Pitch Mix Analysis
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
Batter: Alvarez, Yordan
Long and lofted
Pitcher: Rodriguez, Grayson (RHP)
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2,696 pitches seen
·
0.486 xwOBA against shapes like this arsenal,
vs 0.503 against everything
(-0.017)
·
last 30 games: 0.541
+0.054
on 411 pitches, covering 47% of the arsenal
Pitch familiarity
Pitchers' arsenals are grouped by pitch shape — velocity, break and spin — and weighted by how often this pitcher throws each, so the number describes the arsenal he will face tonight.
Compared against this batter's own mark across every shape he has faced, so “done well” means well for him.
Descriptive — the model does not read it.
Hot Zones
by location · xwOBA on contact (excludes Ks/BBs, so runs higher than a full-PA xwOBA), dimmed cells are too few balls in play to trust
Overall vs RHP
0.398
101p
0.520
109p
0.408
65p
0.544
134p
0.676
138p
0.419
99p
0.531
111p
0.566
141p
0.825
82p
How Alvarez, Yordan handles each pitch
Reading these bars
One row per pitch this pitcher throws, ordered by usage. The bar is how this batter has performed against it; the dotted line is his own average from that hand.
Deeper red is better than his usual, deeper blue worse.
Faded rows have too little contact to trust — the count on the right is the sample behind the number.
vs RHP · ordered by usageNo tracked contact against this pitcher's pitches for this batter yet
Rodriguez, Grayson's Arsenal, by Pitch Type
ordered by usage vs. a LHH batter
Matched by pitch name
Left: what the pitcher throws. Right: how this batter has done against that same pitch.
The right-hand columns count only pitches carrying the same label — a slider against a slider — thrown by pitchers with the same handedness.
That is precise but can leave a small sample. The table below groups by how a pitch actually moves instead.
| Pitch | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Spin | Allowed HR% | Allowed Hard-Hit% | Allowed xwOBA/con | Alvarez, Yordan: BA | Alvarez, Yordan: HR% | Alvarez, Yordan: Hard-Hit% | Alvarez, Yordan: Exit Velo | Alvarez, Yordan: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 54% | 96.0 | 15.6" | -11.3" | 2261 | 5.5% | 62% | 0.440 | 0.293 | 7.5% | 52% | 95.0 | 0.503 |
| CH | 31% | 83.0 | 4.9" | -10.9" | 1750 | 0.0% | 37% | 0.367 | 0.338 | 8.1% | 61% | 94.9 | 0.503 |
| CU | 12% | 80.6 | -8.3" | 6.7" | 2672 | 0.0% | 45% | 0.436 | 0.323 | 12.9% | 57% | 95.3 | 0.717 |
| SL | 2% | 85.3 | 0.8" | 4.3" | 2419 | 0.326 | 6.5% | 55% | 96.2 | 0.586 |
Rodriguez, Grayson's Arsenal, by Pitch Shape
grouped by velo/break/spin, not label
Why shape beats the label
The table above, grouped by how the pitch moves rather than what it is called.
Two pitchers can both say “slider” and throw very different pitches. Grouping by speed, break and spin pools everyone throwing something physically similar, so the sample is bigger and steadier.
