Pitch Mix Analysis
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
3,177 pitches seen
·
0.377 xwOBA against shapes like this arsenal,
vs 0.386 against everything
(-0.009)
·
last 30 games: 0.418
+0.041
on 240 pitches, covering 2% of the arsenal
Pitch familiarity
Pitchers' arsenals are grouped by pitch shape — velocity, break and spin — and weighted by how often this pitcher throws each, so the number describes the arsenal he will face tonight.
Compared against this batter's own mark across every shape he has faced, so “done well” means well for him.
Descriptive — the model does not read it.
Hot Zones
by location · xwOBA on contact (excludes Ks/BBs, so runs higher than a full-PA xwOBA), dimmed cells are too few balls in play to trust
Overall vs RHP
0.342
133p
0.348
175p
0.425
127p
0.414
201p
0.477
195p
0.382
159p
0.287
168p
0.441
244p
0.511
140p
How Butler, Lawrence handles each pitch
Reading these bars
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs RHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Dobnak, Randy's Arsenal, by Pitch Type
ordered by usage vs. a LHH batter
Matched by pitch name
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | Butler, Lawrence: BA | Butler, Lawrence: HR% | Butler, Lawrence: Hard-Hit% | Butler, Lawrence: Exit Velo | Butler, Lawrence: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 34% | 91.7 | 1.6" | -14.6" | 1956 | 2.0% | 46% | 0.366 | 0.345 | 4.8% | 47% | 91.7 | 0.419 |
| CH | 30% | 84.8 | -3.2" | -8.1" | 1488 | 0.0% | 35% | 0.294 | 0.206 | 2.1% | 28% | 84.8 | 0.315 |
| ST | 18% | 82.0 | -1.1" | 8.1" | 2567 | 10.0% | 0.130 | 0.0% | 29% | 88.6 | 0.284 | ||
| FF | 13% | 92.2 | 9.0" | -11.7" | 2058 | 0.0% | 36% | 0.232 | 0.238 | 3.0% | 54% | 93.1 | 0.406 |
| SL | 5% | 83.7 | -3.4" | -1.1" | 2255 | 0.0% | 0.260 | 10.0% | 63% | 92.3 | 0.493 |
Dobnak, Randy's Arsenal, by Pitch Shape
grouped by velo/break/spin, not label
Why shape beats the label
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | Butler, Lawrence: BA | Butler, Lawrence: HR% | Butler, Lawrence: Hard-Hit% | Butler, Lawrence: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CH/SI/FS | 28% | 90.4 | 1.0" | -13.5" | 0.393 | 0.219 | 2.6% | 30% | 0.342 |
| FC/SL/FF | 27% | 90.4 | 1.0" | -13.6" | 0.393 | 0.240 | 6.7% | 52% | 0.411 |
| CH/FS/FO | 26% | 84.8 | -3.4" | -8.2" | 0.315 | 0.200 | 1.2% | 29% | 0.306 |
| SI/FF/CH | 20% | 92.7 | 5.0" | -13.8" | 0.238 | 0.286 | 3.1% | 47% | 0.402 |
| SL/ST/CU | 12% | 82.7 | -1.9" | 3.5" | 0.434 | 0.292 | 8.3% | 47% | 0.480 |
| FF/SI/FC | 11% | 82.0 | -1.2" | 8.6" | 0.208 | 0.8% | 46% | 0.363 | |
| ST/SL/CU | 11% | 82.0 | -1.2" | 8.6" | 0.125 | 6.2% | 50% | 0.373 | |
| EP/FA/SL | 3% | 91.9 | 10.6" | -9.9" | |||||
| FF/SI/FC | 3% | 91.9 | 10.6" | -9.9" | 0.287 | 7.4% | 59% | 0.465 | |
| CU/KC/ST | 1% | 81.2 | -5.0" | 5.4" | 0.229 | 2.1% | 56% | 0.491 |
At-Bat Log
Every plate appearance
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
83 PA · 30 games · 2026-07-18 to 2026-08-19
16 hits
10 walks
19 strikeouts
38 outs in play
avg exit velo 90.0 mph over 54 tracked
xwOBA 0.337
| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 93.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Kimbrel, Craig |
| 2026-08-19 | Single ground ball | 3-2 | FF | 93.6 | 104.9 | 3° | 88 | CF | 0.554 | 0.610 | 0.505 | Lugo, Seth |
| 2026-08-19 | Single line drive | 0-1 | FF | 89.4 | 86.1 | 15° | 224 | CF | 0.963 | 1.074 | 0.893 | Lugo, Seth |
| 2026-08-19 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 93.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Lugo, Seth |
