Batter vs Pitch Arsenal
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
Austin Hays RHB SDN vs Dustin May RHP MIL
filtered for today’s matchupP = platoon edge (batter faces the opposite hand)
Batters grouped by swing shape — bat speed and swing length for power, attack angle and path tilt for loft — from Statcast bat tracking.
The number beside each metric is the gap to league average across the 610 batters with enough tracked swings to measure.
A description, not a prediction. The model does not use it.
Bat speed, barrel rate, exit velocity and chase rate over the last 30 games against this player's own last 100, so it reads as “is he himself right now” rather than “is he good”.
Flagged only when it has moved further than three quarters of hitters do. Movement in either direction counts.
Descriptive — the model does not use it.
whole-game, not filtered to this arsenal — see the per-pitch sections belowPitchers' arsenals are grouped by pitch shape — velocity, break and spin — and weighted by how often this pitcher throws each, so the number describes the arsenal he will face tonight.
Compared against this batter's own mark across every shape he has faced, so “done well” means well for him.
Descriptive — the model does not read it.
Overall vs RHP
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs RHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | Austin Hays: BA | Austin Hays: HR% | Austin Hays: Hard-Hit% | Austin Hays: Exit Velo | Austin Hays: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 41% | 95.6 | 6.2" | -18.0" | 2389 | 1.6% | 52% | 0.381 | 0.333 | 5.8% | 26% | 85.2 | 0.394 |
| ST | 30% | 85.6 | -2.9" | 16.5" | 3169 | 3.4% | 41% | 0.420 | 0.171 | 0.0% | 31% | 87.1 | 0.282 |
| FF | 15% | 96.7 | 14.5" | -10.1" | 2336 | 1.4% | 40% | 0.270 | 0.280 | 9.3% | 53% | 90.5 | 0.384 |
| FC | 12% | 92.8 | 8.6" | 1.1" | 2462 | 4.5% | 30% | 0.364 | 0.182 | 4.5% | 40% | 88.6 | 0.317 |
| CU | 1% | 84.2 | -15.9" | 8.8" | 3091 | 0.182 | 0.0% | 25% | 82.2 | 0.397 | |||
| CH | 0% | 94.1 | 9.8" | -17.3" | 2474 | 0.300 | 0.0% | 58% | 91.3 | 0.476 | |||
| PO | 0% | 95.7 | 12.4" | -12.4" | 2113 |
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | Austin Hays: BA | Austin Hays: HR% | Austin Hays: Hard-Hit% | Austin Hays: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI/FF/CH | 42% | 95.7 | 6.3" | -17.9" | 0.375 | 0.309 | 9.1% | 32% | 0.410 |
| CH/FS/FO | 42% | 95.7 | 6.3" | -17.9" | 0.375 | 0.235 | 0.0% | 56% | 0.420 |
| ST/SL/CU | 30% | 85.6 | -2.9" | 16.5" | 0.420 | 0.209 | 2.3% | 29% | 0.268 |
| FF/SI/FC | 13% | 96.7 | 14.6" | -9.4" | 0.328 | 0.235 | 5.9% | 36% | 0.303 |
| SL/ST/CU | 13% | 96.7 | 14.7" | -9.5" | 0.328 | 0.250 | 5.0% | 54% | 0.405 |
| FC/SL/FF | 10% | 92.6 | 8.1" | 1.6" | 0.318 | 0.113 | 0.0% | 39% | 0.300 |
| FF/SI/FC | 3% | 95.4 | 13.2" | -8.4" | 0.300 | 0.375 | 6.2% | 60% | 0.434 |
| EP/FA/SL | 3% | 95.5 | 13.2" | -8.7" | 0.300 | ||||
| CU/KC/ST | 1% | 84.2 | -15.7" | 9.0" | 0.158 | 0.0% | 15% | 0.298 | |
| CH/SI/FS | 1% | 84.2 | -15.9" | 8.8" | 0.316 | 5.3% | 29% | 0.481 |
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
54 PA · 30 games · 2026-08-11 to 2026-10-07| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 1-2 | CU | 85.0 | 84.7 | -18° | 7 | RF corner | 0.070 | 0.088 | 0.068 | Aaron Ashby |
| 2026-10-07 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | FF | 94.1 | 80.4 | -33° | 3 | Infield | 0.055 | 0.059 | 0.052 | Robert Gasser |
