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Batter vs Pitch Arsenal
A batter's own numbers by pitch type and location — add a pitcher to see their actual arsenal overlaid on top, and how this batter has done against pitches shaped like it.
Lucas Spence LHB HOU
Swing & contact · last 30 games vs last 100
holding steady
Barrel rate
6.9%
+0.0%
Bat speed
70.6 mph
+0.0%
Exit velo
91.0 mph
+0.0%
Chase rate
25.5%
+0.0%
Swing & contact
Bat speed, barrel rate, exit velocity and chase rate over the last 30 games against this player's own last 100, so it reads as “is he himself right now” rather than “is he good”.
Flagged only when it has moved further than three quarters of hitters do. Movement in either direction counts.
Descriptive — the model does not use it.
Hot Zones
by location · xwOBA on contact (excludes Ks/BBs, so runs higher than a full-PA xwOBA), dimmed cells are too few balls in play to trust
vs RHP
11p
12p
5p
14p
8p
7p
6p
15p
5p
vs LHP
2p
3p
0p
7p
5p
2p
4p
8p
1p
Lucas Spence: by Pitch Type
18 rows · both hands
| Hand | Pitch | Pitches | BA | HR% | Hard-Hit% | LD% | FB% | GB% | Exit Velo | xBA | xwOBA/con |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | FF | 26 | |||||||||
| LHP | SL | 12 | |||||||||
| LHP | SI | 9 | |||||||||
| LHP | ST | 5 | |||||||||
| LHP | FS | 4 | |||||||||
| LHP | FC | 3 | |||||||||
| LHP | CU | 1 | |||||||||
| RHP | FF | 66 | 0.214 | 21.4% | |||||||
| RHP | CH | 31 | 0.111 | 11.1% | |||||||
| RHP | SL | 21 | |||||||||
| RHP | FC | 20 | |||||||||
| RHP | SI | 12 | |||||||||
| RHP | FS | 12 | |||||||||
| RHP | CU | 12 | |||||||||
| RHP | ST | 7 | |||||||||
| RHP | KC | 4 | |||||||||
| RHP | FA | 2 | |||||||||
| RHP | EP | 1 |
Showing every pitcher. Today’s probable opponent starter:
Sean BurkeOr add any other pitcher to overlay their actual arsenal on top of the above:
At-Bat Log
Every plate appearance
One row per plate appearance, newest first. Strikeouts and walks included.
Expected stats say what a batted ball was worth given how hard and at what angle it was hit, whether or not it found a glove.
xBA is blank on strikeouts and walks — there is no batted ball to judge. xwOBA counts them.
72 PA · 19 games · 2026-07-17 to 2026-09-30
13 hits
7 walks
1 hit by pitch
25 strikeouts
26 outs in play
avg exit velo 91.0 mph over 38 tracked
xwOBA 0.295
| Date | Result | Count | Pitch | Velo | Exit Velo | Angle | Dist | Location | xBA | xSLG | xwOBA | Pitcher |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Out fly ball | 3-2 | ST | 83.6 | 101.7 | 35° | 374 | CF | 0.463 | 1.743 | 0.891 | Erick Fedde |
| 2026-09-30 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | SI | 100.3 | 87.4 | -29° | 3 | Infield | 0.050 | 0.054 | 0.045 | Jordan Hicks |
| 2026-09-30 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 94.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-09-30 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | KC | 79.9 | 73.0 | 5° | 70 | Infield | 0.228 | 0.257 | 0.219 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-09-29 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 97.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Grant Taylor |
| 2026-09-29 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | CU | 85.4 | 60.6 | -41° | 2 | Infield | 0.177 | 0.178 | 0.164 | David Sandlin |
| 2026-09-29 | Single ground ball | 3-1 | SI | 94.9 | 102.8 | -1° | 43 | LF gap | 0.460 | 0.500 | 0.421 | Sean Newcomb |
| 2026-09-29 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 83.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Hagen Smith |
| 2026-09-27 | Walk | 3-1 | SI | 93.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Geoff Hartlieb |
| 2026-09-27 | Walk | 3-2 | FF | 94.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Chris Roycroft |
| 2026-09-27 | Out ground ball | 2-2 | SL | 85.2 | 81.7 | -8° | 18 | Infield | 0.082 | 0.107 | 0.074 | Scott Blewett |