| 2026-08-18 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 94.2 | 69.3 | 13° | 131 | LF gap | 0.323 | 0.363 | 0.295 | Duran, Carlos |
| 2026-08-18 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 94.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Black, Mason |
| 2026-08-18 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | SL | 87.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Lynch IV, Daniel |
| 2026-08-18 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | SL | 86.3 | 96.3 | -7° | 16 | Infield | 0.227 | 0.250 | 0.204 | Lynch IV, Daniel |
| 2026-08-17 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 97.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Pearson, Nate |
| 2026-08-17 | Out popup | 3-2 | CH | 78.5 | 74.2 | 66° | 118 | Infield | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | Wacha, Michael |
| 2026-08-16 | Out popup | 2-0 | CH | 83.6 | 83.3 | 79° | 39 | Infield | 0.014 | 0.025 | 0.019 | Gray, Peyton |
| 2026-08-16 | Single ground ball | 2-2 | FF | 88.1 | 97.4 | 6° | 107 | CF | 0.649 | 0.734 | 0.614 | Bradford, Cody |
| 2026-08-16 | Home Run fly ball | 1-1 | SL | 80.6 | 107.0 | 27° | 394 | RF corner | 0.954 | 3.769 | 1.931 | Bradford, Cody |
| 2026-08-15 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SL | 85.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Latz, Jacob |
| 2026-08-15 | Out line drive | 2-1 | SL | 86.1 | 101.7 | 17° | 307 | LF gap | 0.403 | 0.696 | 0.459 | Gore, MacKenzie |
| 2026-08-15 | Walk | 3-2 | SL | 86.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Gore, MacKenzie |
| 2026-08-15 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | FF | 94.7 | 75.2 | 53° | 214 | LF | 0.100 | 0.135 | 0.101 | Gore, MacKenzie |
| 2026-08-14 | Home Run fly ball | 2-2 | FF | 93.5 | 103.4 | 24° | 411 | CF | 0.720 | 2.291 | 1.244 | Ahlstrom, Robby |
| 2026-08-14 | Out popup | 0-2 | SL | 83.5 | 68.6 | 65° | 131 | Infield | 0.006 | 0.007 | 0.007 | Rocker, Kumar |
| 2026-08-14 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | FF | 97.1 | 89.3 | 48° | 302 | LF gap | 0.003 | 0.005 | 0.003 | Rocker, Kumar |
| 2026-08-14 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SL | 83.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rocker, Kumar |
| 2026-08-12 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | SI | 95.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rasmussen, Drew |
| 2026-08-12 | Out fly ball | 1-0 | FF | 93.7 | 101.6 | 39° | 373 | CF | 0.294 | 1.136 | 0.591 | Rasmussen, Drew |
| 2026-08-11 | Out ground ball | 3-1 | SI | 92.3 | 103.1 | -4° | 22 | Infield | 0.359 | 0.398 | 0.323 | Martinez, Nick |
| 2026-08-11 | Out fly ball | 1-1 | CH | 78.0 | 95.2 | 39° | 344 | RF gap | 0.060 | 0.211 | 0.109 | Martinez, Nick |
| 2026-08-11 | Out line drive | 0-1 | FF | 91.6 | 86.2 | 21° | 262 | LF | 0.537 | 0.639 | 0.502 | Martinez, Nick |
| 2026-08-10 | Single ground ball | 0-2 | CH | 86.7 | 90.8 | 7° | 106 | RF | 0.463 | 0.515 | 0.427 | Wells, Tyler |
| 2026-08-10 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 86.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Peralta, Freddy |
| 2026-08-10 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | CH | 85.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Peralta, Freddy |
| 2026-08-09 | Out fly ball | 2-1 | SI | 94.6 | 77.7 | 52° | 231 | CF | 0.054 | 0.085 | 0.060 | Chapman, Aroldis |
