Batter vs Pitch Arsenal
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
Patrick Bailey LHB CLE vs Nick Martinez RHP TBA P
filtered for today’s matchupP = platoon edge (batter faces the opposite hand)
Batters grouped by swing shape — bat speed and swing length for power, attack angle and path tilt for loft — from Statcast bat tracking.
The number beside each metric is the gap to league average across the 610 batters with enough tracked swings to measure.
A description, not a prediction. The model does not use it.
Bat speed, barrel rate, exit velocity and chase rate over the last 30 games against this player's own last 100, so it reads as “is he himself right now” rather than “is he good”.
Flagged only when it has moved further than three quarters of hitters do. Movement in either direction counts.
Descriptive — the model does not use it.
whole-game, not filtered to this arsenal — see the per-pitch sections belowPitchers' arsenals are grouped by pitch shape — velocity, break and spin — and weighted by how often this pitcher throws each, so the number describes the arsenal he will face tonight.
Compared against this batter's own mark across every shape he has faced, so “done well” means well for him.
Descriptive — the model does not read it.
Overall vs RHP
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs RHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | Patrick Bailey: BA | Patrick Bailey: HR% | Patrick Bailey: Hard-Hit% | Patrick Bailey: Exit Velo | Patrick Bailey: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CH | 27% | 78.5 | 3.9" | -11.8" | 1920 | 3.0% | 23% | 0.294 | 0.149 | 3.4% | 27% | 85.3 | 0.270 |
| FC | 23% | 89.1 | 11.2" | 1.5" | 2338 | 3.9% | 35% | 0.370 | 0.289 | 2.6% | 53% | 90.1 | 0.434 |
| FF | 20% | 92.7 | 17.3" | -5.8" | 2300 | 3.5% | 45% | 0.378 | 0.241 | 3.6% | 49% | 89.7 | 0.411 |
| SI | 17% | 92.5 | 12.2" | -15.1" | 2296 | 4.8% | 50% | 0.395 | 0.210 | 1.6% | 43% | 91.1 | 0.383 |
| CU | 8% | 79.9 | -16.1" | 2.0" | 2569 | 0.0% | 31% | 0.383 | 0.160 | 2.0% | 24% | 80.9 | 0.316 |
| SL | 4% | 84.7 | 2.3" | 0.7" | 2403 | 0.0% | 48% | 0.342 | 0.290 | 1.4% | 51% | 93.3 | 0.396 |
| PO | 0% | 93.1 | 13.8" | -11.3" | 2326 |
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | Patrick Bailey: BA | Patrick Bailey: HR% | Patrick Bailey: Hard-Hit% | Patrick Bailey: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CH/SI/FS | 24% | 78.6 | 3.8" | -12.0" | 0.298 | 0.149 | 4.5% | 30% | 0.296 |
| EP/FA/SL | 23% | 92.3 | 16.4" | -7.1" | 0.387 | ||||
| FF/SI/FC | 23% | 92.3 | 16.4" | -7.1" | 0.395 | 0.307 | 8.0% | 50% | 0.421 |
| FC/SL/FF | 23% | 88.9 | 10.6" | 1.7" | 0.366 | 0.371 | 2.9% | 57% | 0.471 |
| SI/FF/CH | 12% | 92.6 | 11.2" | -15.9" | 0.383 | 0.258 | 1.5% | 45% | 0.431 |
| CU/KC/ST | 8% | 79.9 | -16.1" | 2.0" | 0.383 | 0.220 | 4.0% | 30% | 0.344 |
| FF/SI/FC | 4% | 93.3 | 17.4" | -6.7" | 0.296 | 0.118 | 0.0% | 43% | 0.314 |
| SL/ST/CU | 3% | 83.9 | 1.4" | 0.3" | 0.415 | 0.158 | 0.0% | 20% | 0.312 |
| ST/SL/CU | 3% | 78.2 | 4.4" | -10.8" | 0.269 | 0.220 | 0.0% | 48% | 0.357 |
| CH/FS/FO | 3% | 78.2 | 4.4" | -10.8" | 0.269 | 0.179 | 0.0% | 19% | 0.288 |
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
90 PA · 30 games · 2026-08-20 to 2026-10-15| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | CU | 80.0 | 89.6 | 0° | 40 | Infield | 0.283 | 0.336 | 0.255 | Steven Matz |
| 2026-10-15 | Single ground ball | 1-2 | CH | 89.7 | 79.1 | -67° | 1 | Infield | 0.317 | 0.317 | 0.289 | Griffin Jax |
| 2026-10-15 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | CH | 91.8 | 103.4 | -2° | 38 | Infield | 0.420 | 0.473 | 0.391 | Griffin Jax |
| 2026-10-13 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 84.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Bryan Baker |