| 2026-09-27 | Triple line drive | 0-1 | SL | 81.7 | 94.0 | 24° | 351 | RF gap | 0.169 | 0.346 | 0.217 | Brady Basso |
| 2026-09-27 | Walk | 3-0 | FF | 95.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Seth Johnson |
| 2026-09-26 | Home Run fly ball | 2-0 | FF | 93.1 | 101.1 | 35° | 380 | RF | 0.391 | 1.471 | 0.759 | Yunior Tur |
| 2026-09-26 | Double line drive | 2-2 | FS | 90.5 | 106.4 | 10° | 210 | RF | 0.883 | 1.119 | 0.867 | Drew Rom |
| 2026-09-26 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | FF | 95.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Scott Blewett |
| 2026-09-26 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | CH | 88.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Jack Perkins |
| 2026-09-26 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | ST | 87.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Jack Perkins |
| 2026-09-25 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 95.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Hogan Harris |
| 2026-09-25 | Strikeout looking | 3-2 | FF | 97.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Seth Johnson |
| 2026-09-25 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | FF | 90.2 | 56.4 | 9° | 73 | RF corner | 0.127 | 0.162 | 0.115 | Jacob Lopez |
| 2026-09-25 | Out fly ball | 3-1 | FF | 90.3 | 102.0 | 32° | 390 | CF | 0.554 | 2.110 | 1.083 | Jacob Lopez |
| 2026-09-24 | Home Run line drive | 0-0 | FF | 97.1 | 101.8 | 24° | 351 | RF | 0.623 | 1.850 | 1.020 | Elvis Alvarado |
| 2026-09-24 | Home Run fly ball | 1-1 | FF | 97.5 | 96.9 | 30° | 387 | RF gap | 0.266 | 0.847 | 0.461 | Scott Blewett |
| 2026-09-24 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | FF | 95.1 | 96.2 | 29° | 383 | CF | 0.237 | 0.710 | 0.398 | Mason Barnett |
| 2026-09-24 | Home Run line drive | 1-1 | CH | 85.8 | 105.8 | 24° | 429 | RF gap | 0.920 | 3.293 | 1.727 | Mason Barnett |
| 2026-09-23 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 97.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Seranthony Domínguez |
| 2026-09-23 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SI | 99.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | José A. Ferrer |
| 2026-09-23 | Out popup | 0-1 | FF | 96.4 | 50.8 | 55° | 118 | LF corner | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.005 | George Kirby |
| 2026-09-23 | Walk | 3-1 | FF | 96.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | George Kirby |
| 2026-07-31 | Single ground ball | 0-2 | EP | 54.4 | 92.1 | -14° | 11 | RF gap | 0.143 | 0.164 | 0.135 | — |
| 2026-07-29 | Out ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 88.5 | 92.6 | -14° | 9 | RF | 0.130 | 0.145 | 0.117 | Brent Suter |
| 2026-07-29 | Walk | 3-1 | SL | 83.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Mitch Farris |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 96.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Grayson Rodriguez |
| 2026-07-29 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 83.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Grayson Rodriguez |
| 2026-07-28 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 81.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Mitch Farris |
| 2026-07-27 | Fielder's Choice ground ball | 0-1 | SL | 89.7 | 104.8 | -5° | 17 | Infield | 0.425 | 0.450 | 0.382 | José Fermín |
| 2026-07-27 | Out line drive | 1-2 | FS | 87.5 | 103.6 | 16° | 343 | CF | 0.534 | 0.871 | 0.591 | Chase Silseth |
| 2026-07-27 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | CH | 90.4 | 85.0 | -38° | 3 | Infield | 0.060 | 0.061 | 0.055 | Walbert Ureña |
| 2026-07-27 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | CH | 93.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Walbert Ureña |
| 2026-07-25 | Out line drive | 1-1 | SL | 86.8 | 88.0 | 23° | 306 | CF | 0.174 | 0.262 | 0.184 | Tyler Schweitzer |