| 2026-08-09 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | SI | 93.3 | 86.2 | 29° | 279 | LF | 0.069 | 0.151 | 0.097 | Morán, Jovani |
| 2026-08-09 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 97.6 | 105.8 | -12° | 8 | RF | 0.291 | 0.296 | 0.262 | Bello, Brayan |
| 2026-08-09 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | FF | 97.3 | 79.5 | 48° | 227 | LF | 0.046 | 0.075 | 0.052 | Bello, Brayan |
| 2026-08-08 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 92.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Bennett, Jake |
| 2026-08-08 | Out line drive | 2-1 | SI | 92.2 | 105.7 | 13° | 321 | CF | 0.886 | 1.183 | 0.883 | Bennett, Jake |
| 2026-08-08 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 93.5 | 107.1 | -22° | 6 | Infield | 0.142 | 0.147 | 0.128 | Bennett, Jake |
| 2026-08-07 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | SI | 91.6 | 93.8 | -34° | 4 | Infield | 0.056 | 0.061 | 0.050 | Burgos, Raymond |
| 2026-08-07 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | SI | 96.2 | 81.9 | -64° | 1 | Infield | 0.341 | 0.341 | 0.309 | Tolle, Payton |
| 2026-08-06 | Single ground ball | 3-2 | SI | 93.4 | 75.5 | -48° | 2 | Infield | 0.145 | 0.145 | 0.130 | Burke, Brock |
| 2026-08-06 | Out popup | 2-2 | ST | 82.6 | 71.6 | 62° | 149 | RF | 0.006 | 0.009 | 0.007 | Abbott, Andrew |
| 2026-08-06 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 0-1 | FF | 92.7 | 89.4 | -27° | 4 | Infield | 0.047 | 0.052 | 0.042 | Abbott, Andrew |
| 2026-08-06 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | ST | 82.1 | 85.8 | -2° | 24 | Infield | 0.182 | 0.198 | 0.164 | Abbott, Andrew |
| 2026-08-05 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | FF | 96.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Burke, Brock |
| 2026-08-05 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | CH | 86.9 | 94.1 | -15° | 8 | Infield | 0.147 | 0.160 | 0.138 | Lowder, Rhett |
| 2026-08-05 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | SL | 84.8 | 95.8 | 58° | 204 | LF gap | 0.014 | 0.020 | 0.014 | Lowder, Rhett |
| 2026-08-05 | Home Run fly ball | 1-2 | SI | 94.0 | 107.9 | 30° | 415 | RF gap | 0.969 | 3.837 | 1.964 | Lowder, Rhett |
| 2026-08-04 | Reached On Error ground ball | 2-2 | ST | 82.9 | 97.3 | -17° | 9 | Infield | 0.162 | 0.175 | 0.146 | Moll, Sam |
| 2026-08-04 | Force Out ground ball | 2-1 | SL | 81.5 | 98.0 | 2° | 62 | Infield | 0.460 | 0.520 | 0.434 | Singer, Brady |
| 2026-08-04 | Walk | 3-0 | SI | 90.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Singer, Brady |
| 2026-08-04 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | ST | 83.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Singer, Brady |
| 2026-08-02 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | SI | 90.5 | 73.2 | -28° | 5 | Infield | 0.049 | 0.054 | 0.045 | Holton, Tyler |
| 2026-08-02 | Out fly ball | 1-0 | CH | 86.4 | 95.3 | 54° | 286 | LF | 0.009 | 0.019 | 0.012 | Montero, Keider |
| 2026-08-01 | Single line drive | 3-1 | FF | 95.5 | 95.7 | 13° | 218 | RF gap | 0.957 | 1.122 | 0.907 | Finnegan, Kyle |
| 2026-08-01 | Single line drive | 1-0 | SI | 94.3 | 103.3 | 11° | 224 | LF | 0.940 | 1.160 | 0.911 | Valdez, Framber |
| 2026-08-01 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 94.6 | 65.9 | -45° | 2 | Infield | 0.201 | 0.201 | 0.190 | Valdez, Framber |
| 2026-07-31 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | SI | 95.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | De Jesus, Enmanuel |