| 2026-10-07 | Walk | 3-1 | CH | 90.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Robert Gasser |
| 2026-10-04 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CH | 88.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | JoJo Romero |
| 2026-10-03 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | SI | 97.8 | 92.9 | 41° | 300 | RF | 0.014 | 0.041 | 0.022 | DL Hall |
| 2026-09-30 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | FF | 93.9 | 76.9 | -26° | 6 | Infield | 0.038 | 0.042 | 0.034 | Kevin Gausman |
| 2026-09-29 | Out line drive | 0-0 | CU | 79.9 | 79.7 | 14° | 159 | LF gap | 0.763 | 0.825 | 0.701 | Jacob Webb |
| 2026-09-29 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 94.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Ryan Rolison |
| 2026-09-29 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 2-1 | CH | 79.5 | 78.7 | -5° | 19 | Infield | 0.098 | 0.102 | 0.088 | Matthew Boyd |
| 2026-09-29 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 82.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Matthew Boyd |
| 2026-09-27 | Single ground ball | 2-2 | FF | 98.1 | 104.6 | -10° | 11 | CF | 0.338 | 0.353 | 0.304 | Ryne Nelson |
| 2026-09-27 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 102.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Justin Martinez |
| 2026-09-27 | Single ground ball | 3-2 | SI | 98.0 | 93.1 | -21° | 6 | LF gap | 0.127 | 0.142 | 0.120 | Juan Morillo |
| 2026-09-25 | Out line drive | 3-2 | FF | 96.4 | 81.1 | 25° | 259 | RF | 0.303 | 0.325 | 0.273 | Ryne Nelson |
| 2026-09-25 | Out popup | 0-1 | ST | 84.2 | 64.7 | 53° | 162 | RF | 0.037 | 0.050 | 0.035 | Brandon Pfaadt |
| 2026-09-23 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | CH | 86.6 | 90.8 | 9° | 130 | LF | 0.537 | 0.575 | 0.484 | Kris Bubic |
| 2026-09-17 | Out ground ball | 2-2 | SI | 91.8 | — | -56° | 2 | Infield | — | — | — | Brennan Bernardino |
| 2026-09-15 | Out line drive | 1-1 | SI | 90.8 | 84.9 | 26° | 310 | RF gap | 0.143 | 0.253 | 0.176 | Kyle Freeland |
| 2026-09-12 | Double line drive | 0-0 | CH | 86.4 | 97.7 | 9° | 135 | LF corner | 0.640 | 0.703 | 0.590 | Cesar Perdomo |
| 2026-09-12 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 88.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Cesar Perdomo |
| 2026-09-12 | Single ground ball | 0-1 | CH | 87.7 | 101.8 | 4° | 80 | CF | 0.594 | 0.669 | 0.554 | Cesar Perdomo |
| 2026-09-09 | Single line drive | 1-0 | CH | 83.9 | 96.7 | 16° | 228 | LF | 0.666 | 0.924 | 0.679 | Jackson Kent |
| 2026-09-09 | Single line drive | 3-2 | SI | 93.3 | 106.0 | 12° | 206 | LF | 0.957 | 1.282 | 0.965 | Jackson Kent |
| 2026-09-08 | Sac Fly fly ball | 0-1 | CH | 87.2 | 92.3 | 41° | 305 | RF | — | — | 0.015 | Erik Tolman |
| 2026-09-07 | Out line drive | 3-2 | SI | 95.6 | 106.7 | 16° | 289 | LF gap | 0.626 | 1.124 | 0.737 | Jared Simpson |
| 2026-09-05 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 88.5 | 105.5 | 5° | 120 | CF | 0.637 | 0.727 | 0.600 | Tim Hill |
| 2026-09-04 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | ST | 85.5 | 61.8 | -31° | 4 | Infield | 0.068 | 0.069 | 0.061 | Will Warren |
| 2026-09-04 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | CH | 88.8 | 69.8 | 38° | 222 | RF | 0.623 | 0.720 | 0.601 | Max Fried |
| 2026-09-04 | Out popup | 0-0 | CU | 74.3 | 72.1 | 71° | 93 | Infield | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.004 | Max Fried |