| 2026-07-25 | Out ground ball | 0-1 | CH | 79.5 | 86.3 | -11° | 13 | RF corner | 0.143 | 0.176 | 0.129 | Trevor Richards |
| 2026-07-25 | Strikeout looking | 2-2 | FC | 90.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-07-25 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | FF | 97.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sean Burke |
| 2026-07-24 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | ST | 79.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Chris Murphy |
| 2026-07-24 | Strikeout looking | 1-2 | CH | 79.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Trevor Richards |
| 2026-07-24 | Strikeout swinging | 2-2 | ST | 78.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Bryan Hudson |
| 2026-07-24 | Single line drive | 0-0 | SI | 92.6 | 91.4 | 12° | 201 | LF | 0.800 | 0.915 | 0.763 | Davis Martin |
| 2026-07-24 | Hit By Pitch | 0-0 | CU | 79.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.729 | Davis Martin |
| 2026-07-22 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | FF | 97.3 | 91.8 | 52° | 262 | LF gap | 0.006 | 0.013 | 0.009 | Sandy Alcantara |
| 2026-07-22 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | CH | 91.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Sandy Alcantara |
| 2026-07-22 | Force Out ground ball | 0-0 | FC | 90.9 | 71.6 | -28° | 4 | Infield | 0.057 | 0.061 | 0.051 | Sandy Alcantara |
| 2026-07-21 | Strikeout swinging | 0-2 | FF | 96.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Ryan Gusto |
| 2026-07-21 | Out ground ball | 3-2 | SI | 94.0 | 90.0 | -30° | 4 | CF | 0.079 | 0.104 | 0.078 | Tyler Phillips |
| 2026-07-21 | Incomplete PA | 1-1 | FS | 85.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Tyler Phillips |
| 2026-07-21 | Double line drive | 3-2 | SI | 94.7 | 98.0 | 22° | 348 | RF | 0.311 | 0.632 | 0.393 | Tyler Phillips |
| 2026-07-20 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | SI | 93.4 | 107.3 | -6° | 20 | Infield | 0.381 | 0.419 | 0.352 | Dax Fulton |
| 2026-07-20 | Out fly ball | 1-1 | SL | 89.0 | 101.1 | 33° | 374 | RF gap | 0.426 | 1.662 | 0.860 | Dax Fulton |
| 2026-07-20 | Out ground ball | 1-2 | CH | 86.8 | 106.9 | 6° | 116 | Infield | 0.629 | 0.718 | 0.586 | Janson Junk |
| 2026-07-20 | Walk | 3-2 | SL | 87.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Janson Junk |
| 2026-07-19 | Out ground ball | 1-0 | SI | 96.5 | 82.4 | -40° | 2 | Infield | 0.079 | 0.083 | 0.077 | Grant Wolfram |
| 2026-07-19 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 85.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Brandon Young |
| 2026-07-19 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | FF | 95.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Brandon Young |
| 2026-07-19 | Strikeout swinging | 1-2 | SL | 86.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Brandon Young |
| 2026-07-18 | Out fly ball | 2-2 | FC | 91.0 | 84.2 | 57° | 220 | LF corner | 0.026 | 0.036 | 0.027 | Tyler Wells |
| 2026-07-18 | Single line drive | 0-0 | FC | 83.7 | 79.7 | 18° | 214 | RF gap | 0.997 | 1.124 | 0.931 | Trevor Rogers |
| 2026-07-18 | Single ground ball | 1-0 | FF | 93.4 | 106.9 | 7° | 163 | CF | 0.626 | 0.716 | 0.585 | Trevor Rogers |
| 2026-07-18 | Strikeout swinging | 3-2 | FF | 93.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | Trevor Rogers |
| 2026-07-17 | Out fly ball | 1-2 | FF | 94.0 | 96.7 | 39° | 344 | LF gap | 0.077 | 0.271 | 0.139 | Andrew Kittredge |
| 2026-07-17 | Single ground ball | 0-0 | SI | 96.2 | 103.7 | -21° | 5 | RF gap | 0.183 | 0.204 | 0.165 | Grant Wolfram |
| 2026-07-17 | Out ground ball | 1-1 | CU | 77.0 | 75.9 | 9° | 98 | Infield | 0.266 | 0.266 | 0.239 | Dean Kremer |
| 2026-07-17 | Walk | 3-2 | CU | 76.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.698 | Dean Kremer |