| Shape (mostly) | Usage% | Velo | Vert Brk | Horz Brk | Allowed xwOBA/con | Alvarez, Yordan: BA | Alvarez, Yordan: HR% | Alvarez, Yordan: Hard-Hit% | Alvarez, Yordan: xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EP/FA/SL | 28% | 96.7 | 15.9" | -11.5" | 0.333 | 0.333 | 4.4% | 52% | 0.457 |
| FF/SI/FC | 28% | 96.7 | 15.9" | -11.5" | 0.333 | 0.326 | 4.3% | 53% | 0.456 |
| FF/SI/FC | 23% | 95.1 | 15.8" | -10.6" | 0.572 | 0.196 | 5.9% | 51% | 0.451 |
| CH/SI/FS | 21% | 83.0 | 4.8" | -11.5" | 0.335 | 0.390 | 5.1% | 56% | 0.506 |
| CU/KC/ST | 11% | 80.5 | -8.9" | 6.7" | 0.425 | 0.333 | 7.4% | 55% | 0.691 |
| CH/FS/FO | 10% | 83.1 | 5.4" | -9.6" | 0.431 | 0.359 | 7.7% | 52% | 0.439 |
| SI/FF/CH | 4% | 96.2 | 12.4" | -14.7" | 0.310 | 11.3% | 72% | 0.556 | |
| SL/ST/CU | 2% | 84.2 | -0.9" | 4.7" | 0.300 | 6.7% | 27% | 0.369 | |
| ST/SL/CU | 1% | 81.7 | -4.0" | 7.1" | 0.344 | 6.2% | 59% | 0.594 | |
| FC/SL/FF | 1% | 86.8 | 3.7" | 3.9" | 0.283 | 6.7% | 61% | 0.568 |
At-Bat Log
Every plate appearance
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
82 PA · 30 games · 2026-07-12 to 2026-08-19
23 hits
11 walks
2 hit by pitch
12 strikeouts
34 outs in play
avg exit velo 93.8 mph over 57 tracked
xwOBA 0.459
| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Out ground ball | 2-2 | CH | 93.5 | 106.0 | 3° | 111 | Infield | 0.549 | 0.605 | 0.508 | Ureña, Walbert |
| 2026-08-19 | Single ground ball | 2-2 | CH | 88.3 | 97.9 | 4° | 92 | RF gap | 0.500 | 0.548 | 0.460 | Ureña, Walbert |
| 2026-08-19 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CH | 93.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Ureña, Walbert |
| 2026-08-18 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | FF | 94.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Watson, Ryan |
| 2026-08-18 | Out line drive | 0-0 | FF | 97.9 | 100.2 | 20° | 345 | CF | 0.311 | 0.609 | 0.382 | Klassen, George |
| 2026-08-18 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | CU | 85.1 | 73.9 | 16° | 131 | LF gap | 0.717 | 0.778 | 0.660 | Klassen, George |
| 2026-08-18 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | SL | 90.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Klassen, George |
| 2026-08-16 | Single line drive | 0-1 | SL | 85.7 | 94.9 | 16° | 257 | RF | 0.691 | 0.831 | 0.636 | Speier, Gabe |
| 2026-08-16 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CU | 84.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Woo, Bryan |
| 2026-08-16 | Out line drive | 1-1 | FF | 96.4 | 97.9 | 22° | 347 | LF gap | 0.311 | 0.632 | 0.393 | Woo, Bryan |
| 2026-08-16 | Out fly ball | 1-0 | SL | 88.7 | 89.7 | 31° | 303 | LF | 0.051 | 0.104 | 0.060 | Woo, Bryan |
| 2026-08-15 | Out line drive | 2-0 | FF | 95.7 | 93.2 | 23° | 325 | LF gap | 0.171 | 0.345 | 0.220 | Hancock, Emerson |
| 2026-08-15 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 95.7 | 87.7 | 43° | 296 | CF | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | Hancock, Emerson |
| 2026-08-14 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | SL | 86.7 | 88.7 | -10° | 10 | Infield | 0.142 | 0.148 | 0.128 | Muñoz, Andrés |
| 2026-08-14 | Out line drive | 0-2 | FF | 96.6 | 106.5 | 16° | 330 | LF gap | 0.626 | 1.124 | 0.737 | Speier, Gabe |
| 2026-08-14 | Single line drive | 1-1 | FF | 94.9 | 102.2 | 14° | 247 | RF | 0.771 | 1.028 | 0.773 | Kirby, George |
| 2026-08-14 | Home Run fly ball | 1-0 | CH | 89.9 | 100.5 | 35° | 368 | RF | 0.351 | 1.329 | 0.688 | Kirby, George |
| 2026-08-12 | Single fly ball | 1-2 | SL | 89.1 | 99.1 | 25° | 370 | RF gap | 0.491 | 1.359 | 0.770 | Hentges, Sam |
| 2026-08-12 | Walk | 3-0 | CH | 83.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Houser, Adrian |
| 2026-08-12 | Out fly ball | 0-1 | FF | 97.0 | 87.7 | 44° | 282 | LF | 0.006 | 0.009 | 0.008 | Houser, Adrian |
| 2026-08-11 | Hit By Pitch | 2-2 | SL | 91.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.728 | Seymour, Carson |
