Pitch Mix Analysis
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
2,874 pitches seen
·
0.380 xwOBA against shapes like this arsenal,
vs 0.400 against everything
(-0.020)
·
last 30 games: 0.328
-0.051
on 325 pitches, covering 59% of the arsenal
Pitch familiarity
Pitchers' arsenals are grouped by pitch shape — velocity, break and spin — and weighted by how often this pitcher throws each, so the number describes the arsenal he will face tonight.
Compared against this batter's own mark across every shape he has faced, so “done well” means well for him.
Descriptive — the model does not read it.
Hot Zones
by location · xwOBA on contact (excludes Ks/BBs, so runs higher than a full-PA xwOBA), dimmed cells are too few balls in play to trust
Overall vs RHP
0.424
146p
0.382
174p
0.318
82p
0.339
220p
0.531
198p
0.451
124p
0.338
180p
0.444
210p
0.354
137p
How Keith, Colt handles each pitch
Reading these bars
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs RHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Skenes, Paul's Arsenal, by Pitch Type
ordered by usage vs. a LHH batter
Matched by pitch name
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | Keith, Colt: BA | Keith, Colt: HR% | Keith, Colt: Hard-Hit% | Keith, Colt: Exit Velo | Keith, Colt: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 46% | 97.5 | 12.1" | -13.4" | 2214 | 2.7% | 54% | 0.393 | 0.286 | 3.1% | 57% | 95.0 | 0.426 |
| CH | 17% | 88.7 | 5.9" | -15.9" | 1825 | 0.8% | 15% | 0.303 | 0.227 | 2.3% | 25% | 84.0 | 0.311 |
| FS | 16% | 93.4 | 0.5" | -13.2" | 1657 | 0.9% | 42% | 0.325 | 0.149 | 2.1% | 39% | 86.0 | 0.242 |
| ST | 8% | 84.1 | 5.5" | 11.2" | 2328 | 0.0% | 30% | 0.317 | 0.238 | 9.5% | 42% | 91.7 | 0.707 |
| SL | 5% | 86.1 | 3.7" | 3.3" | 2302 | 2.5% | 32% | 0.330 | 0.170 | 7.5% | 34% | 88.8 | 0.473 |
| CU | 4% | 83.7 | -3.0" | 6.6" | 2438 | 8.7% | 44% | 0.509 | 0.342 | 0.0% | 40% | 90.8 | 0.487 |
| SI | 4% | 96.8 | 6.9" | -17.1" | 2173 | 2.5% | 66% | 0.389 | 0.357 | 1.2% | 51% | 90.7 | 0.411 |
Skenes, Paul's Arsenal, by Pitch Shape
grouped by velo/break/spin, not label
Why shape beats the label
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | Keith, Colt: BA | Keith, Colt: HR% | Keith, Colt: Hard-Hit% | Keith, Colt: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI/FF/CH | 34% | 97.3 | 10.5" | -14.6" | 0.398 | 0.308 | 1.1% | 51% | 0.386 |
| CH/SI/FS | 27% | 90.5 | 3.8" | -15.0" | 0.304 | 0.230 | 1.0% | 26% | 0.302 |
| SL/ST/CU | 11% | 84.4 | 1.7" | 7.8" | 0.474 | 0.222 | 2.8% | 36% | 0.458 |
| EP/FA/SL | 10% | 98.0 | 13.4" | -12.7" | 0.398 | ||||
| FF/SI/FC | 10% | 98.0 | 13.4" | -12.7" | 0.398 | 0.279 | 3.8% | 51% | 0.404 |
| FF/SI/FC | 7% | 96.6 | 13.3" | -11.1" | 0.386 | 0.291 | 2.7% | 58% | 0.431 |
| FC/SL/FF | 4% | 85.9 | 6.6" | 4.3" | 0.213 | 0.329 | 6.1% | 45% | 0.455 |
| CH/FS/FO | 4% | 92.8 | -0.6" | -11.5" | 0.321 | 0.189 | 2.7% | 37% | 0.277 |
| ST/SL/CU | 2% | 83.6 | 3.1" | 12.8" | 0.256 | 10.3% | 41% | 0.544 | |
| CU/KC/ST | 0% | 81.5 | -7.8" | 11.4" | 0.314 | 0.0% | 42% | 0.517 |
At-Bat Log
Every plate appearance
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
83 PA · 30 games · 2026-07-18 to 2026-08-19
26 hits
9 walks
12 strikeouts
36 outs in play
avg exit velo 89.5 mph over 62 tracked
xwOBA 0.377
| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Force Out ground ball | 3-1 | SI | 96.9 | 101.8 | 5° | 116 | CF | 0.580 | 0.661 | 0.541 | Doval, Camilo |