| 2026-10-13 | Walk | 3-2 | SI | 90.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Kevin Kelly |
| 2026-10-12 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | CH | 84.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Ian Seymour |
| 2026-10-12 | Home Run fly ball | 0-0 | FC | 90.4 | 105.3 | 26° | 436 | RF gap | 0.897 | 3.405 | 1.763 | Drew Rasmussen |
| 2026-10-12 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 96.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Drew Rasmussen |
| 2026-10-12 | Single ground ball | 2-2 | CH | 89.0 | 100.5 | 4° | 89 | RF gap | 0.540 | 0.610 | 0.503 | Drew Rasmussen |
| 2026-10-10 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 0-2 | CU | 80.7 | 88.4 | -5° | 19 | Infield | 0.140 | 0.151 | 0.135 | Sean Newcomb |
| 2026-10-10 | Out ground ball | 2-2 | SL | 87.4 | 87.0 | -18° | 5 | RF corner | 0.057 | 0.074 | 0.051 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-10-10 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | FC | 88.8 | 90.7 | -17° | 10 | Infield | 0.105 | 0.122 | 0.100 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-10-08 | Out line drive | 3-2 | FF | 91.9 | 103.0 | 18° | 333 | CF | 0.486 | 0.914 | 0.590 | Bryan Hudson |
| 2026-10-08 | Single ground ball | 1-1 | CU | 83.8 | 84.8 | 3° | 72 | LF gap | 0.267 | 0.300 | 0.253 | Grant Taylor |
| 2026-10-08 | Home Run line drive | 3-1 | SI | 94.2 | 110.0 | 22° | 376 | RF | 0.954 | 3.411 | 1.787 | Erick Fedde |
| 2026-10-07 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 95.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Davis Martin |
| 2026-10-07 | Walk | 3-2 | FC | 91.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Noah Schultz |
| 2026-10-07 | Out line drive | 3-2 | FF | 92.4 | 95.6 | 9° | 188 | Infield | 0.629 | 0.701 | 0.584 | Bryan Hudson |
| 2026-10-05 | Out fly ball | 0-1 | CU | 83.6 | 103.5 | 26° | 385 | LF gap | 0.797 | 2.816 | 1.480 | Grant Taylor |
| 2026-10-05 | Out fly ball | 0-1 | FC | 90.1 | 100.2 | 40° | 330 | CF | 0.154 | 0.572 | 0.303 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-10-03 | Single line drive | 0-0 | CU | 81.8 | 95.0 | 7° | 170 | LF gap | 0.600 | 0.692 | 0.573 | Grant Taylor |
| 2026-09-27 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 99.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Lucas Erceg |
| 2026-09-27 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 93.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Nolan Hoffman |
| 2026-09-26 | Out fly ball | 1-0 | FF | 95.2 | 101.1 | 29° | 394 | LF gap | 0.597 | 2.175 | 1.134 | Spencer Bivens |
| 2026-09-26 | Home Run fly ball | 3-2 | CH | 90.5 | 100.3 | 29° | 380 | RF | 0.531 | 1.883 | 0.980 | Alex Lange |
| 2026-09-26 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 81.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Michael Wacha |
| 2026-09-26 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | CH | 83.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Michael Wacha |
| 2026-09-26 | Home Run fly ball | 0-1 | CU | 77.3 | 94.5 | 29° | 342 | RF corner | 0.177 | 0.538 | 0.294 | Michael Wacha |
| 2026-09-25 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 96.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Nate Pearson |
| 2026-09-24 | Out line drive | 1-0 | SI | 97.7 | 107.7 | 14° | 338 | CF | 0.703 | 1.072 | 0.750 | Erik Miller |
| 2026-09-24 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | FF | 91.4 | 101.5 | 40° | 310 | LF | 0.186 | 0.706 | 0.376 | Ranger Suarez |
| 2026-09-24 | Force Out ground ball | 0-2 | CU | 75.3 | 73.2 | -4° | 18 | Infield | 0.060 | 0.074 | 0.057 | Ranger Suarez |
| 2026-09-23 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | SI | 99.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Tyron Guerrero |
| 2026-09-23 | Single line drive | 0-0 | SI | 90.0 | 68.3 | 24° | 203 | LF gap | 0.960 | 1.005 | 0.870 | Sonny Gray |