| 2026-08-11 | Sac Fly fly ball | 0-1 | FF | 93.3 | 92.6 | 29° | 316 | LF | — | — | 0.195 | Whisenhunt, Carson |
| 2026-08-11 | Walk | 3-2 | CH | 84.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Whisenhunt, Carson |
| 2026-08-10 | Out fly ball | 2-1 | SL | 88.8 | 91.2 | 43° | 289 | LF | 0.011 | 0.021 | 0.015 | Hentges, Sam |
| 2026-08-10 | Double line drive | 3-2 | SL | 89.9 | 109.0 | 16° | 327 | RF gap | 0.626 | 1.115 | 0.725 | Tidwell, Blade |
| 2026-08-09 | Out fly ball | 1-1 | SL | 89.5 | 83.4 | 45° | 252 | LF gap | 0.011 | 0.013 | 0.010 | Hart, Kyle |
| 2026-08-09 | Out line drive | 2-2 | FF | 96.5 | 106.0 | 16° | 341 | CF | 0.566 | 1.003 | 0.662 | Vásquez, Randy |
| 2026-08-07 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | SL | 86.7 | 81.5 | 46° | 252 | RF gap | 0.014 | 0.014 | 0.013 | Matsui, Yuki |
| 2026-08-07 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 93.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Ray, Robbie |
| 2026-08-07 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SL | 85.0 | 77.6 | 0° | 37 | Infield | 0.108 | 0.125 | 0.097 | Ray, Robbie |
| 2026-08-05 | Single line drive | 0-1 | CH | 85.1 | 114.8 | 10° | 195 | RF | 0.849 | 1.229 | 0.893 | Lee, Chase |
| 2026-08-05 | Out line drive | 3-1 | FF | 92.1 | 97.8 | 10° | 176 | RF gap | 0.740 | 0.895 | 0.721 | Taillon, Jameson |
| 2026-08-04 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | SL | 88.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Fisher, Braydon |
| 2026-08-04 | Single line drive | 0-2 | CU | 85.2 | 83.2 | 13° | 201 | RF gap | 0.694 | 0.827 | 0.691 | Dallas, Chad |
| 2026-08-04 | Walk | 3-2 | CU | 85.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Dallas, Chad |
| 2026-08-03 | Walk | 3-0 | CH | 87.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Bieber, Shane |
| 2026-08-03 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | CH | 87.5 | 97.5 | 55° | 250 | LF gap | 0.009 | 0.013 | 0.008 | Bieber, Shane |
| 2026-08-02 | Out popup | 2-0 | SL | 85.7 | 78.8 | 70° | 115 | LF corner | 0.006 | 0.007 | 0.006 | Ahlstrom, Robby |
| 2026-08-02 | Double fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 94.7 | 81.5 | 38° | 280 | LF corner | 0.023 | 0.036 | 0.024 | Rocker, Kumar |
| 2026-08-02 | Single ground ball | 1-0 | SL | 82.3 | 36.6 | -47° | 2 | Infield | 0.248 | 0.248 | 0.223 | Rocker, Kumar |
| 2026-08-01 | Out fly ball | 1-1 | FF | 93.0 | 104.5 | 24° | 395 | CF | 0.780 | 2.547 | 1.367 | Alexander, Tyler |
| 2026-08-01 | Double line drive | 1-0 | FF | 98.3 | 102.3 | 19° | 358 | RF gap | 0.391 | 0.786 | 0.489 | deGrom, Jacob |
| 2026-08-01 | Out ground ball | 2-1 | FF | 99.1 | 94.3 | -10° | 17 | Infield | 0.182 | 0.215 | 0.164 | deGrom, Jacob |
| 2026-07-31 | Walk | 3-1 | SL | 86.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Curvelo, Luis |
| 2026-07-31 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CU | 76.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Eovaldi, Nathan |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CH | 76.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Suter, Brent |
| 2026-07-29 | Out fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 95.7 | 89.7 | 45° | 279 | LF corner | 0.003 | 0.005 | 0.003 | Rodriguez, Grayson |
| 2026-07-29 | Out ground ball | 0-2 | CH | 82.1 | 75.5 | -7° | 8 | Infield | 0.075 | 0.078 | 0.073 | Rodriguez, Grayson |
| 2026-07-29 | Out line drive | 0-2 | FF | 97.9 | 110.5 | 12° | 339 | CF | 0.857 | 1.204 | 0.879 | Rodriguez, Grayson |
| 2026-07-28 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FF | 92.0 | 107.1 | 11° | 284 | CF | 0.931 | 1.256 | 0.944 | Farris, Mitch |
| 2026-07-28 | Walk | 3-1 | FF | 94.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Natera Jr., Samy |
| 2026-07-28 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | SL | 86.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Detmers, Reid |
