Pitch Mix Analysis
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
Pitchers' arsenals are grouped by pitch shape — velocity, break and spin — and weighted by how often this pitcher throws each, so the number describes the arsenal he will face tonight.
Compared against this batter's own mark across every shape he has faced, so “done well” means well for him.
Descriptive — the model does not read it.
Overall vs RHP
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs RHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | Cowser, Colton: BA | Cowser, Colton: HR% | Cowser, Colton: Hard-Hit% | Cowser, Colton: Exit Velo | Cowser, Colton: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 47% | 96.8 | 16.6" | -9.8" | 2318 | 3.4% | 40% | 0.350 | 0.250 | 5.9% | 58% | 93.6 | 0.456 |
| CH | 21% | 86.3 | 8.5" | -15.1" | 1947 | 3.9% | 27% | 0.322 | 0.216 | 0.0% | 24% | 83.5 | 0.331 |
| SL | 16% | 89.9 | 3.1" | 4.0" | 2487 | 2.9% | 41% | 0.311 | 0.196 | 8.9% | 48% | 92.1 | 0.652 |
| KC | 14% | 83.0 | -13.8" | 11.7" | 2813 | 8.7% | 63% | 0.372 | 0.125 | 0.0% | |||
| SI | 3% | 96.1 | 10.6" | -15.8" | 2306 | 0.209 | 7.0% | 53% | 91.9 | 0.441 |
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | Cowser, Colton: BA | Cowser, Colton: HR% | Cowser, Colton: Hard-Hit% | Cowser, Colton: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF/SI/FC | 41% | 97.0 | 16.6" | -9.9" | 0.327 | 0.230 | 5.7% | 55% | 0.411 |
| EP/FA/SL | 41% | 97.0 | 16.6" | -9.9" | 0.327 | ||||
| CH/SI/FS | 20% | 86.3 | 8.5" | -15.1" | 0.296 | 0.203 | 0.0% | 24% | 0.301 |
| FC/SL/FF | 15% | 89.9 | 3.1" | 4.0" | 0.325 | 0.309 | 10.9% | 47% | 0.675 |
| CH/FS/FO | 14% | 83.0 | -13.8" | 11.7" | 0.372 | 0.159 | 1.4% | 26% | 0.265 |
| CU/KC/ST | 14% | 83.0 | -13.8" | 11.7" | 0.372 | 0.054 | 2.7% | 33% | 0.250 |
| FF/SI/FC | 6% | 95.3 | 15.9" | -9.1" | 0.486 | 0.327 | 10.2% | 59% | 0.563 |
| SI/FF/CH | 3% | 95.5 | 10.4" | -15.9" | 0.520 | 0.196 | 3.9% | 50% | 0.455 |
| SL/ST/CU | 0% | 87.8 | -0.6" | 5.7" | 0.074 | 0.0% | 42% | 0.332 | |
| ST/SL/CU | 0% | 86.9 | -1.2" | 6.1" | 0.138 | 3.4% | 47% | 0.378 |
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
59 PA · 30 games · 2026-07-07 to 2026-08-19| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Out line drive | 0-1 | CH | 85.0 | 91.7 | 19° | 308 | CF | 0.440 | 0.553 | 0.403 | Warren, Will |
| 2026-08-17 | Out ground ball | 2-2 | CH | 86.8 | 104.8 | -8° | 13 | Infield | 0.354 | 0.375 | 0.319 | Kelly, Kevin |
| 2026-08-16 | Single line drive | 2-2 | SL | 89.8 | 78.8 | 21° | 262 | CF | 0.940 | 1.023 | 0.865 | Boyle, Joe |
| 2026-08-16 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | FF | 95.0 | 98.9 | 46° | 312 | LF | 0.029 | 0.079 | 0.045 | Peralta, Freddy |
| 2026-08-16 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 94.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Peralta, Freddy |
| 2026-08-14 | Home Run fly ball | 3-2 | SL | 89.6 | 103.0 | 30° | 420 | RF gap | 0.729 | 2.784 | 1.444 | Scholtens, Jesse |
| 2026-08-12 | Double Play line drive | 2-0 | FF | 97.2 | 83.9 | 7° | 105 | Infield | 0.371 | 0.390 | 0.334 | Gómez, Yoendrys |
| 2026-08-10 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | SI | 93.0 | 71.6 | -1° | 39 | Infield | 0.079 | 0.089 | 0.071 | Rogers, Taylor |
| 2026-08-10 | Single fly ball | 0-0 | CH | 88.1 | 67.2 | 44° | 200 | LF gap | 0.331 | 0.376 | 0.305 | Adams, Travis |
| 2026-08-10 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 93.5 | 98.2 | 32° | 383 | LF gap | 0.286 | 1.004 | 0.529 | Kremer, Dean |
| 2026-08-09 | Walk | 3-1 | FF | 95.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Winn, Cole |
| 2026-08-09 | Force Out ground ball | 3-2 | SI | 89.0 | 105.2 | 4° | 102 | Infield | 0.571 | 0.638 | 0.529 | Montgomery, Jordan |
| 2026-08-09 | Single line drive | 2-0 | SI | 90.9 | 105.5 | 12° | 233 | RF | 0.920 | 1.206 | 0.916 | Montgomery, Jordan |
| 2026-08-09 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | SL | 82.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rocker, Kumar |
| 2026-08-09 | Home Run fly ball | 3-2 | FC | 90.9 | 108.9 | 23° | 441 | CF | 1.000 | 4.000 | 2.000 | Rocker, Kumar |
| 2026-08-08 | Double line drive | 0-0 | FF | 92.8 | 102.4 | 15° | 281 | LF | 0.654 | 0.934 | 0.679 | Gray, Peyton |
| 2026-08-08 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 97.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | deGrom, Jacob |
| 2026-08-08 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SL | 91.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | deGrom, Jacob |
| 2026-08-07 | Single line drive | 1-2 | FC | 89.1 | 99.1 | 11° | 206 | RF gap | 0.900 | 1.053 | 0.855 | Eovaldi, Nathan |
| 2026-08-06 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 97.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Murphy, Luke |
| 2026-08-06 | Out fly ball | 2-1 | FC | 89.8 | 100.8 | 33° | 390 | CF | 0.426 | 1.662 | 0.860 | Johnson, Ryan |