| 2026-09-20 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 98.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Elvis Alvarado |
| 2026-09-20 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CH | 91.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Jack Perkins |
| 2026-09-20 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | FF | 95.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Jack Perkins |
| 2026-09-18 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CH | 92.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Luis Medina |
| 2026-09-18 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | SL | 85.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Scott Blewett |
| 2026-09-18 | Single line drive | 0-2 | CU | 80.0 | 100.2 | 17° | 309 | CF | 0.489 | 0.794 | 0.542 | Mason Barnett |
| 2026-09-18 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CU | 79.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Mason Barnett |
| 2026-09-15 | Walk | 3-1 | CU | 84.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.699 | Grant Taylor |
| 2026-09-15 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | CU | 83.6 | 78.2 | -37° | 2 | RF corner | 0.043 | 0.043 | 0.039 | Davis Martin |
| 2026-09-15 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | CH | 89.3 | 89.8 | -21° | 5 | Infield | 0.086 | 0.095 | 0.082 | Davis Martin |
| 2026-09-15 | Out fly ball | 1-0 | FC | 89.6 | 97.3 | 48° | 300 | CF | 0.006 | 0.011 | 0.005 | Davis Martin |
| 2026-09-14 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | CH | 80.3 | 51.7 | -66° | 1 | RF corner | 0.206 | 0.206 | 0.185 | Trevor Richards |
| 2026-09-14 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | FC | 88.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Hagen Smith |
| 2026-09-14 | Single line drive | 2-1 | SL | 85.0 | 109.5 | 18° | 328 | RF corner | 0.729 | 1.630 | 0.998 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-09-13 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CU | 86.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Tommy Nance |
| 2026-09-13 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FC | 88.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Taylor Rogers |
| 2026-09-13 | Double Play line drive | 1-0 | SI | 95.7 | 84.3 | 5° | 103 | Infield | 0.317 | 0.373 | 0.300 | Travis Adams |
| 2026-09-13 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | SI | 92.6 | 92.1 | 29° | 326 | LF | 0.074 | 0.195 | 0.116 | Joe Ryan |
| 2026-09-09 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 96.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Rico Garcia |
| 2026-09-09 | Double fly ball | 1-2 | CH | 88.0 | 96.7 | 25° | 329 | RF | 0.274 | 0.647 | 0.387 | Shane Baz |
| 2026-09-09 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | FF | 97.4 | 94.1 | -33° | 3 | Infield | 0.060 | 0.071 | 0.054 | Shane Baz |
| 2026-09-08 | Single fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 95.0 | 70.9 | 32° | 240 | LF gap | 0.711 | 0.787 | 0.660 | Cam Sanders |
| 2026-09-08 | Sac Bunt ground ball | 0-0 | FF | 99.2 | 21.8 | 53° | 30 | Infield | — | — | — | Alex Hoppe |
| 2026-09-08 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | CU | 85.8 | 101.9 | 7° | 137 | Infield | 0.683 | 0.752 | 0.630 | Grant Wolfram |
| 2026-09-07 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | FF | 92.8 | 85.9 | 56° | 227 | RF | 0.011 | 0.011 | 0.010 | Josh Walker |
| 2026-09-06 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 88.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Drew Sommers |
| 2026-09-06 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | CH | 84.9 | 63.1 | -44° | 2 | Infield | 0.140 | 0.140 | 0.126 | Jackson Jobe |