| 2026-07-31 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | FF | 94.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sommers, Drew |
| 2026-07-30 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 94.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Weissert, Greg |
| 2026-07-29 | Double fly ball | 2-2 | SL | 85.4 | 98.4 | 30° | 384 | LF gap | 0.374 | 1.251 | 0.665 | Chapman, Aroldis |
| 2026-07-29 | Home Run fly ball | 0-1 | ST | 78.4 | 103.4 | 33° | 422 | CF | 0.591 | 2.292 | 1.180 | Sandoval, Patrick |
| 2026-07-29 | Walk | 3-2 | SL | 88.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Sandoval, Patrick |
| 2026-07-28 | Double line drive | 2-1 | FF | 93.6 | 106.8 | 19° | 398 | CF | 0.646 | 1.469 | 0.884 | Watson, Ryan |
| 2026-07-27 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | FF | 93.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Morán, Jovani |
| 2026-07-27 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 96.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Tolle, Payton |
| 2026-07-27 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | SI | 94.7 | 69.1 | -3° | 25 | Infield | 0.092 | 0.111 | 0.086 | Tolle, Payton |
| 2026-07-26 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 93.7 | 95.6 | 27° | 358 | CF | 0.280 | 0.793 | 0.451 | Adams, Travis |
| 2026-07-26 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 92.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Sands, Cole |
| 2026-07-25 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 99.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Morris, Andrew |
| 2026-07-25 | Walk | 3-1 | SI | 92.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Rogers, Taylor |
| 2026-07-25 | Sac Bunt ground ball | 0-0 | FF | 95.3 | 42.6 | -14° | 11 | Infield | — | — | — | Rojas, Kendry |
| 2026-07-24 | Out ground ball | 3-1 | SI | 93.1 | 81.3 | -9° | 14 | Infield | 0.113 | 0.146 | 0.106 | Funderburk, Kody |
| 2026-07-24 | Sac Fly line drive | 0-0 | CH | 89.3 | 84.4 | 24° | 295 | CF | — | — | 0.246 | Matthews, Zebby |
| 2026-07-24 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | CH | 89.5 | 65.4 | -51° | 2 | Infield | 0.260 | 0.260 | 0.234 | Matthews, Zebby |
| 2026-07-22 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | FF | 91.5 | 102.6 | 54° | 267 | CF | 0.009 | 0.016 | 0.008 | Kelly, Merrill |
| 2026-07-21 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | ST | 82.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sewald, Paul |
| 2026-07-21 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 99.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Morillo, Juan |
| 2026-07-21 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | FF | 91.5 | 78.4 | 48° | 235 | LF | 0.066 | 0.089 | 0.067 | Drake, Kohl |
| 2026-07-21 | Triple ground ball | 0-0 | FF | 90.0 | 105.8 | 6° | 162 | RF gap | 0.594 | 0.677 | 0.553 | Drake, Kohl |
| 2026-07-20 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | SL | 85.4 | 103.5 | 6° | 133 | CF | 0.649 | 0.732 | 0.603 | Ginkel, Kevin |
| 2026-07-19 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SL | 89.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Beeter, Clayton |
| 2026-07-18 | Out fly ball | 2-1 | SL | 49.0 | 100.4 | 39° | 369 | RF | 0.183 | 0.722 | 0.373 | — |
| 2026-07-18 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 96.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Kranick, Max |
| 2026-07-18 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | SI | 91.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Littell, Zack |