| 2026-08-19 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 96.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Skenes, Paul |
| 2026-08-19 | Single line drive | 3-1 | SI | 96.9 | 92.8 | 12° | 209 | LF gap | 0.860 | 1.003 | 0.836 | Skenes, Paul |
| 2026-08-19 | Walk | 3-2 | FS | 93.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Skenes, Paul |
| 2026-08-18 | Out line drive | 1-2 | CU | 84.6 | 105.7 | 20° | 316 | RF gap | 0.669 | 1.634 | 0.961 | Ashcraft, Braxton |
| 2026-08-18 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 97.3 | 103.9 | -3° | 31 | LF gap | 0.391 | 0.435 | 0.352 | Ashcraft, Braxton |
| 2026-08-18 | Out ground ball | 3-2 | SI | 98.1 | 85.8 | -28° | 5 | Infield | 0.050 | 0.060 | 0.045 | Ashcraft, Braxton |
| 2026-08-17 | Walk | 3-2 | SI | 97.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Ramírez, Yohan |
| 2026-08-17 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 93.5 | 94.5 | 45° | 321 | LF gap | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.005 | Mattson, Isaac |
| 2026-08-17 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | FS | 86.0 | 95.2 | -7° | 15 | Infield | 0.261 | 0.279 | 0.235 | Mlodzinski, Carmen |
| 2026-08-17 | Single line drive | 1-1 | SI | 95.4 | 103.1 | 13° | 265 | LF | 0.906 | 1.194 | 0.904 | Mlodzinski, Carmen |
| 2026-08-16 | Home Run fly ball | 0-0 | SL | 84.8 | 99.0 | 32° | 354 | LF | 0.389 | 1.422 | 0.743 | Burke, Sean |
| 2026-08-16 | Single line drive | 0-0 | SI | 92.1 | 96.5 | 12° | 230 | RF gap | 0.963 | 1.158 | 0.928 | Burke, Sean |
| 2026-08-15 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 1-1 | CU | 83.3 | 80.1 | -2° | 28 | RF corner | 0.146 | 0.164 | 0.145 | Taylor, Grant |
| 2026-08-14 | Double ground ball | 2-2 | FF | 97.3 | 103.3 | 1° | 68 | LF | 0.494 | 0.533 | 0.453 | Taylor, Grant |
| 2026-08-14 | Out popup | 0-0 | SI | 94.0 | 80.8 | 68° | 152 | LF corner | 0.006 | 0.008 | 0.007 | Brazobán, Huascar |
| 2026-08-14 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 84.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Urquidy, José |
| 2026-08-14 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | FF | 95.2 | 104.6 | -5° | 17 | Infield | 0.425 | 0.450 | 0.382 | Newcomb, Sean |
| 2026-08-13 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 95.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Aleman, Franco |
| 2026-08-12 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 79.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Gaddis, Hunter |
| 2026-08-11 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | CH | 86.0 | 57.9 | -16° | 9 | Infield | 0.068 | 0.072 | 0.061 | Aleman, Franco |
| 2026-08-11 | Out popup | 1-1 | CH | 82.4 | 89.6 | 66° | 151 | Infield | 0.011 | 0.023 | 0.016 | Bibee, Tanner |
| 2026-08-09 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | CH | 86.6 | 77.7 | -14° | 8 | Infield | 0.068 | 0.078 | 0.067 | Webb, Logan |
| 2026-08-09 | Out ground ball | 3-2 | CH | 84.7 | 85.9 | -14° | 7 | Infield | 0.082 | 0.086 | 0.074 | Webb, Logan |
| 2026-08-09 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | SI | 91.0 | 102.4 | 3° | 84 | Infield | 0.540 | 0.611 | 0.503 | Webb, Logan |
| 2026-08-08 | Walk | 3-0 | SI | 92.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Roupp, Landen |
| 2026-08-08 | Walk | 3-2 | CH | 87.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Roupp, Landen |
| 2026-08-08 | Walk | 3-0 | SI | 92.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Roupp, Landen |
| 2026-08-07 | Out fly ball | 2-1 | SI | 95.4 | 97.5 | 38° | 357 | CF | 0.091 | 0.309 | 0.154 | Houser, Adrian |
