Pitch Mix Analysis
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
Batter: Devers, Rafael
Fast and flat
Pitcher: Williams, Gavin (RHP)
filtered for today’s matchup
change batter
remove pitcher
3,531 pitches seen
·
0.440 xwOBA against shapes like this arsenal,
vs 0.442 against everything
(-0.002)
·
last 30 games: 0.349
-0.091
on 398 pitches, covering 20% of the arsenal
Pitch familiarity
Pitchers' arsenals are grouped by pitch shape — velocity, break and spin — and weighted by how often this pitcher throws each, so the number describes the arsenal he will face tonight.
Compared against this batter's own mark across every shape he has faced, so “done well” means well for him.
Descriptive — the model does not read it.
Hot Zones
by location · xwOBA on contact (excludes Ks/BBs, so runs higher than a full-PA xwOBA), dimmed cells are too few balls in play to trust
Overall vs RHP
0.466
157p
0.522
201p
0.389
132p
0.525
263p
0.587
265p
0.476
142p
0.424
155p
0.500
213p
0.461
115p
How Devers, Rafael handles each pitch
Reading these bars
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs RHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Williams, Gavin's Arsenal, by Pitch Type
ordered by usage vs. a LHH batter
Matched by pitch name
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | Devers, Rafael: BA | Devers, Rafael: HR% | Devers, Rafael: Hard-Hit% | Devers, Rafael: Exit Velo | Devers, Rafael: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 36% | 96.8 | 14.8" | -11.2" | 2303 | 4.3% | 48% | 0.419 | 0.241 | 7.7% | 60% | 95.2 | 0.483 |
| CU | 30% | 82.2 | -13.6" | 10.3" | 2455 | 3.0% | 46% | 0.363 | 0.442 | 11.6% | 59% | 96.2 | 0.599 |
| ST | 15% | 87.2 | -0.7" | 10.5" | 2285 | 5.3% | 26% | 0.367 | 0.250 | 12.5% | 56% | 89.9 | 0.689 |
| FC | 12% | 92.0 | 7.0" | -2.2" | 2259 | 2.7% | 48% | 0.352 | 0.305 | 6.8% | 40% | 90.8 | 0.373 |
| SI | 7% | 96.9 | 9.2" | -15.3" | 2047 | 7.7% | 50% | 0.459 | 0.291 | 5.5% | 68% | 97.2 | 0.470 |
| CH | 0% | 89.2 | 11.0" | -17.9" | 2127 | 0.218 | 0.9% | 52% | 92.6 | 0.367 |
Williams, Gavin's Arsenal, by Pitch Shape
grouped by velo/break/spin, not label
Why shape beats the label
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | Devers, Rafael: BA | Devers, Rafael: HR% | Devers, Rafael: Hard-Hit% | Devers, Rafael: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CU/KC/ST | 30% | 82.2 | -13.7" | 10.4" | 0.367 | 0.310 | 7.1% | 47% | 0.495 |
| CH/FS/FO | 30% | 82.2 | -13.7" | 10.4" | 0.367 | 0.250 | 5.0% | 52% | 0.407 |
| EP/FA/SL | 26% | 97.3 | 15.1" | -11.1" | 0.424 | ||||
| FF/SI/FC | 26% | 97.3 | 15.1" | -11.1" | 0.424 | 0.204 | 5.4% | 60% | 0.438 |
| CH/SI/FS | 26% | 97.3 | 15.1" | -11.1" | 0.424 | 0.256 | 0.0% | 48% | 0.390 |
| SL/ST/CU | 12% | 86.9 | -1.3" | 10.4" | 0.404 | 0.295 | 11.4% | 52% | 0.453 |
| FC/SL/FF | 11% | 91.2 | 6.0" | 0.4" | 0.357 | 0.301 | 4.1% | 44% | 0.365 |
| FF/SI/FC | 10% | 95.0 | 13.7" | -9.4" | 0.394 | 0.330 | 11.9% | 60% | 0.573 |
| SI/FF/CH | 10% | 96.5 | 9.5" | -14.3" | 0.412 | 0.250 | 5.9% | 62% | 0.415 |
| ST/SL/CU | 1% | 87.3 | -1.8" | 14.4" | 0.273 | 18.2% | 64% | 0.801 |
At-Bat Log
Every plate appearance
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
89 PA · 30 games · 2026-07-17 to 2026-08-19
19 hits
12 walks
22 strikeouts
36 outs in play
avg exit velo 92.9 mph over 55 tracked
xwOBA 0.299
| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 94.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Messick, Parker |
| 2026-08-19 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | SI | 94.2 | 89.6 | -3° | 25 | Infield | 0.263 | 0.292 | 0.243 | Messick, Parker |
| 2026-08-18 | Out popup | 1-0 | CU | 80.7 | 85.6 | 62° | 167 | RF | 0.014 | 0.023 | 0.016 | Herrin, Tim |