| 2026-07-28 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | FF | 93.8 | 96.3 | 32° | 337 | LF | 0.200 | 0.660 | 0.362 | Detmers, Reid |
| 2026-07-28 | Home Run fly ball | 0-0 | FF | 95.7 | 109.1 | 29° | 427 | RF gap | 0.989 | 3.925 | 2.005 | Detmers, Reid |
| 2026-07-27 | Single line drive | 1-0 | FF | 97.1 | 82.0 | 15° | 193 | LF gap | 0.934 | 1.071 | 0.883 | Zeferjahn, Ryan |
| 2026-07-27 | Out ground ball | 3-2 | CH | 93.3 | 102.9 | -12° | 13 | RF corner | 0.248 | 0.254 | 0.223 | Ureña, Walbert |
| 2026-07-27 | Hit By Pitch | 1-1 | FF | 98.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.729 | Ureña, Walbert |
| 2026-07-27 | Strikeout looking | 0-2 | FF | 100.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Ureña, Walbert |
| 2026-07-26 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 98.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Taylor, Grant |
| 2026-07-26 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 100.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Hicks, Jordan |
| 2026-07-25 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | CH | 80.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Richards, Trevor |
| 2026-07-25 | Walk | 3-0 | SL | 87.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Burke, Sean |
| 2026-07-25 | Out ground ball | 3-1 | FF | 95.5 | 72.7 | 5° | 75 | Infield | 0.192 | 0.217 | 0.185 | Burke, Sean |
| 2026-07-25 | Force Out popup | 2-0 | SL | 88.5 | 98.8 | 74° | 67 | Infield | 0.009 | 0.009 | 0.008 | Burke, Sean |
| 2026-07-24 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | CH | 80.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Richards, Trevor |
| 2026-07-24 | Single ground ball | 1-0 | CH | 89.2 | 115.7 | 7° | 135 | RF | 0.749 | 0.925 | 0.725 | Martin, Davis |
| 2026-07-24 | Out line drive | 2-1 | FF | 93.8 | 82.7 | 26° | 294 | RF gap | 0.146 | 0.216 | 0.151 | Martin, Davis |
| 2026-07-24 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 2-1 | FF | 93.3 | 102.9 | 3° | 75 | Infield | 0.551 | 0.673 | 0.534 | Martin, Davis |
| 2026-07-22 | Home Run fly ball | 1-1 | FF | 97.4 | 104.9 | 25° | 394 | LF gap | 0.894 | 3.335 | 1.739 | Alcantara, Sandy |
| 2026-07-22 | Grounded Into DP ground ball | 3-1 | CH | 91.0 | 71.7 | -6° | 14 | Infield | 0.053 | 0.056 | 0.048 | Alcantara, Sandy |
| 2026-07-22 | Single ground ball | 1-0 | CH | 90.7 | 99.6 | 0° | 45 | RF | 0.423 | 0.480 | 0.397 | Alcantara, Sandy |
| 2026-07-21 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | CH | 87.0 | 88.9 | 6° | 97 | RF | 0.449 | 0.504 | 0.414 | Brzykcy, Zach |
| 2026-07-20 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 86.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Fulton, Dax |
| 2026-07-20 | Home Run fly ball | 1-1 | FF | 94.1 | 108.3 | 23° | 419 | RF gap | 0.969 | 3.552 | 1.849 | Bachar, Lake |
| 2026-07-20 | Home Run fly ball | 0-2 | SL | 88.5 | 113.8 | 35° | 428 | RF gap | 0.946 | 3.783 | 1.934 | Junk, Janson |
| 2026-07-20 | Single line drive | 2-2 | FF | 96.2 | 114.2 | 12° | 282 | RF | 0.803 | 1.206 | 0.837 | Junk, Janson |
| 2026-07-19 | Out popup | 1-2 | CH | 87.3 | 67.2 | 66° | 135 | LF corner | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | Garcia, Rico |
| 2026-07-18 | Double line drive | 1-1 | SL | 89.8 | 108.3 | 11° | 211 | RF corner | 0.946 | 1.284 | 0.961 | Kittredge, Andrew |
| 2026-07-17 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | CH | 85.7 | 99.2 | 55° | 252 | CF | 0.009 | 0.012 | 0.008 | Wells, Tyler |
| 2026-07-17 | Walk | 3-1 | CH | 89.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Nunez, Anthony |
| 2026-07-17 | Single line drive | 2-2 | CU | 75.7 | 78.3 | 14° | 152 | RF | 0.680 | 0.752 | 0.627 | Kremer, Dean |
| 2026-07-12 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | FF | 95.3 | 88.7 | 52° | 247 | LF corner | 0.011 | 0.014 | 0.010 | Gore, MacKenzie |