| 2026-09-06 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 96.7 | 71.1 | 6° | 69 | Infield | 0.179 | 0.210 | 0.161 | Jackson Jobe |
| 2026-09-04 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 85.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Kenley Jansen |
| 2026-09-04 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | FF | 95.2 | 96.4 | -26° | 5 | Infield | 0.105 | 0.126 | 0.100 | Drew Sommers |
| 2026-09-04 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 93.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Tyler Holton |
| 2026-09-04 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 95.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Keider Montero |
| 2026-09-04 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | SL | 86.1 | 94.6 | 45° | 290 | CF | 0.009 | 0.023 | 0.013 | Keider Montero |
| 2026-09-02 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 96.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Brendon Little |
| 2026-09-02 | Single line drive | 0-0 | SL | 89.1 | 102.4 | 10° | 198 | RF gap | 0.834 | 1.005 | 0.802 | Dylan Cease |
| 2026-09-02 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FF | 93.9 | 75.9 | 19° | 215 | CF | 0.986 | 1.051 | 0.898 | Dylan Cease |
| 2026-09-01 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | CU | 79.1 | 92.4 | 29° | 356 | RF gap | 0.074 | 0.195 | 0.116 | Joe Mantiply |
| 2026-09-01 | Home Run fly ball | 3-1 | FF | 91.2 | 103.5 | 31° | 407 | LF gap | 0.714 | 2.770 | 1.432 | Spencer Arrighetti |
| 2026-08-28 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | FF | 95.0 | 40.6 | -12° | 10 | Infield | 0.213 | 0.216 | 0.192 | Michael Wacha |
| 2026-08-28 | Single line drive | 0-0 | CH | 81.9 | 94.5 | 14° | 262 | LF gap | 0.980 | 1.153 | 0.931 | Michael Wacha |
| 2026-08-28 | Single line drive | 2-2 | CH | 83.3 | 102.9 | 13° | 242 | CF | 0.906 | 1.194 | 0.904 | Michael Wacha |
| 2026-08-25 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 102.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Ben Joyce |
| 2026-08-25 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | SI | 96.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | José Fermín |
| 2026-08-25 | Walk | 3-1 | FF | 98.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Walbert Ureña |
| 2026-08-25 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 99.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Walbert Ureña |
| 2026-08-22 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FF | 95.3 | 99.8 | 13° | 266 | LF | 0.926 | 1.122 | 0.889 | Nick Frasso |
| 2026-08-22 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 92.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Gabriel Hughes |
| 2026-08-22 | Out line drive | 1-1 | CU | 78.4 | 90.5 | 23° | 324 | CF | 0.160 | 0.301 | 0.192 | Gabriel Hughes |
| 2026-08-21 | Home Run fly ball | 1-0 | SI | 92.6 | 97.5 | 31° | 418 | RF gap | 0.251 | 0.863 | 0.460 | Zach Agnos |
| 2026-08-21 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | CH | 83.2 | 84.1 | 61° | 223 | RF | 0.011 | 0.011 | 0.010 | Tanner Gordon |
| 2026-08-21 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | CU | 81.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Tanner Gordon |
| 2026-08-21 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | CH | 85.4 | 95.0 | 64° | 212 | RF gap | 0.011 | 0.014 | 0.011 | Tanner Gordon |
| 2026-08-20 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | SI | 94.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | JT Brubaker |
| 2026-08-20 | Walk | 3-2 | CH | 85.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Landen Roupp |
| 2026-08-20 | Single line drive | 2-2 | FF | 94.4 | 70.7 | 27° | 228 | CF | 0.957 | 1.019 | 0.873 | Landen Roupp |
| 2026-08-20 | Single line drive | 1-0 | SI | 95.2 | 104.1 | 15° | 296 | LF gap | 0.677 | 1.013 | 0.720 | Landen Roupp |