| 2026-08-18 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 91.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Griffin, Foster |
| 2026-08-18 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 92.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Griffin, Foster |
| 2026-08-18 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | ST | 81.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Griffin, Foster |
| 2026-08-16 | Out fly ball | 0-1 | CU | 83.2 | 100.1 | 43° | 336 | LF gap | 0.057 | 0.199 | 0.103 | Mushinski, Parker |
| 2026-08-16 | Home Run fly ball | 3-2 | CU | 81.4 | 105.5 | 25° | 380 | RF | 0.894 | 3.335 | 1.739 | Hughes, Gabriel |
| 2026-08-16 | Double fly ball | 1-1 | FF | 92.8 | 79.1 | 45° | 247 | LF corner | 0.049 | 0.062 | 0.047 | Hughes, Gabriel |
| 2026-08-15 | Out popup | 0-2 | FF | 93.9 | 83.5 | 73° | 99 | Infield | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | Gordon, Tanner |
| 2026-08-15 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | CU | 81.4 | 89.3 | 33° | 321 | RF | 0.023 | 0.049 | 0.028 | Gordon, Tanner |
| 2026-08-15 | Double fly ball | 0-1 | ST | 82.1 | 93.3 | 28° | 328 | LF corner | 0.126 | 0.289 | 0.170 | Mushinski, Parker |
| 2026-08-14 | Double ground ball | 1-1 | SI | 90.1 | 72.3 | 9° | 113 | LF corner | 0.271 | 0.310 | 0.256 | Bernardino, Brennan |
| 2026-08-14 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 1-2 | FC | 88.7 | 99.5 | 0° | 47 | Infield | 0.423 | 0.480 | 0.397 | Freeland, Kyle |
| 2026-08-14 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SI | 91.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Freeland, Kyle |
| 2026-08-12 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 96.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Blubaugh, AJ |
| 2026-08-12 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 92.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | King, Bryan |
| 2026-08-11 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 93.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Brown, Hunter |
| 2026-08-11 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 98.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Brown, Hunter |
| 2026-08-11 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 96.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Brown, Hunter |
| 2026-08-10 | Out fly ball | 2-1 | FF | 93.1 | 85.5 | 37° | 312 | CF | 0.017 | 0.034 | 0.023 | Wesneski, Hayden |
| 2026-08-10 | Walk | 3-1 | FF | 94.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Wesneski, Hayden |
| 2026-08-10 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 95.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Wesneski, Hayden |
| 2026-08-09 | Single fly ball | 3-2 | FC | 90.7 | 86.6 | 60° | 212 | LF | 0.017 | 0.017 | 0.015 | Melton, Troy |
| 2026-08-09 | Single ground ball | 1-1 | FF | 97.0 | 108.4 | 0° | 54 | CF | 0.491 | 0.538 | 0.453 | Melton, Troy |
| 2026-08-08 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | ST | 80.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Holton, Tyler |
| 2026-08-07 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | FF | 94.8 | 97.9 | -13° | 11 | Infield | 0.179 | 0.187 | 0.161 | Montero, Keider |
| 2026-08-07 | Out popup | 0-1 | FF | 94.8 | 91.5 | 66° | 162 | Infield | 0.011 | 0.016 | 0.013 | Montero, Keider |
| 2026-08-05 | Out ground ball | 3-2 | ST | 81.6 | 90.5 | -14° | 7 | Infield | 0.104 | 0.120 | 0.107 | Alexander, Tyler |
| 2026-08-05 | Single ground ball | 0-2 | FF | 87.8 | 100.1 | 3° | 81 | CF | 0.540 | 0.605 | 0.501 | Bradford, Cody |
| 2026-08-05 | Single ground ball | 1-1 | FF | 90.0 | 106.2 | -3° | 33 | CF | 0.411 | 0.433 | 0.370 | Bradford, Cody |
| 2026-08-04 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 95.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Ahlstrom, Robby |