| 2026-08-06 | Out fly ball | 1-1 | SI | 92.0 | 77.0 | 46° | 245 | LF corner | 0.080 | 0.092 | 0.072 | Johnson, Ryan |
| 2026-08-05 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | FF | 99.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Joyce, Ben |
| 2026-08-04 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | CH | 83.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rodriguez, Grayson |
| 2026-08-04 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | FF | 97.1 | 92.3 | 34° | 343 | CF | 0.051 | 0.162 | 0.091 | Rodriguez, Grayson |
| 2026-08-04 | Single ground ball | 2-2 | CH | 83.0 | 98.1 | 2° | 70 | CF | 0.460 | 0.520 | 0.434 | Rodriguez, Grayson |
| 2026-08-02 | Out line drive | 2-2 | SL | 86.9 | 92.0 | 25° | 308 | LF corner | 0.089 | 0.164 | 0.098 | Mayza, Tim |
| 2026-08-02 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | SI | 91.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Backhus, Kyle |
| 2026-07-31 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | SI | 95.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Shugart, Chase |
| 2026-07-31 | Walk | 3-1 | FF | 97.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Kerkering, Orion |
| 2026-07-31 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | CH | 90.7 | 77.3 | -17° | 8 | Infield | 0.070 | 0.088 | 0.069 | Painter, Andrew |
| 2026-07-31 | Walk | 3-1 | SL | 86.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Painter, Andrew |
| 2026-07-29 | Single line drive | 3-2 | SI | 96.1 | 79.6 | 8° | 109 | Infield | 0.314 | 0.327 | 0.283 | Sommers, Drew |
| 2026-07-28 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SL | 84.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Madden, Ty |
| 2026-07-28 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SL | 86.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Melton, Troy |
| 2026-07-27 | Walk | 3-1 | FC | 87.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Waguespack, Jacob |
| 2026-07-26 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 92.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | López, Reynaldo |
| 2026-07-26 | Single line drive | 2-2 | FF | 92.4 | 82.0 | 22° | 249 | LF | 0.671 | 0.802 | 0.645 | López, Reynaldo |
| 2026-07-24 | Walk | 3-2 | CH | 83.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Hernández, Elieser |
| 2026-07-24 | Walk | 3-2 | SI | 95.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Young, Danny |
| 2026-07-24 | Walk | 3-1 | FC | 93.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Holmes, Grant |
| 2026-07-24 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | SL | 87.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Holmes, Grant |
| 2026-07-22 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SI | 93.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Gamboa, Alec |
| 2026-07-22 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | CH | 84.5 | 95.4 | 23° | 348 | RF gap | 0.191 | 0.372 | 0.234 | Whitlock, Garrett |
| 2026-07-22 | Walk | 3-2 | SI | 92.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Morán, Jovani |
| 2026-07-22 | Walk | 3-1 | FC | 88.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Bello, Brayan |
| 2026-07-20 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 97.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Chapman, Aroldis |
| 2026-07-19 | Out ground ball | 2-0 | SI | 89.6 | 92.8 | -13° | 8 | Infield | 0.162 | 0.197 | 0.151 | King, Bryan |
| 2026-07-19 | Walk | 3-2 | CH | 87.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Brown, Hunter |
| 2026-07-19 | Force Out ground ball | 0-1 | KC | 83.4 | 106.0 | -5° | 19 | CF | 0.406 | 0.435 | 0.365 | Brown, Hunter |
| 2026-07-17 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | CH | 86.6 | 87.7 | 35° | 320 | RF gap | 0.026 | 0.056 | 0.035 | De Los Santos, Enyel |
| 2026-07-17 | Single ground ball | 1-1 | CH | 85.7 | 89.5 | 6° | 97 | RF | 0.449 | 0.504 | 0.414 | Lambert, Peter |
| 2026-07-17 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | SL | 84.2 | 101.5 | -4° | 23 | Infield | 0.410 | 0.443 | 0.369 | Lambert, Peter |
| 2026-07-10 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | SL | 82.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Strahm, Matt |
| 2026-07-10 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 99.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Cruz, Steven |
| 2026-07-10 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | CH | 88.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Avila, Luinder |
| 2026-07-08 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | CH | 89.2 | 83.5 | 2° | 58 | Infield | 0.261 | 0.321 | 0.249 | Rea, Colin |
| 2026-07-08 | Out fly ball | 1-1 | CH | 88.2 | 100.2 | 35° | 378 | RF | 0.351 | 1.329 | 0.688 | Rea, Colin |
| 2026-07-07 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | FF | 95.1 | 97.3 | -4° | 24 | Infield | 0.308 | 0.346 | 0.277 | Ferguson, Tyler |