| 2026-09-02 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | FC | 91.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Brandon Williamson |
| 2026-09-02 | Double line drive | 1-2 | FF | 95.5 | 95.0 | 10° | 148 | RF | 0.717 | 0.833 | 0.689 | Brandon Williamson |
| 2026-09-01 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 93.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Nick Lodolo |
| 2026-09-01 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | CH | 87.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Nick Lodolo |
| 2026-08-28 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | CH | 83.6 | 71.1 | 1° | 39 | Infield | 0.127 | 0.140 | 0.114 | Steven Matz |
| 2026-08-28 | Reached On Error ground ball | 0-0 | CH | 86.2 | 67.3 | -6° | 16 | Infield | 0.076 | 0.080 | 0.068 | Shane McClanahan |
| 2026-08-25 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | FF | 97.1 | 90.8 | 44° | 306 | LF gap | 0.009 | 0.013 | 0.008 | Gregory Soto |
| 2026-08-24 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SI | 97.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Yohan Ramírez |
| 2026-08-24 | Single line drive | 1-0 | SI | 98.4 | 89.8 | 12° | 194 | RF | 0.854 | 0.982 | 0.808 | Mason Montgomery |
| 2026-08-23 | Walk | 3-0 | FC | 93.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Kody Funderburk |
| 2026-08-21 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | SI | 92.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Taylor Rogers |
| 2026-08-21 | Out fly ball | 3-1 | FF | 94.5 | 103.2 | 43° | 359 | LF gap | 0.157 | 0.580 | 0.306 | Connor Prielipp |
| 2026-08-21 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | CU | 85.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Connor Prielipp |
| 2026-08-19 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 1-1 | FF | 94.9 | 75.9 | -2° | 31 | Infield | 0.085 | 0.086 | 0.077 | Kodai Senga |
| 2026-08-18 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | ST | 80.6 | 93.8 | 44° | 311 | LF | 0.011 | 0.033 | 0.019 | Jack Weisenburger |
| 2026-08-18 | Single line drive | 2-0 | SI | 92.7 | 105.6 | 15° | 293 | CF | 0.683 | 1.102 | 0.755 | Zac Thornton |
| 2026-08-18 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | FF | 94.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Zac Thornton |
| 2026-08-15 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 81.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Joey Cantillo |
| 2026-08-15 | Out ground ball | 2-2 | CH | 82.7 | 49.3 | -51° | 2 | RF corner | 0.237 | 0.238 | 0.213 | Joey Cantillo |
| 2026-08-12 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FC | 93.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Dustin May |
| 2026-08-12 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 1-1 | SI | 97.1 | 87.3 | -18° | 6 | Infield | 0.070 | 0.091 | 0.063 | Dustin May |
| 2026-08-12 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | SI | 97.1 | 84.7 | -4° | 22 | Infield | 0.158 | 0.168 | 0.142 | Dustin May |
| 2026-08-11 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 92.7 | 71.9 | -14° | 9 | Infield | 0.050 | 0.057 | 0.045 | Bryse Wilson |
| 2026-08-11 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | CH | 83.2 | 76.3 | -42° | 3 | Infield | 0.101 | 0.105 | 0.091 | Kyle Harrison |
| 2026-08-11 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FF | 91.8 | 80.4 | 24° | 229 | LF | 0.529 | 0.577 | 0.476 | Kyle Harrison |