| 2026-08-07 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | CH | 86.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Houser, Adrian |
| 2026-08-07 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | SI | 92.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Brubaker, JT |
| 2026-08-06 | Single line drive | 1-0 | FF | 78.1 | 101.4 | 13° | 243 | LF | 0.934 | 1.178 | 0.915 | — |
| 2026-08-06 | Single line drive | 1-2 | ST | 79.1 | 70.1 | 24° | 209 | CF | 0.994 | 1.038 | 0.896 | Simpson, Josh |
| 2026-08-06 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CU | 82.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rucker, Michael |
| 2026-08-06 | Out ground ball | 2-2 | FS | 84.4 | 95.8 | -6° | 22 | Infield | 0.273 | 0.304 | 0.252 | Miller, Bryce |
| 2026-08-06 | Double line drive | 2-2 | FS | 83.8 | 85.8 | 14° | 174 | RF corner | 0.923 | 1.050 | 0.862 | Miller, Bryce |
| 2026-08-05 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CH | 92.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Muñoz, Andrés |
| 2026-08-05 | Out line drive | 1-0 | SL | 86.2 | 107.9 | 15° | 287 | RF | 0.686 | 1.077 | 0.748 | Woo, Bryan |
| 2026-08-05 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | SI | 95.5 | 95.9 | 37° | 341 | LF | 0.109 | 0.397 | 0.209 | Woo, Bryan |
| 2026-08-05 | Out line drive | 0-0 | FF | 95.8 | 96.1 | 19° | 298 | LF | 0.331 | 0.513 | 0.354 | Woo, Bryan |
| 2026-08-04 | Walk | 3-1 | SI | 97.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Domínguez, Seranthony |
| 2026-08-04 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | ST | 80.1 | 67.7 | 14° | 116 | Infield | 0.389 | 0.453 | 0.379 | Simpson, Josh |
| 2026-08-04 | Double ground ball | 0-1 | SI | 93.2 | 71.8 | -33° | 3 | LF corner | 0.060 | 0.067 | 0.054 | Hancock, Emerson |
| 2026-08-04 | Single line drive | 0-1 | CU | 75.2 | 80.0 | 20° | 212 | RF | 0.937 | 1.029 | 0.862 | Hancock, Emerson |
| 2026-08-04 | Single ground ball | 0-2 | CH | 86.8 | 85.3 | 11° | 137 | RF | 0.551 | 0.616 | 0.508 | Hancock, Emerson |
| 2026-08-02 | Out popup | 3-2 | FF | 94.8 | 93.4 | 74° | 88 | Infield | 0.006 | 0.008 | 0.007 | Juenger, Hayden |
| 2026-08-01 | Out fly ball | 2-1 | ST | 86.5 | 103.5 | 38° | 399 | CF | 0.466 | 1.796 | 0.919 | Perkins, Jack |
| 2026-08-01 | Single ground ball | 1-0 | CH | 89.6 | 102.2 | 5° | 98 | RF | 0.580 | 0.661 | 0.541 | Perkins, Jack |
| 2026-07-31 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | CH | 88.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Juenger, Hayden |
| 2026-07-29 | Out fly ball | 0-2 | FF | 93.8 | 81.5 | 39° | 277 | LF | 0.009 | 0.009 | 0.008 | Wells, Tyler |
| 2026-07-29 | Triple line drive | 0-0 | FF | 96.3 | 101.0 | 21° | 357 | RF gap | 0.380 | 0.801 | 0.492 | Nunez, Anthony |
| 2026-07-28 | Single line drive | 3-2 | CH | 84.9 | 77.8 | 17° | 223 | CF | 0.960 | 1.033 | 0.880 | Suárez, Albert |
| 2026-07-28 | Out popup | 1-0 | SI | 92.0 | 89.4 | 79° | 51 | Infield | 0.014 | 0.023 | 0.018 | Kremer, Dean |
| 2026-07-28 | Walk | 3-1 | SI | 93.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Kremer, Dean |
| 2026-07-28 | Triple fly ball | 2-2 | FF | 94.0 | 93.2 | 26° | 368 | RF gap | 0.171 | 0.351 | 0.224 | Kremer, Dean |
| 2026-07-27 | Double line drive | 1-2 | SI | 95.5 | 104.2 | 19° | 386 | LF gap | 0.500 | 1.013 | 0.630 | Bradish, Kyle |
| 2026-07-27 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 0-1 | SI | 94.2 | 84.9 | -18° | 8 | Infield | 0.070 | 0.088 | 0.068 | Bradish, Kyle |