| 2026-08-04 | Out ground ball | 3-2 | SI | 95.0 | 99.6 | -22° | 4 | Infield | 0.130 | 0.132 | 0.122 | Gore, MacKenzie |
| 2026-08-04 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 97.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Gore, MacKenzie |
| 2026-08-04 | Out line drive | 1-0 | FF | 95.4 | 109.3 | 18° | 338 | LF | 0.729 | 1.630 | 0.998 | Gore, MacKenzie |
| 2026-08-03 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 94.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Quantrill, Cal |
| 2026-08-03 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | SI | 92.1 | 98.6 | 46° | 327 | LF gap | 0.029 | 0.079 | 0.045 | Quantrill, Cal |
| 2026-08-02 | Home Run fly ball | 2-1 | SI | 97.6 | 97.4 | 29° | 359 | LF | 0.254 | 0.799 | 0.434 | Rodriguez, Bradgley |
| 2026-08-02 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | FF | 95.1 | 92.9 | 32° | 339 | LF gap | 0.097 | 0.322 | 0.178 | Canning, Griffin |
| 2026-08-02 | Walk | 3-2 | SI | 90.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Sears, JP |
| 2026-08-02 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | ST | 84.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Hart, Kyle |
| 2026-08-01 | Single line drive | 2-0 | FF | 94.4 | 101.8 | 12° | 274 | CF | 0.963 | 1.197 | 0.936 | Estrada, Jeremiah |
| 2026-08-01 | Out line drive | 0-0 | SI | 97.2 | 95.7 | 20° | 315 | LF gap | 0.297 | 0.568 | 0.360 | Peralta, Wandy |
| 2026-08-01 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | FC | 92.2 | 93.4 | 8° | 122 | Infield | 0.557 | 0.625 | 0.512 | Buehler, Walker |
| 2026-07-31 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 94.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Márquez, Germán |
| 2026-07-31 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | FF | 91.3 | 101.1 | 48° | 328 | RF gap | 0.014 | 0.033 | 0.018 | Matsui, Yuki |
| 2026-07-30 | Out line drive | 1-2 | FF | 95.2 | 102.3 | 17° | 339 | LF gap | 0.403 | 0.696 | 0.459 | Vásquez, Randy |
| 2026-07-30 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | FC | 91.6 | 94.3 | -1° | 43 | CF | 0.326 | 0.349 | 0.293 | Vásquez, Randy |
| 2026-07-30 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 93.7 | 49.7 | -15° | 9 | LF corner | 0.092 | 0.092 | 0.083 | Peralta, Wandy |
| 2026-07-30 | Single fly ball | 3-2 | SI | 91.5 | 69.9 | 34° | 240 | RF | 0.749 | 0.824 | 0.697 | Sears, JP |
| 2026-07-29 | Out fly ball | 0-2 | FC | 89.4 | 94.3 | 30° | 363 | CF | 0.140 | 0.425 | 0.236 | Wilson, Bryse |
| 2026-07-29 | Fielder's Choice ground ball | 1-2 | SI | 97.6 | 78.5 | -49° | 1 | Infield | 0.153 | 0.153 | 0.138 | Ashby, Aaron |
| 2026-07-29 | Walk | 3-2 | FC | 89.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Patrick, Chad |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | ST | 80.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Pannone, Thomas |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | ST | 80.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Pannone, Thomas |
| 2026-07-28 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | ST | 80.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Anderson, Grant |
| 2026-07-28 | Out ground ball | 3-2 | SI | 99.0 | 107.0 | 6° | 145 | Infield | 0.629 | 0.718 | 0.586 | Ashby, Aaron |
| 2026-07-28 | Reached On Error ground ball | 3-2 | FC | 86.3 | 94.2 | -9° | 16 | Infield | 0.176 | 0.215 | 0.171 | Henderson, Logan |
| 2026-07-27 | Walk | 3-1 | FC | 87.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Stallings, Garrett |
| 2026-07-27 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | CU | 81.3 | 97.7 | -14° | 6 | Infield | 0.196 | 0.209 | 0.176 | Sproat, Brandon |
