.3 | 64.1 | 14° | 128 | Infield | 0.211 | 0.211 | 0.190 | Jared Jones |
| 2026-09-15 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | FF | 99.1 | 66.5 | -4° | 24 | Infield | 0.085 | 0.095 | 0.077 | Antwone Kelly |
| 2026-09-15 | Double line drive | 0-0 | SI | 95.3 | 89.8 | 15° | 230 | RF corner | 0.989 | 1.099 | 0.916 | Gregory Soto |
| 2026-09-15 | Sac Fly fly ball | 2-1 | FF | 94.9 | 93.4 | 40° | 318 | LF gap | — | — | 0.032 | Lake Bachar |
| 2026-09-13 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | FF | 91.7 | 102.7 | 2° | 64 | Infield | 0.514 | 0.578 | 0.479 | Brandon Williamson |
| 2026-09-13 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 97.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Chase Burns |
| 2026-09-11 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | SL | 84.2 | 103.7 | 4° | 92 | RF | 0.563 | 0.625 | 0.519 | Luis Mey |
| 2026-09-11 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | FF | 92.4 | 100.5 | -13° | 9 | RF | 0.219 | 0.234 | 0.197 | Julian Garcia |
| 2026-09-11 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | CU | 79.9 | 100.0 | -18° | 5 | Infield | 0.158 | 0.171 | 0.142 | Andrew Abbott |
| 2026-09-08 | Single line drive | 0-0 | CU | 77.0 | 74.9 | 16° | 180 | LF corner | 0.751 | 0.778 | 0.676 | Caleb Thielbar |
| 2026-09-08 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | FF | 95.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Ryan Rolison |
| 2026-09-08 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | CU | 78.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Aaron Civale |
| 2026-09-08 | Force Out ground ball | 1-0 | SI | 92.9 | 82.7 | -9° | 10 | Infield | 0.085 | 0.089 | 0.077 | David Peterson |
| 2026-09-08 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 1-2 | SL | 87.4 | 68.8 | -4° | 18 | Infield | 0.101 | 0.114 | 0.105 | David Peterson |
| 2026-09-07 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 94.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Jacob Webb |
| 2026-09-07 | Single ground ball | 2-2 | SL | 83.9 | 103.0 | 3° | 84 | CF | 0.551 | 0.673 | 0.534 | Matthew Boyd |
| 2026-09-05 | Out popup | 1-0 | FF | 94.7 | 84.1 | 63° | 175 | LF corner | 0.011 | 0.011 | 0.010 | Emilio Pagán |
| 2026-09-04 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | FF | 92.9 | 106.6 | -15° | 7 | CF | 0.201 | 0.205 | 0.181 | Julian Garcia |
| 2026-09-04 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | SI | 98.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Luis Mey |
| 2026-09-04 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | SI | 90.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sam Moll |
| 2026-09-02 | Hit By Pitch | 3-1 | FF | 94.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.729 | Jacob Webb |
| 2026-09-02 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | CU | 81.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Trent Thornton |
| 2026-09-02 | Walk | 3-2 | SL | 88.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | David Peterson |
| 2026-09-02 | Single line drive | 2-1 | SI | 91.7 | 94.5 | 7° | 168 | RF | 0.600 | 0.692 | 0.573 | David Peterson |
| 2026-09-01 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | SL | 89.7 | 87.9 | -27° | 4 | Infield | 0.060 | 0.075 | 0.055 | Caleb Thielbar |
| 2026-09-01 | Out line drive | 1-1 | FF | 97.3 | 95.5 | 19° | 295 | LF gap | 0.354 | 0.588 | 0.401 | Daniel Palencia |
| 2026-09-01 | Single ground ball | 1-2 | CU | 75.0 | 80.1 | 11° | 133 | LF corner | 0.394 | 0.394 | 0.355 | Matthew Boyd |
| 2026-09-01 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | FF | 91.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Matthew Boyd |
| 2026-08-31 | Double line drive | 1-0 | FF | 94.6 | 96.6 | 16° | 271 | RF corner | 0.666 | 0.924 | 0.679 | Ryan Rolison |
| 2026-08-30 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 90.7 | 90.7 | -4° | 30 | Infield | 0.210 | 0.231 | 0.201 | Jordan Montgomery |
| 2026-08-29 | Single line drive | 2-1 | FF | 94.4 | 98.9 | 8° | 164 | LF | 0.623 | 0.706 | 0.580 | Peyton Gray |
| 2026-08-29 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 94.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Cal Quantrill |
| 2026-08-27 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 91.8 | 100.1 | -6° | 19 | Infield | 0.320 | 0.335 | 0.288 | Sean Manaea |
| 2026-08-27 | Walk | 3-2 | SI | 90.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Sean Manaea |
| 2026-08-26 | Out fly ball | 3-1 | FF | 93.7 | 100.0 | 32° | 385 | RF gap | 0.434 | 1.605 | 0.832 | Dedniel Núñez |
| 2026-08-26 | Single ground ball | 0-1 | FF | 93.0 | 100.1 | -15° | 8 | LF gap | 0.177 | 0.192 | 0.165 | Chayce McDermott |
| 2026-08-25 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SI | 94.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Austin Warren |
| 2026-08-25 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | FF | 93.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Nate Lavender |
| 2026-08-25 | Single ground ball | 0-2 | CU | 77.6 | 97.4 | -4° | 19 | LF | 0.308 | 0.346 | 0.277 | Zac Thornton |
| 2026-08-23 | Triple ground ball | 2-2 | FF | 94.6 | 93.4 | 5° | 99 | RF corner | 0.531 | 0.643 | 0.521 | Dylan Lee |
| 2026-08-22 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | SI | 89.9 | 96.0 | -18° | 6 | RF gap | 0.155 | 0.168 | 0.140 | Brent Suter |
| 2026-08-22 | Single line drive | 0-0 | SI | 89.1 | 91.1 | 10° | 174 | LF gap | 0.571 | 0.621 | 0.525 | Brent Suter |
| 2026-08-22 | Out line drive | 0-0 | SI | 90.2 | 91.0 | 19° | 307 | RF gap | 0.514 | 0.599 | 0.471 | Martín Pérez |
| 2026-08-21 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | SI | 94.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Brent Suter |
| 2026-08-21 | Single line drive | 1-2 | SL | 81.0 | 91.5 | 11° | 201 | RF | 0.720 | 0.844 | 0.685 | Chris Sale |
| 2026-08-21 | Single ground ball | 1-0 | FF | 93.0 | 83.5 | 8° | 139 | LF gap | 0.437 | 0.492 | 0.410 | Chris Sale |
| 2026-08-20 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | SI | 95.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | George Kirby |
| 2026-08-20 | Out line drive | 0-0 | SI | 95.8 | 99.9 | 19° | 355 | CF | 0.351 | 0.673 | 0.428 | George Kirby |