| 2026-07-27 | Single line drive | 1-0 | FF | 93.9 | 92.0 | 18° | 289 | LF gap | 0.594 | 0.729 | 0.560 | Bradish, Kyle |
| 2026-07-26 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 0-2 | SL | 84.9 | 97.0 | 8° | 149 | Infield | 0.660 | 0.751 | 0.627 | Erceg, Lucas |
| 2026-07-26 | Walk | 3-1 | SI | 97.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Avila, Luinder |
| 2026-07-26 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | CH | 88.6 | 59.7 | -36° | 3 | Infield | 0.117 | 0.124 | 0.105 | Avila, Luinder |
| 2026-07-26 | Out popup | 2-0 | FF | 93.6 | 64.6 | 79° | 54 | RF corner | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | Avila, Luinder |
| 2026-07-25 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | FF | 94.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Wacha, Michael |
| 2026-07-25 | Single line drive | 1-2 | CH | 80.2 | 78.0 | 27° | 274 | RF gap | 0.337 | 0.407 | 0.311 | Wacha, Michael |
| 2026-07-25 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | CH | 79.1 | 56.0 | -54° | 1 | Infield | 0.249 | 0.253 | 0.224 | Wacha, Michael |
| 2026-07-25 | Double fly ball | 0-2 | SL | 80.4 | 85.7 | 28° | 325 | RF gap | 0.069 | 0.139 | 0.087 | Wacha, Michael |
| 2026-07-24 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CH | 81.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Cameron, Noah |
| 2026-07-24 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CU | 86.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Cameron, Noah |
| 2026-07-24 | Single line drive | 1-2 | SI | 98.0 | 100.4 | 5° | 95 | Infield | 0.597 | 0.659 | 0.551 | Way, Beck |
| 2026-07-23 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | ST | 82.2 | 87.3 | 9° | 136 | RF gap | 0.463 | 0.510 | 0.425 | Dobnak, Randy |
| 2026-07-23 | Force Out ground ball | 2-2 | CH | 84.1 | 59.7 | -30° | 2 | Infield | 0.068 | 0.069 | 0.061 | Dobnak, Randy |
| 2026-07-22 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | SL | 85.3 | 83.6 | 10° | 131 | Infield | 0.489 | 0.547 | 0.461 | Rea, Colin |
| 2026-07-22 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | CH | 87.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rea, Colin |
| 2026-07-22 | Out ground ball | 2-2 | CH | 88.0 | 90.1 | -4° | 24 | Infield | 0.222 | 0.240 | 0.200 | Rea, Colin |
| 2026-07-21 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | CU | 78.1 | 84.7 | 46° | 241 | LF | 0.009 | 0.019 | 0.012 | Civale, Aaron |
| 2026-07-20 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | CH | 85.0 | 71.6 | -7° | 18 | Infield | 0.079 | 0.086 | 0.076 | Taillon, Jameson |
| 2026-07-20 | Double fly ball | 1-0 | CU | 81.0 | 100.6 | 24° | 364 | LF | 0.546 | 1.479 | 0.835 | Taillon, Jameson |
| 2026-07-19 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | FS | 85.1 | 93.8 | 34° | 354 | CF | 0.049 | 0.168 | 0.087 | Johnson, Ryan |
| 2026-07-18 | Single line drive | 3-1 | SL | 92.2 | 91.1 | 16° | 206 | RF gap | 0.931 | 1.080 | 0.869 | Fermín, José |
| 2026-07-18 | Single line drive | 1-0 | CH | 76.4 | 101.6 | 14° | 256 | RF | 0.771 | 1.028 | 0.773 | Suter, Brent |
| 2026-07-18 | Single ground ball | 1-2 | FF | 95.3 | 100.1 | -37° | 4 | LF gap | 0.073 | 0.080 | 0.066 | Rodriguez, Grayson |
| 2026-07-18 | Sac Fly fly ball | 0-0 | CU | 81.4 | 98.2 | 34° | 387 | CF | — | — | 0.502 | Rodriguez, Grayson |
| 2026-07-18 | Single line drive | 1-0 | FF | 94.9 | 103.4 | 11° | 241 | LF gap | 0.940 | 1.160 | 0.911 | Rodriguez, Grayson |