| 2026-07-27 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | SI | 95.1 | 55.3 | -57° | 2 | RF corner | 0.216 | 0.216 | 0.194 | Sproat, Brandon |
| 2026-07-27 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | FF | 98.0 | 73.5 | -17° | 5 | Infield | 0.049 | 0.054 | 0.044 | Sproat, Brandon |
| 2026-07-26 | Out fly ball | 0-1 | FF | 94.2 | 102.9 | 39° | 355 | CF | 0.317 | 1.189 | 0.615 | Natera Jr., Samy |
| 2026-07-26 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | FF | 97.8 | 89.2 | 48° | 290 | LF gap | 0.003 | 0.005 | 0.003 | Soriano, José |
| 2026-07-26 | Walk | 3-1 | SI | 96.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Soriano, José |
| 2026-07-25 | Home Run line drive | 2-2 | FF | 89.7 | 105.8 | 22° | 401 | LF gap | 0.843 | 2.609 | 1.415 | Suter, Brent |
| 2026-07-24 | Single fly ball | 0-1 | SI | 95.7 | 96.6 | 36° | 344 | LF gap | 0.146 | 0.499 | 0.261 | Silseth, Chase |
| 2026-07-24 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | FF | 95.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Natera Jr., Samy |
| 2026-07-24 | Out ground ball | 3-2 | SI | 88.7 | 96.5 | -22° | 7 | Infield | 0.089 | 0.091 | 0.080 | Suter, Brent |
| 2026-07-24 | Home Run fly ball | 2-1 | FF | 96.2 | 101.8 | 24° | 362 | LF corner | 0.623 | 1.850 | 1.020 | Rodriguez, Grayson |
| 2026-07-22 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | FC | 95.8 | 93.7 | 1° | 56 | Infield | 0.374 | 0.429 | 0.371 | Cruz, Steven |
| 2026-07-22 | Walk | 3-2 | ST | 81.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Lugo, Seth |
| 2026-07-22 | Double ground ball | 0-2 | FC | 91.7 | 110.5 | 6° | 128 | RF gap | 0.706 | 0.848 | 0.684 | Lugo, Seth |
| 2026-07-21 | Out line drive | 3-2 | SI | 94.2 | 90.7 | 22° | 290 | LF | 0.180 | 0.282 | 0.185 | Schreiber, John |
| 2026-07-21 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | CU | 83.8 | 100.6 | -6° | 15 | RF corner | 0.266 | 0.279 | 0.239 | Avila, Luinder |
| 2026-07-21 | Out fly ball | 0-1 | FF | 98.6 | 101.7 | 41° | 330 | LF | 0.166 | 0.610 | 0.316 | Avila, Luinder |
| 2026-07-21 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 3-2 | FF | 98.2 | 90.2 | -4° | 29 | Infield | 0.204 | 0.220 | 0.184 | Avila, Luinder |
| 2026-07-20 | Single line drive | 2-2 | FF | 95.0 | 96.6 | 13° | 233 | CF | 0.954 | 1.133 | 0.907 | Wacha, Michael |
| 2026-07-20 | Walk | 3-1 | FC | 88.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Wacha, Michael |
| 2026-07-19 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 95.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Speier, Gabe |
| 2026-07-19 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 96.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Gilbert, Logan |
| 2026-07-19 | Out ground ball | 2-2 | FF | 96.5 | 80.6 | -7° | 19 | Infield | 0.110 | 0.137 | 0.099 | Gilbert, Logan |
| 2026-07-18 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | SI | 97.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Bazardo, Eduard |
| 2026-07-18 | Home Run fly ball | 2-2 | FF | 96.8 | 98.6 | 44° | 339 | LF corner | 0.057 | 0.183 | 0.098 | Woo, Bryan |
| 2026-07-18 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 97.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Woo, Bryan |
| 2026-07-18 | Force Out ground ball | 0-0 | FF | 96.4 | 90.2 | -3° | 29 | Infield | 0.263 | 0.292 | 0.243 | Woo, Bryan |
| 2026-07-17 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | FF | 95.1 | 93.1 | 26° | 334 | LF gap | 0.171 | 0.351 | 0.224 | Miller, Bryce |
| 2026-07-17 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 95.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Miller, Bryce |
| 2026-07-17 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 96.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Miller, Bryce |